3. Liga · ·Matchday 9

Havelse vs Würzburger Kickers

Garuda Lions Prediction: Würzburger Kickers

1 – 2 Predicted score · 7% model probability

Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena, Hannover

Havelse 36%
Draw 25%
Würzburger Kickers 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Würzburger Kickers wins
39%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
97%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
74%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
7% of simulated outcomes

Havelse vs Würzburger Kickers overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Havelse vs Würzburger Kickers

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHavelseDrawWürzburger Kickers
Model42.6%22.6%34.9%
Market33.9%25.2%40.9%
Final36.0%24.6%39.4%
Edge+8.7%-2.7%-6.0%

Confidence: Low

Best available price on the pick: 2.25, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.

Havelse vs Würzburger Kickers match preview

Havelse faces Würzburger Kickers in a 3. Liga matchup on October 13, 2026. According to our model, Havelse has a 36% chance of winning, while Würzburger Kickers holds a 39% probability. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 7%. Both teams are expected to contribute to a high-scoring game, with over 2.5 goals predicted at 74% and both teams to score also at 74%.

In terms of expected goals, Havelse is projected to score 2.03, while Würzburger Kickers is expected to net 1.83. Recent form shows Havelse with a record of L-L-D-L-W-L, while Würzburger Kickers has struggled with L-W-L-L-L-L. The confidence grade for this match is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Havelse ↓ / Würzburger Kic → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 7% 4% 2 4% 8% 7% 4% 3 5% 5% 4+ 4%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 91%
3+ goals 74%
No goals 3%

Havelse and Würzburger Kickers expected goals

Havelse 2.03
Würzburger Kickers 1.83

Total expected goals: 3.86

Havelse and Würzburger Kickers attack and defence ratings

Havelse

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.36 +36%

Würzburger Kickers

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

3. Liga

Before and after this match

Havelse vs Würzburger Kickers markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Würzburger Kickers 39.4% 2.54 -6.0% 2.25
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 74.2% 1.35 — —
Both teams to score Yes 73.8% 1.36 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.4% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 65.1% 1.54 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Havelse36.0%
Draw24.6%
Würzburger Kickers39.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.574.2%
Under 2.525.8%
Both teams to scoreYes73.8%
No26.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)60.6%
12 (either side)75.4%
X2 (draw or away)64.0%
Handicap -1Würzburger Kickers win18.5%
Push (exactly one goal)16.4%
Loss65.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.6%
2-17.9%
2-27.3%

Havelse vs Würzburger Kickers stats

Havelse and Würzburger Kickers recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Havelse and Würzburger Kickers season so far

league record

Havelse record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
  • 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Würzburger Kickers record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Havelse vs Würzburger Kickers head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Havelse vs Würzburger Kickers odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 33.9%, draw 25.2%, away 40.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.68 3.50 2.24
Betano 2.82 3.70 2.25
Betfair 2.63 3.60 2.20
Dafabet 2.80 3.70 2.21
Marathonbet 2.62 3.50 2.22

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.68 —
X 3.60 —
2 2.22 —

2 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 2 Würzburger Kickers Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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