3. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 9

Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf

1 – 2 Full time

22′Rico Preißinger
28′Elias Arden
45′Elias ArdenMarcel Benger
53′Felix Higl
58′Matthias ZimmermannSteven Van Der Sloot
58′Fabian SchleusenerEric Hottmann
60′Charalampos MakridisJoshua Mees
65′Andreas Müller
67′Anas Slimani
67′Romario Rosch
74′Romario RoschWesley Adeh
74′Samuel Moïse AlthausLouis Philipp Kolbe
78′Jorrit HendrixYassine Bouchama
84′Philipp FörsterJordi Paulina
85′Antonio Tikvić
86′Felix HiglM. Stuhlmacher
86′Montell NdikomMarvin Schulz
87′Yassine Bouchama
90′Eric Hottmann
90′Erik Wekesser

LVM-Preußenstadion, MuensterReferee: Felix Prigan

Preußen Münster 36%
Draw 26%
Fortuna Düsseldorf 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

3 Shots 14
1 Shots on target 3
39 Possession % 61
1 Corners 7

Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPreußen MünsterDrawFortuna Düsseldorf
Model42.8%25.7%31.5%
Market33.2%26.1%40.6%
Final35.6%26.0%38.3%
Edge+2.4%-0.1%-2.3%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Fortuna Düsseldorf

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Preußen Münste ↓ / Fortuna Düssel → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 12% 8% 2 6% 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 6%

Preußen Münster and Fortuna Düsseldorf expected goals

Preußen Münster 1.69
Fortuna Düsseldorf 1.43

Total expected goals: 3.11

Preußen Münster and Fortuna Düsseldorf attack and defence ratings

Preußen Münster

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 1.25 +25%

Fortuna Düsseldorf

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 0.95 -5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf: result vs prediction

Preußen Münster 1 – 2 Fortuna Düsseldorf

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

3. Liga

Before and after this match

Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Fortuna Düsseldorf 38.3% 2.61 -2.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.2% 1.66 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.0% 1.59 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.0% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 68.5% 1.46 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Preußen Münster35.6%
Draw26.0%
Fortuna Düsseldorf38.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.2%
Under 2.539.8%
Both teams to scoreYes63.0%
No37.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)61.7%
12 (either side)74.0%
X2 (draw or away)64.4%
Handicap -1Fortuna Düsseldorf win14.8%
Push (exactly one goal)16.6%
Loss68.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.8%
2-19.0%
1-27.6%

Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf stats

Preußen Münster and Fortuna Düsseldorf recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Preußen Münster and Fortuna Düsseldorf going into this match

league record before kick-off

Preußen Münster record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.

Fortuna Düsseldorf record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1Preußen Münster wins 1Draws 2Fortuna Düsseldorf wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-13Fortuna DüsseldorfPreußen Münster2. Bundesliga0-0
2025-09-14Preußen MünsterFortuna Düsseldorf2. Bundesliga1-2
2025-04-05Fortuna DüsseldorfPreußen Münster2. Bundesliga1-0
2024-11-01Preußen MünsterFortuna Düsseldorf2. Bundesliga1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.9%, draw 26.8%, away 40.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.75 3.40 2.23
Bet365 2.70 3.30 2.25
BetVictor 2.50 3.10 2.10
Betano 2.80 3.50 2.35
Betfair 2.75 3.50 2.20
Dafabet 2.80 3.50 2.33
Marathonbet 2.70 3.34 2.23
Pinnacle 2.87 3.55 2.38
SBO 2.75 3.25 2.18
William Hill 2.70 3.30 2.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.75 —
X 3.50 —
2 2.25 ▼ -0.07

9 snapshots recorded, from .