FC Viktoria Köln
vs
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Garuda Lions Prediction: FC Viktoria Köln
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
FC Viktoria Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Viktoria Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
| Probability | FC Viktoria Köln | Draw | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 66.2% | 21.0% | 12.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 66.2% | 21.0% | 12.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why FC Viktoria Köln
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.15 vs 0.85.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
FC Viktoria Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach match preview
FC Viktoria Köln is positioned strongly ahead of their match against SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, with a 66% probability of winning according to our model. The expected goals for FC Viktoria Köln stand at 2.15, while SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach is projected to score 0.85. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, occurring with an 11% probability.
In terms of recent form, FC Viktoria Köln has shown resilience with three wins in their last five matches, while SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach has struggled, recording only one win in their last five outings. The probabilities suggest a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance for both teams to score, indicating a potentially dynamic match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Viktoria Köln and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.00
FC Viktoria Köln and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach attack and defence ratings
FC Viktoria Köln
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Hansa Rostock v SV Meppen — match page
- Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln
- FC Saarbrücken v MSV Duisburg — match page
- Havelse v Würzburger Kickers — match page
- Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf — team news & stats
- SV Wehen vs Alemannia Aachen
- Verl vs SSV Jahn Regensburg — team news & stats
- Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04
Before and after this match
FC Viktoria Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Viktoria Köln | 66.2% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.7% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.2% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Viktoria Köln win | 43.1% | 2.32 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Viktoria Köln | 66.2% |
| Draw | 21.0% | |
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 12.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.7% |
| No | 48.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 33.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Viktoria Köln win | 43.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 33.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.5% |
| 1-1 | 10.0% | |
| 2-1 | 9.8% |
FC Viktoria Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach stats
FC Viktoria Köln and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach recent form
| FC Viktoria Köln |
WWWLWD |
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach |
LDDWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Viktoria Köln and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach season so far
FC Viktoria Köln record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.