Alemannia Aachen
vs
FC Viktoria Köln
Garuda Lions Prediction: Alemannia Aachen
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Alemannia Aachen vs FC Viktoria Köln overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Alemannia Aachen vs FC Viktoria Köln
| Probability | Alemannia Aachen | Draw | FC Viktoria Köln |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.2% | 26.7% | 29.1% |
| Market | 43.9% | 24.8% | 31.3% |
| Final | 44.0% | 25.3% | 30.7% |
| Edge | +0.3% | +1.9% | -2.2% |
Why Alemannia Aachen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.61 vs 1.27.
Best available price on the pick: 2.15, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Alemannia Aachen vs FC Viktoria Köln match preview
Alemannia Aachen faces FC Viktoria Köln in a 3. Liga matchup on October 11, 2026. The model indicates a 46% probability of an Alemannia Aachen victory, with a 25% chance of a draw and a 30% likelihood of a FC Viktoria Köln win. The expected goals suggest Alemannia Aachen will score 1.61 and FC Viktoria Köln 1.27, pointing towards a competitive match. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Alemannia Aachen, occurring with a 9% probability.
In terms of recent form, Alemannia Aachen has recorded a mixed bag with two wins, two losses, and two draws in their last six matches. Conversely, FC Viktoria Köln has been in better form, winning four of their last six encounters. The probabilities indicate a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance for both teams to score, further emphasizing the potential for an engaging contest.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Alemannia Aachen and FC Viktoria Köln expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.88
Alemannia Aachen and FC Viktoria Köln attack and defence ratings
Alemannia Aachen
FC Viktoria Köln
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse — team news & stats
- Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock — team news & stats
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach v Waldhof Mannheim — match page
- SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II — team news & stats
- Fortuna Köln vs FC Saarbrücken
- MSV Duisburg v Hoffenheim II — match page
- FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen
- Fortuna Düsseldorf v Verl — match page
Before and after this match
Alemannia Aachen vs FC Viktoria Köln markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alemannia Aachen | 44.0% | 2.27 | +0.3% | 2.15 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.8% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Alemannia Aachen | 44.0% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| FC Viktoria Köln | 30.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.8% |
| No | 41.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Alemannia Aachen win | 23.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 55.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 1-0 | 7.8% |
Alemannia Aachen vs FC Viktoria Köln stats
Alemannia Aachen and FC Viktoria Köln recent form
| Alemannia Aachen |
WLDWLD |
| FC Viktoria Köln |
WWWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Alemannia Aachen and FC Viktoria Köln season so far
Alemannia Aachen record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- 47% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Viktoria Köln record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
Alemannia Aachen vs FC Viktoria Köln head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | FC Viktoria Köln | Alemannia Aachen | 3. Liga | 0-3 |
| 2025-12-13 | Alemannia Aachen | FC Viktoria Köln | 3. Liga | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Alemannia Aachen vs FC Viktoria Köln odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.9%, draw 24.8%, away 31.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.04 | 3.65 | 2.92 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.40 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.30 | 2.60 |
| Betano | 2.15 | 3.75 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.75 | 2.88 |
| Dafabet | 2.11 | 3.70 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.02 | 3.65 | 2.86 |
| Pinnacle | 2.13 | 3.80 | 2.99 |
| SBO | 2.08 | 3.38 | 2.66 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
30 snapshots recorded, from .