3. Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
FC Viktoria Köln
vs
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
2 – 2 Full time
| 5′ | Niklas Horst Castelle | ||
| 11′ | Lucas Wolf | ||
| 27′ | Volkan Çeliktaş | ||
| 38′ | lukas stoppel | ||
| 50′ | christian mistl | ||
| 60′ | lukas stoppelTim Rossmann | ||
| 60′ | christian mistlFabian Eisele | ||
| 61′ | Pascal Fallmann | ||
| 69′ | Pascal FallmannMarco Pledl | ||
| 69′ | Lucas WolfTaylan Duman | ||
| 69′ | Niklas Horst CastelleJason aman | ||
| 70′ | Fabian Eisele | ||
| 80′ | Niklas SwiderJakob Sachse | ||
| 80′ | David OttoNoah Maboulou | ||
| 88′ | loris maier | ||
| 90′ | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach |
FC Viktoria Köln
66%
Draw
19%
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
16%
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 13 |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 48 | Possession % | 52 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 0 | Offsides | 0 |
FC Viktoria Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Viktoria Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
| Probability | FC Viktoria Köln | Draw | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 78.0% | 14.1% | 8.0% |
| Market | 61.7% | 20.1% | 18.3% |
| Final | 65.8% | 18.6% | 15.7% |
| Edge | +4.1% | -1.5% | -2.6% |
Why FC Viktoria Köln
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.94 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices FC Viktoria Köln below our published probability: +4.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
90%
3+ goals
74%
No goals
3%
FC Viktoria Köln and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach expected goals
FC Viktoria Köln
2.94
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
0.91
Total expected goals: 3.85
FC Viktoria Köln and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach attack and defence ratings
FC Viktoria Köln
Attack
1.40 +40%
Defence
0.83 -17%
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Attack
0.73 -27%
Defence
1.20 +20%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Viktoria Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach: result vs prediction
FC Viktoria Köln 2 – 2 SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Hansa Rostock v SV Meppen — match page
- Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln
- FC Saarbrücken v MSV Duisburg — match page
- Havelse v Würzburger Kickers — match page
- Stuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II — team news & stats
- Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf — team news & stats
- SV Wehen vs Alemannia Aachen
- Verl vs SSV Jahn Regensburg — team news & stats
Before and after this match
FC Viktoria Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Viktoria Köln | 65.8% | 1.52 | +4.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Viktoria Köln win | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Viktoria Köln | 65.8% |
| Draw | 18.6% | |
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 15.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.1% |
| No | 42.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 34.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Viktoria Köln win | 59.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.7% | |
| Loss | 22.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 9.2% |
| 3-0 | 9.0% | |
| 2-1 | 8.4% |
FC Viktoria Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach stats
FC Viktoria Köln and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach recent form
| FC Viktoria Köln |
WWWWLW |
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach |
LLDDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Viktoria Köln and SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach going into this match
FC Viktoria Köln record
- They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 2.8 on the road.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Viktoria Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
2FC Viktoria Köln wins
0Draws
0SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-02-21 | FC Viktoria Köln | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 3. Liga | 1-0 |
| 2019-08-24 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | FC Viktoria Köln | 3. Liga | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Viktoria Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.9%, draw 20.7%, away 18.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.50 | 4.30 | 4.83 |
| Bet365 | 1.48 | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.45 | 3.75 | 4.10 |
| Betano | 1.53 | 4.55 | 5.00 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.60 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.50 | 4.70 | 5.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.45 | 4.45 | 4.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.51 | 5.01 | 5.14 |
| SBO | 1.45 | 4.31 | 4.84 |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 4.20 | 4.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.48 ▼ -0.25
X
4.55 ▲ +0.70
2
5.00 ▲ +1.25
10 snapshots recorded, from .