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3. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 9

Havelse vs Würzburger Kickers

2 – 2 Full time

24′Kwasi Okyere Wriedt
27′Ebrahim Farahnak
33′Kwasi Okyere Wriedt
35′Würzburger Kickers
35′Nathan De Medina
38′Louis Breunig
45′Franck evinaL. Omore
62′David KinsombiJermain Nischalke
62′Thomas KastanarasTim·Kraus
63′Eryk Artur GrzywaczEric Voufack
66′Jermain Nischalke
68′Kevin Schumacher
68′Yusuf WardakAlexander Guiddir
68′Kwasi Okyere WriedtLorenzo Paldino
69′Yannick mausehund
70′Tarsis Bonga
77′Robin VelascoMarc Richter
77′Luke HemmerichPedro Eliot Narciso Muteba
90′Lorenzo Paldino
90′Jermain Nischalke
90′Xaver KiefersauerN. Embaye

Eilenriedestadion, HannoverReferee: Luca Sambill

Havelse 35%
Draw 25%
Würzburger Kickers 40%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

0 Shots on target 0
53 Possession % 47

Havelse vs Würzburger Kickers overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Havelse vs Würzburger Kickers

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHavelseDrawWürzburger Kickers
Model39.0%23.3%37.7%
Market33.9%25.4%40.7%
Final35.2%24.9%39.9%
Edge+1.3%-0.5%-0.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Havelse ↓ / Würzburger Kic → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 8% 5% 2 8% 7% 3 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 71%
No goals 3%

Havelse and Würzburger Kickers expected goals

Havelse 1.86
Würzburger Kickers 1.83

Total expected goals: 3.69

Havelse and Würzburger Kickers attack and defence ratings

Havelse

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.50 +50%

Würzburger Kickers

Attack 0.82 -18%
Defence 1.21 +21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Havelse vs Würzburger Kickers: result vs prediction

Havelse 2 – 2 Würzburger Kickers

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

3. Liga

Before and after this match

Havelse vs Würzburger Kickers markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Würzburger Kickers 39.9% 2.51 -0.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 71.3% 1.40 — —
Both teams to score Yes 71.8% 1.39 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.1% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 62.3% 1.60 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Havelse35.2%
Draw24.9%
Würzburger Kickers39.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.571.3%
Under 2.528.7%
Both teams to scoreYes71.8%
No28.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)60.1%
12 (either side)75.1%
X2 (draw or away)64.8%
Handicap -1Würzburger Kickers win20.3%
Push (exactly one goal)17.4%
Loss62.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.3%
2-17.9%
1-27.8%

Havelse vs Würzburger Kickers stats

Havelse and Würzburger Kickers recent form

newest first
Havelse LLLDLW
Würzburger Kickers LLWLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Havelse and Würzburger Kickers going into this match

league record before kick-off

Havelse record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Würzburger Kickers record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Havelse vs Würzburger Kickers head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Havelse wins 1Draws 1Würzburger Kickers wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2022-02-20HavelseWürzburger Kickers3. Liga1-3
2021-09-11Würzburger KickersHavelse3. Liga0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Havelse vs Würzburger Kickers odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.9%, draw 25.4%, away 40.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.71 3.54 2.20
Bet365 2.70 3.40 2.20
BetVictor 2.40 3.13 2.15
Betano 2.75 3.55 2.35
Betfair 2.63 3.60 2.20
Dafabet 2.70 3.60 2.36
Marathonbet 2.65 3.54 2.18
Pinnacle 2.66 3.91 2.39
SBO 2.64 3.31 2.23
William Hill 2.50 3.50 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.66 ▼ -0.02
X 3.54 ▼ -0.06
2 2.21 ▼ -0.01

10 snapshots recorded, from .