Preußen Münster
vs
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Garuda Lions Prediction: Preußen Münster
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf
| Probability | Preußen Münster | Draw | Fortuna Düsseldorf |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.1% | 27.9% | 29.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 43.1% | 27.9% | 29.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Preußen Münster
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 1.28.
Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf match preview
Preußen Münster and Fortuna Düsseldorf are set to clash in the 3. Liga on October 14, 2026. According to our model, Preußen Münster has a 43% chance of winning, while Fortuna Düsseldorf stands at 29%, with a draw at 28%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-1 in favor of Preußen Münster, occurring with a 9% probability. Both teams are expected to score, with a 56% likelihood, and the match has a 51% chance of exceeding 2.5 goals.
In terms of recent form, Preußen Münster has recorded one win in their last six matches, while Fortuna Düsseldorf has managed three wins in their last six outings. The head-to-head record shows that in their last two encounters, Preußen Münster has yet to secure a victory, with one draw and one win for Fortuna Düsseldorf. Expected goals for Preußen Münster are 1.51, compared to 1.20 for Fortuna Düsseldorf, indicating a competitive matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Preußen Münster and Fortuna Düsseldorf expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.97
Preußen Münster and Fortuna Düsseldorf attack and defence ratings
Preußen Münster
Fortuna Düsseldorf
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Hansa Rostock v SV Meppen — match page
- Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln
- FC Saarbrücken v MSV Duisburg — match page
- Havelse v Würzburger Kickers — match page
- SV Wehen vs Alemannia Aachen
- FC Viktoria Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach — team news & stats
- Verl vs SSV Jahn Regensburg — team news & stats
- Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04
Before and after this match
Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Preußen Münster | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.7% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Preußen Münster | 43.1% |
| Draw | 27.9% | |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf | 29.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.6% |
| No | 44.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Preußen Münster win | 24.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 54.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-0 | 8.9% |
Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf stats
Preußen Münster and Fortuna Düsseldorf recent form
| Preußen Münster |
DLDWWL |
| Fortuna Düsseldorf |
LWWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Preußen Münster and Fortuna Düsseldorf season so far
Preußen Münster record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
Fortuna Düsseldorf record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-13 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | Preußen Münster | 2. Bundesliga | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Preußen Münster | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 2. Bundesliga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.