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3. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 8

Alemannia Aachen vs FC Viktoria Köln

2 – 5 Full time

11′Yannick Aime Tonye
20′Lucas Wolf
22′Lukas Scepanik
38′Tim kloss
40′David Otto
42′Tobias Eisenhuth
54′Meiko Sponsel
58′Niklas Horst Castelle
60′Yannick Aime TonyeKilian Jakob
60′Niklas Horst CastelleNoah Maboulou
62′Mika SchroersKen Eghosa Gideon Izekor
62′Danilo WiebeDylan Leonard
62′Louis KösterDaniel Starodid
69′Mehdi Loune
72′Mehdi Lounemeiko waschenbach
73′Meiko SponselVerthomy Schilo Boboy
73′Lucas WolfNiklas Jahn
76′Petros BagalianisKacper Koscierski
84′Taylan DumanJason Amann
90′Lukas Scepanik

Tivoli, AachenReferee: Assad Nouhoum

Alemannia Aachen 42%
Draw 25%
FC Viktoria Köln 33%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 20
9 Shots on target 7
45 Possession % 55
8 Corners 4

Alemannia Aachen vs FC Viktoria Köln overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Alemannia Aachen vs FC Viktoria Köln

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAlemannia AachenDrawFC Viktoria Köln
Model44.1%26.8%29.2%
Market41.4%25.0%33.6%
Final42.1%25.4%32.5%
Edge+0.7%+0.4%-1.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Alemannia Aachen

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 1.28.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Alemannia Aach ↓ / FC Viktoria Kö → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 1 8% 13% 7% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 79%
3+ goals 55%
No goals 7%

Alemannia Aachen and FC Viktoria Köln expected goals

Alemannia Aachen 1.60
FC Viktoria Köln 1.28

Total expected goals: 2.88

Alemannia Aachen and FC Viktoria Köln attack and defence ratings

Alemannia Aachen

Attack 1.18 +18%
Defence 0.70 -30%

FC Viktoria Köln

Attack 1.23 +23%
Defence 0.78 -22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Alemannia Aachen vs FC Viktoria Köln: result vs prediction

Alemannia Aachen 2 – 5 FC Viktoria Köln

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

3. Liga

Before and after this match

Alemannia Aachen vs FC Viktoria Köln markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Alemannia Aachen 42.1% 2.38 +0.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 55.0% 1.82 — —
Both teams to score Yes 58.8% 1.70 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.6% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 56.1% 1.78 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Alemannia Aachen42.1%
Draw25.4%
FC Viktoria Köln32.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.555.0%
Under 2.545.0%
Both teams to scoreYes58.8%
No41.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)67.5%
12 (either side)74.6%
X2 (draw or away)57.9%
Handicap -1Alemannia Aachen win23.1%
Push (exactly one goal)20.8%
Loss56.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.6%
2-19.2%
1-07.9%

Alemannia Aachen vs FC Viktoria Köln stats

Alemannia Aachen and FC Viktoria Köln recent form

newest first
Alemannia Aachen WLDWLD
FC Viktoria Köln WWWLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Alemannia Aachen and FC Viktoria Köln going into this match

league record before kick-off

Alemannia Aachen record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Viktoria Köln record

  • They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
  • They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.

Alemannia Aachen vs FC Viktoria Köln head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

2Alemannia Aachen wins 0Draws 2FC Viktoria Köln wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-10FC Viktoria KölnAlemannia Aachen3. Liga0-3
2025-12-13Alemannia AachenFC Viktoria Köln3. Liga0-3
2025-02-14FC Viktoria KölnAlemannia Aachen3. Liga3-1
2024-09-15Alemannia AachenFC Viktoria Köln3. Liga1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Alemannia Aachen vs FC Viktoria Köln odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.4%, draw 25.0%, away 33.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.17 3.62 2.71
Bet365 2.15 3.40 2.75
BetVictor 2.05 3.30 2.45
Betano 2.27 3.65 2.80
Betfair 2.20 3.75 2.63
Dafabet 2.28 3.65 2.80
Marathonbet 2.15 3.62 2.65
Pinnacle 2.32 3.73 2.84
SBO 2.15 3.45 2.67
William Hill 2.25 3.30 2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.19 ▲ +0.14
X 3.62 ▼ -0.18
2 2.69 ▼ -0.46

33 snapshots recorded, from .