3. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 9

Verl vs SSV Jahn Regensburg

2 – 2 Full time

38′Lucas Hermes
43′Oscar Schoenfelder
53′Andre Leipold
56′Mika ClausenKasim Rabihic
56′Joshua EzeFabian Wessig
61′David Lennart PhilippMarco Womer
65′Dennis Waidner
68′Sascha Hingerl
71′Sascha HingerlZeteny Jano
71′Janne BernerEmmanuel Bamba
71′Lucas HermesJakob Seibold
73′Dennis Waidner
87′Dennis WaidnerYari Otto
87′Nassim BoujellabJohn Xaver Posselt
88′Andre LeipoldAlem Japaur

Stadion an der Poststraße, VerlReferee: Jonah Samuel Njie Besong

Verl 42%
Draw 24%
SSV Jahn Regensburg 35%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
70 Possession % 30
8 Corners 3

Verl vs SSV Jahn Regensburg overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Verl vs SSV Jahn Regensburg

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVerlDrawSSV Jahn Regensburg
Model40.2%23.7%36.1%
Market42.3%23.6%34.1%
Final41.8%23.6%34.6%
Edge-0.5%+0.0%+0.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Verl

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Verl ↓ / SSV Jahn Regen → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 5% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 70%
No goals 4%

Verl and SSV Jahn Regensburg expected goals

Verl 1.85
SSV Jahn Regensburg 1.75

Total expected goals: 3.60

Verl and SSV Jahn Regensburg attack and defence ratings

Verl

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 0.95 -5%

SSV Jahn Regensburg

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Verl vs SSV Jahn Regensburg: result vs prediction

Verl 2 – 2 SSV Jahn Regensburg

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

3. Liga

Before and after this match

Verl vs SSV Jahn Regensburg markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Verl 41.8% 2.39 -0.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 69.6% 1.44 — —
Both teams to score Yes 70.5% 1.42 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.4% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.8% 1.67 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Verl41.8%
Draw23.6%
SSV Jahn Regensburg34.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.569.6%
Under 2.530.4%
Both teams to scoreYes70.5%
No29.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)65.4%
12 (either side)76.4%
X2 (draw or away)58.2%
Handicap -1Verl win22.0%
Push (exactly one goal)18.2%
Loss59.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.7%
2-18.2%
1-27.7%

Verl vs SSV Jahn Regensburg stats

Verl and SSV Jahn Regensburg recent form

newest first
Verl DWDWWL
SSV Jahn Regensburg WDLDLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Verl and SSV Jahn Regensburg going into this match

league record before kick-off

Verl record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

SSV Jahn Regensburg record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
  • They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 1.8 at home.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Verl vs SSV Jahn Regensburg head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

0Verl wins 1Draws 3SSV Jahn Regensburg wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-03VerlSSV Jahn Regensburg3. Liga1-2
2025-09-28SSV Jahn RegensburgVerl3. Liga2-0
2024-01-20SSV Jahn RegensburgVerl3. Liga1-1
2023-08-20VerlSSV Jahn Regensburg3. Liga1-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Verl vs SSV Jahn Regensburg odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 42.2%, draw 24.1%, away 33.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.06 3.78 2.81
Bet365 2.15 3.60 2.70
BetVictor 2.00 3.40 2.50
Betano 2.25 3.95 2.67
Betfair 2.15 3.90 2.60
Dafabet 2.22 3.85 2.80
Marathonbet 2.13 3.76 2.61
Pinnacle 2.25 4.07 2.77
SBO 2.11 3.64 2.62
William Hill 2.15 3.60 2.70

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 ▲ +0.10
X 3.85 —
2 2.67 ▼ -0.18

10 snapshots recorded, from .