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3. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 10

Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock

2 – 0 Full time

8′Louis Köster
26′Lukas Scepanik
27′David Kopacz
28′Dylan Leonard
45′Leon DajakuMaximilian Krauss
49′Petros Bagalianis
56′Benno Dietze
60′Louis Köster
65′Benno DietzeAndreas Voglsammer
65′David KopaczYannick Michaelis
65′Ouassim KaradaJonas Dirkner
68′Louis KösterDaniel Starodid
72′Lukas ScepanikFabio Torsiello
72′Matti WagnerKacper Koscierski
74′Georg Ermolaev
84′Niklas KolleMilosz Brzozowski
85′Danilo Wiebe
87′Mehdi Lounemeiko waschenbach
87′Georg ErmolaevKen Eghosa Gideon Izekor
90′André Breitenreiter
90′Jonas Dirkner

Tivoli, AachenReferee: Eric-Dominic Weisbach

Alemannia Aachen 39%
Draw 25%
Hansa Rostock 36%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

14 Shots 9
8 Shots on target 3
42 Possession % 58
2 Corners 3

Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAlemannia AachenDrawHansa Rostock
Model49.9%22.1%28.1%
Market35.9%25.9%38.1%
Final39.4%25.0%35.6%
Edge+13.9%-3.9%-10.1%

Confidence: Low

Why Alemannia Aachen

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 1.63.
  • The market prices Alemannia Aachen below the model: +13.9 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Alemannia Aach ↓ / Hansa Rostock → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 6% 2 5% 9% 7% 3 6% 5% 4+ 6% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 73%
No goals 3%

Alemannia Aachen and Hansa Rostock expected goals

Alemannia Aachen 2.19
Hansa Rostock 1.63

Total expected goals: 3.82

Alemannia Aachen and Hansa Rostock attack and defence ratings

Alemannia Aachen

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Hansa Rostock

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 1.19 +19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock: result vs prediction

Alemannia Aachen 2 – 0 Hansa Rostock

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

3. Liga

Before and after this match

Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Alemannia Aachen 39.4% 2.54 +13.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 73.4% 1.36 — —
Both teams to score Yes 72.2% 1.39 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.0% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.1% 1.99 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Alemannia Aachen39.4%
Draw25.0%
Hansa Rostock35.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573.4%
Under 2.526.6%
Both teams to scoreYes72.2%
No27.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)64.4%
12 (either side)75.0%
X2 (draw or away)60.6%
Handicap -1Alemannia Aachen win30.3%
Push (exactly one goal)19.5%
Loss50.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.6%
2-18.6%
2-27.0%

Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock stats

Alemannia Aachen and Hansa Rostock recent form

newest first
Alemannia Aachen LLWLDW
Hansa Rostock LWDWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Alemannia Aachen and Hansa Rostock going into this match

league record before kick-off

Alemannia Aachen record

  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Hansa Rostock record

  • They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
  • 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

2Alemannia Aachen wins 4Draws 2Hansa Rostock wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-02Alemannia AachenHansa Rostock3. Liga1-1
2025-12-07Hansa RostockAlemannia Aachen3. Liga2-2
2025-03-16Alemannia AachenHansa Rostock3. Liga2-1
2024-10-19Hansa RostockAlemannia Aachen3. Liga1-2
2013-04-12Alemannia AachenHansa Rostock3. Liga3-4
2012-10-20Hansa RostockAlemannia Aachen3. Liga1-0
2012-02-19Alemannia AachenHansa Rostock2. Bundesliga0-0
2011-08-19Hansa RostockAlemannia Aachen2. Bundesliga0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 36.1%, draw 25.9%, away 38.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.49 3.45 2.34
Bet365 2.45 3.50 2.35
BetVictor 2.30 3.20 2.20
Betano 2.50 3.75 2.50
Betfair 2.40 3.70 2.40
Dafabet 2.49 3.70 2.50
Marathonbet 2.49 3.45 2.34
Pinnacle 2.70 3.60 2.49
SBO 2.40 3.28 2.33
William Hill 2.50 3.30 2.38

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.49 ▲ +0.16
X 3.45 ▼ -0.30
2 2.34 ▼ -0.11

9 snapshots recorded, from .