SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
vs
Waldhof Mannheim
Garuda Lions Prediction: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
1 – 0 Predicted score · 9% model probability
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Waldhof Mannheim overview
Garuda Lions analysis: SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Waldhof Mannheim
| Probability | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | Draw | Waldhof Mannheim |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.3% | 29.2% | 34.5% |
| Market | 41.1% | 24.8% | 34.1% |
| Final | 39.9% | 25.9% | 34.2% |
| Edge | -4.8% | +4.4% | +0.4% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.29, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Waldhof Mannheim match preview
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach faces Waldhof Mannheim in an intriguing 3. Liga matchup. The model indicates a balanced contest, with both teams holding a 37% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 26%. Expected goals are closely matched, with SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach at 1.29 and Waldhof Mannheim at 1.26. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach, which has a 9% probability.
Recent form shows SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach with mixed results, recording one win, two draws, and two losses in their last five matches. In contrast, Waldhof Mannheim has struggled, winning only one of their last six games, with three consecutive losses. The likelihood of both teams scoring is at 53%, while over 2.5 goals is projected at 47%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and Waldhof Mannheim expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.55
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and Waldhof Mannheim attack and defence ratings
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
Waldhof Mannheim
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
- Preußen Münster vs Rot-Weiß Essen
- SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Havelse — team news & stats
- Würzburger Kickers vs Hansa Rostock — team news & stats
- SV Meppen vs Stuttgart II — team news & stats
- Fortuna Köln vs FC Saarbrücken
- MSV Duisburg v Hoffenheim II — match page
- FC Ingolstadt 04 vs SV Wehen
- Alemannia Aachen v FC Viktoria Köln — match page
Before and after this match
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Waldhof Mannheim markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 39.9% | 2.51 | -4.8% | 2.29 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 39.9% |
| Draw | 25.9% | |
| Waldhof Mannheim | 34.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.2% |
| No | 46.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 65.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 60.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach win | 16.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 63.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 0-0 | 9.1% | |
| 1-0 | 8.8% |
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Waldhof Mannheim stats
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and Waldhof Mannheim recent form
| SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach |
LDDWLD |
| Waldhof Mannheim |
WLWLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach and Waldhof Mannheim season so far
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Waldhof Mannheim record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Waldhof Mannheim head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-06-20 | Waldhof Mannheim | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | 3. Liga | 3-2 |
| 2019-11-09 | SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach | Waldhof Mannheim | 3. Liga | 0-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Waldhof Mannheim odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.1%, draw 24.8%, away 34.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.19 | 3.64 | 2.67 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.40 | 2.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.05 | 3.30 | 2.45 |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.80 | 2.72 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.75 | 2.63 |
| Dafabet | 2.29 | 3.70 | 2.75 |
| Marathonbet | 2.17 | 3.64 | 2.61 |
| Pinnacle | 2.26 | 3.88 | 2.74 |
| SBO | 2.15 | 3.40 | 2.54 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.62 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
30 snapshots recorded, from .