Fortuna Düsseldorf
vs
Verl
Garuda Lions Prediction: Fortuna Düsseldorf
1 – 0 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl
| Probability | Fortuna Düsseldorf | Draw | Verl |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.0% | 30.1% | 38.8% |
| Market | 52.5% | 23.9% | 23.6% |
| Final | 47.2% | 25.4% | 27.4% |
| Edge | -21.5% | +6.3% | +15.2% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.80, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl match preview
Fortuna Düsseldorf faces Verl in the 3. Liga, with Fortuna Düsseldorf holding a 50% probability of winning compared to Verl's 26%. The model suggests a likely scoreline of 1-0, occurring with a 9% probability. The expected goals indicate a close matchup, with Fortuna Düsseldorf at 1.12 and Verl slightly higher at 1.28.
Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Fortuna Düsseldorf recording a sequence of L-W-W-D-W-L, while Verl has a more favorable recent record of W-D-W-W-L-L. The probability of over 2.5 goals stands at 43%, and both teams to score is assessed at 50%, indicating a potentially competitive encounter. The confidence grade for this match is C, reflecting a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fortuna Düsseldorf and Verl expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.40
Fortuna Düsseldorf and Verl attack and defence ratings
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Verl
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse — team news & stats
- Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock — team news & stats
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach v Waldhof Mannheim — match page
- SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II — team news & stats
- Fortuna Köln vs FC Saarbrücken
- MSV Duisburg v Hoffenheim II — match page
- FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen
- Alemannia Aachen v FC Viktoria Köln — match page
Before and after this match
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 47.2% | 2.12 | -21.5% | 1.80 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.0% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 69.0% | 1.45 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 47.2% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| Verl | 27.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.0% |
| No | 50.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fortuna Düsseldorf win | 12.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.1% | |
| Loss | 69.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-0 | 10.4% | |
| 0-1 | 10.3% |
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl stats
Fortuna Düsseldorf and Verl recent form
| Fortuna Düsseldorf |
LWWDWL |
| Verl |
WDWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fortuna Düsseldorf and Verl season so far
Fortuna Düsseldorf record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Verl record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.5%, draw 23.9%, away 23.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.71 | 3.80 | 3.88 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 3.40 | 3.50 |
| Betano | 1.80 | 3.85 | 3.90 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| Dafabet | 1.78 | 3.85 | 3.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.69 | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72 | 4.07 | 4.10 |
| SBO | 1.69 | 3.53 | 3.63 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.70 | 3.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
30 snapshots recorded, from .