SV Wehen
vs
Alemannia Aachen
Garuda Lions Prediction: Alemannia Aachen
0 – 2 Predicted score · 11% model probability
SV Wehen vs Alemannia Aachen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: SV Wehen vs Alemannia Aachen
| Probability | SV Wehen | Draw | Alemannia Aachen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 13.8% | 21.8% | 64.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 13.8% | 21.8% | 64.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Alemannia Aachen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.08 vs 0.87.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
SV Wehen vs Alemannia Aachen match preview
SV Wehen faces Alemannia Aachen in a 3. Liga match on October 14, 2026. According to our model, Alemannia Aachen holds a significant advantage with a 64% probability of winning, while SV Wehen has a 14% chance. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, occurring at an 11% probability. The expected goals for SV Wehen are 0.87, contrasting with Alemannia Aachen's 2.08, indicating a potential challenge for the home side.
In terms of recent form, SV Wehen has struggled, recording one win in their last six matches (L-W-L-D-D-L), whereas Alemannia Aachen has shown more resilience with two wins in their last six (W-L-D-W-L-D). The head-to-head record favors Alemannia Aachen, who have won both of the last two encounters against SV Wehen.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
SV Wehen and Alemannia Aachen expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.96
SV Wehen and Alemannia Aachen attack and defence ratings
SV Wehen
Alemannia Aachen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Hansa Rostock v SV Meppen — match page
- Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln
- FC Saarbrücken v MSV Duisburg — match page
- Havelse v Würzburger Kickers — match page
- Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf — team news & stats
- FC Viktoria Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach — team news & stats
- Verl vs SSV Jahn Regensburg — team news & stats
- Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04
Before and after this match
SV Wehen vs Alemannia Aachen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alemannia Aachen | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 86.2% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Alemannia Aachen win | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SV Wehen | 13.8% |
| Draw | 21.8% | |
| Alemannia Aachen | 64.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.0% |
| No | 48.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 35.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 86.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Alemannia Aachen win | 41.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 35.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 11.3% |
| 1-1 | 10.4% | |
| 0-1 | 9.9% |
SV Wehen vs Alemannia Aachen stats
SV Wehen and Alemannia Aachen recent form
| SV Wehen |
LWLDDL |
| Alemannia Aachen |
WLDWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
SV Wehen and Alemannia Aachen season so far
SV Wehen record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Alemannia Aachen record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SV Wehen vs Alemannia Aachen head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Alemannia Aachen | SV Wehen | 3. Liga | 3-0 |
| 2025-10-24 | SV Wehen | Alemannia Aachen | 3. Liga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.