3. Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
Rot-Weiß Essen
vs
Fortuna Köln
2 – 0 Full time
| 7′ | Neo Telle | ||
| 20′ | Marek Janssen | ||
| 40′ | Janne sietan | ||
| 40′ | Uwe Koschinat | ||
| 41′ | David Haider Kamm Al-Azzawe | ||
| 45′ | Neo TelleNico Thier | ||
| 59′ | Jannik MauseEnzo Wirtz | ||
| 68′ | Marek Janssen | ||
| 71′ | Marek JanssenJaka Cuber Potocnik | ||
| 72′ | Dickson AbiamaLucas Brumme | ||
| 76′ | Bennit BrögerCedric Harenbrock | ||
| 76′ | Romeo AigbekaenHamadi Al Ghaddioui | ||
| 80′ | Marvin ObuzAiman Dardari | ||
| 80′ | Noah PeschRuben Seyram Reisig | ||
| 82′ | Jaka Cuber Potocnik | ||
| 85′ | Tom GeerkensTimo Bornemann | ||
| 88′ | Semir telalovicLuca Bazzoli |
Rot-Weiß Essen
58%
Draw
23%
Fortuna Köln
19%
Match stats
| 18 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 0 |
| 60 | Possession % | 40 |
| 6 | Corners | 4 |
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln
| Probability | Rot-Weiß Essen | Draw | Fortuna Köln |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.4% | 28.4% | 26.2% |
| Market | 62.5% | 20.9% | 16.6% |
| Final | 58.3% | 22.8% | 19.0% |
| Edge | -4.3% | +1.9% | +2.4% |
Why Rot-Weiß Essen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 1.08.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
74%
3+ goals
47%
No goals
9%
Rot-Weiß Essen and Fortuna Köln expected goals
Rot-Weiß Essen
1.49
Fortuna Köln
1.08
Total expected goals: 2.57
Rot-Weiß Essen and Fortuna Köln attack and defence ratings
Rot-Weiß Essen
Attack
1.12 +12%
Defence
0.93 -7%
Fortuna Köln
Attack
0.78 -22%
Defence
0.76 -24%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln: result vs prediction
Rot-Weiß Essen 2 – 0 Fortuna Köln
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Hansa Rostock v SV Meppen — match page
- FC Saarbrücken v MSV Duisburg — match page
- Havelse v Würzburger Kickers — match page
- Stuttgart II vs Hoffenheim II — team news & stats
- Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf — team news & stats
- SV Wehen vs Alemannia Aachen
- FC Viktoria Köln vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach — team news & stats
- Verl vs SSV Jahn Regensburg — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 58.3% | 1.72 | -4.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.0% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 58.3% |
| Draw | 22.8% | |
| Fortuna Köln | 19.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.3% |
| No | 47.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rot-Weiß Essen win | 23.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 54.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 1-0 | 10.2% | |
| 2-1 | 9.2% |
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln stats
Rot-Weiß Essen and Fortuna Köln recent form
| Rot-Weiß Essen |
DDWWWD |
| Fortuna Köln |
DWLDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rot-Weiß Essen and Fortuna Köln going into this match
Rot-Weiß Essen record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Fortuna Köln record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
3Rot-Weiß Essen wins
2Draws
1Fortuna Köln wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-07-12 | Rot-Weiß Essen | Fortuna Köln | Friendlies Clubs | 5-0 |
| 2022-03-16 | Fortuna Köln | Rot-Weiß Essen | Regionalliga - West | 3-3 |
| 2021-08-29 | Rot-Weiß Essen | Fortuna Köln | Regionalliga - West | 2-1 |
| 2021-03-07 | Rot-Weiß Essen | Fortuna Köln | Regionalliga - West | 2-0 |
| 2020-10-10 | Fortuna Köln | Rot-Weiß Essen | Regionalliga - West | 1-1 |
| 2019-10-11 | Rot-Weiß Essen | Fortuna Köln | Regionalliga - West | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Fortuna Köln odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 62.5%, draw 20.9%, away 16.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.44 | 4.33 | 5.52 |
| Bet365 | 1.45 | 4.10 | 5.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.36 | 3.75 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.50 | 4.45 | 5.60 |
| Betfair | 1.40 | 4.40 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.51 | 4.50 | 5.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.43 | 4.33 | 5.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.47 | 4.85 | 5.90 |
| SBO | 1.45 | 4.07 | 5.13 |
| William Hill | 1.44 | 4.33 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.44 ▼ -0.01
X
4.33 —
2
5.45 ▲ +0.05
10 snapshots recorded, from .