Fortuna Düsseldorf
vs
Verl
2 – 2 Full time
| 24′ | Andreas Müller | ||
| 37′ | nick seidel | ||
| 38′ | Tim Christopher Oberdorf | ||
| 45′ | Tim Heike | ||
| 46′ | Jorrit Hendrix | ||
| 55′ | Janne Berner | ||
| 59′ | Erik Wekesser | ||
| 67′ | nick seidelRaphael Araoye | ||
| 69′ | Philipp FörsterJomaine Consbruch | ||
| 69′ | Erik WekesserSascha Risch | ||
| 69′ | Anas SlimaniJordi Paulina | ||
| 73′ | Jorrit HendrixYassine Bouchama | ||
| 78′ | Elias Arden | ||
| 80′ | Joshua EzeFabian Wessig | ||
| 84′ | Tim Christopher Oberdorf | ||
| 85′ | Elias ArdenMarcel Benger | ||
| 86′ | Tim HeikeDominik Martinovic |
Match stats
| 15 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 38 | Possession % | 62 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl
| Probability | Fortuna Düsseldorf | Draw | Verl |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.8% | 30.2% | 39.0% |
| Market | 52.6% | 24.0% | 23.4% |
| Final | 47.2% | 25.5% | 27.3% |
| Edge | -5.4% | +1.5% | +3.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fortuna Düsseldorf and Verl expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.40
Fortuna Düsseldorf and Verl attack and defence ratings
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Verl
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl: result vs prediction
Fortuna Düsseldorf 2 – 2 Verl
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
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Before and after this match
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 47.2% | 2.12 | -5.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.1% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 47.2% |
| Draw | 25.5% | |
| Verl | 27.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.9% |
| No | 50.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fortuna Düsseldorf win | 12.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.0% | |
| Loss | 69.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 0-0 | 10.4% | |
| 0-1 | 10.4% |
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl stats
Fortuna Düsseldorf and Verl recent form
| Fortuna Düsseldorf |
LWWDWL |
| Verl |
WDWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fortuna Düsseldorf and Verl going into this match
Fortuna Düsseldorf record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Verl record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Verl odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.6%, draw 24.0%, away 23.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.71 | 3.80 | 3.88 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.60 | 3.90 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 3.30 | 3.40 |
| Betano | 1.82 | 3.80 | 3.90 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.79 | 3.90 | 3.95 |
| Marathonbet | 1.69 | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78 | 4.08 | 4.09 |
| SBO | 1.77 | 3.52 | 3.60 |
| William Hill | 1.73 | 3.70 | 3.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
34 snapshots recorded, from .