Verl
vs
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Garuda Lions Prediction: Verl
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Verl vs SSV Jahn Regensburg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Verl vs SSV Jahn Regensburg
| Probability | Verl | Draw | SSV Jahn Regensburg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.5% | 23.4% | 26.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 50.5% | 23.4% | 26.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Verl
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.01 vs 1.42.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Verl vs SSV Jahn Regensburg match preview
Verl faces SSV Jahn Regensburg in a 3. Liga matchup, with Verl holding a 50% probability of winning according to our model, while Regensburg has a 26% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Verl, with an expected goals tally of 2.02 for Verl and 1.42 for Regensburg. Both teams are anticipated to score, with a 67% probability for both teams finding the net and for over 2.5 goals in the match.
Recent form shows Verl with a mixed record of W-D-W-W-L-L, while SSV Jahn Regensburg has struggled, recording D-L-D-L-L-L in their last six matches. In their last two head-to-head encounters, SSV Jahn Regensburg has secured 2 wins against Verl, who has yet to achieve a victory in this matchup. The confidence grade for this forecast is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Verl and SSV Jahn Regensburg expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.43
Verl and SSV Jahn Regensburg attack and defence ratings
Verl
SSV Jahn Regensburg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Hansa Rostock v SV Meppen — match page
- Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln
- FC Saarbrücken v MSV Duisburg — match page
- Havelse v Würzburger Kickers — match page
- Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf — team news & stats
- SV Wehen vs Alemannia Aachen
- FC Viktoria Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach — team news & stats
- Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04
Before and after this match
Verl vs SSV Jahn Regensburg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Verl | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.7% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Verl | 50.5% |
| Draw | 23.4% | |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg | 26.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 33.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.6% |
| No | 33.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 73.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Verl win | 29.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 49.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 2-2 | 6.6% |
Verl vs SSV Jahn Regensburg stats
Verl and SSV Jahn Regensburg recent form
| Verl |
WDWWLL |
| SSV Jahn Regensburg |
DLDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Verl and SSV Jahn Regensburg season so far
Verl record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SSV Jahn Regensburg record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 0.7 at home.
Verl vs SSV Jahn Regensburg head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-03 | Verl | SSV Jahn Regensburg | 3. Liga | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-28 | SSV Jahn Regensburg | Verl | 3. Liga | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.