Hansa Rostock
vs
SV Meppen
Garuda Lions Prediction: Hansa Rostock
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
Hansa Rostock vs SV Meppen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hansa Rostock vs SV Meppen
| Probability | Hansa Rostock | Draw | SV Meppen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58.9% | 19.6% | 21.4% |
| Market | 61.3% | 21.0% | 17.7% |
| Final | 60.7% | 20.6% | 18.6% |
| Edge | -2.4% | -1.3% | +3.8% |
Why Hansa Rostock
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.55 vs 1.54.
Best available price on the pick: 1.55, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Hansa Rostock vs SV Meppen match preview
Hansa Rostock enters the match against SV Meppen with a 59% probability of winning, while Meppen has a 21% chance of securing a victory. The model suggests a likely scoreline of 2-1 in favor of Hansa Rostock, with an 8% probability. Both teams are expected to contribute to the score, as the likelihood of both teams scoring stands at 73%.
In terms of recent form, Hansa Rostock has recorded a mixed set of results with draws and losses, while SV Meppen has struggled, losing four of their last five matches. The expected goals indicate a dominant performance from Hansa Rostock at 2.55 compared to SV Meppen's 1.54. With a high expectation for over 2.5 goals at 77%, the match promises to be an engaging encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hansa Rostock and SV Meppen expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.08
Hansa Rostock and SV Meppen attack and defence ratings
Hansa Rostock
SV Meppen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln
- FC Saarbrücken v MSV Duisburg — match page
- Havelse v Würzburger Kickers — match page
- Stuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II — team news & stats
- Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf — team news & stats
- SV Wehen vs Alemannia Aachen
- FC Viktoria Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach — team news & stats
- Verl vs SSV Jahn Regensburg — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Hansa Rostock vs SV Meppen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hansa Rostock | 60.7% | 1.65 | -2.4% | 1.55 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hansa Rostock | 60.7% |
| Draw | 20.6% | |
| SV Meppen | 18.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 77.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 22.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.0% |
| No | 27.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 39.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hansa Rostock win | 39.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 41.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 8.4% |
| 1-1 | 7.2% | |
| 3-1 | 7.1% |
Hansa Rostock vs SV Meppen stats
Hansa Rostock and SV Meppen recent form
| Hansa Rostock |
DWLDWL |
| SV Meppen |
LLLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hansa Rostock and SV Meppen season so far
Hansa Rostock record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
SV Meppen record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Hansa Rostock vs SV Meppen head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Hansa Rostock vs SV Meppen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 61.3%, draw 21.0%, away 17.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.47 | 4.30 | 5.20 |
| Betano | 1.55 | 4.30 | 5.10 |
| Betfair | 1.44 | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.52 | 4.30 | 5.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.46 | 4.30 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .