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3. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 9

Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04

0 – 3 Full time

14′Maximilian Thalhammer
34′Rui Tomás Faustino Pinto da Mota
45′Leroy-Jacques MickelsFrancisco Fumaça de Mascarenhas da Costa Pessoa
57′Lukas Fröde
59′Lars Lokotsch
63′Dennis KayginObed Chidindu Ugondu
63′Keanan BennettsJosef Ganda
64′Max Plath
67′benjamin kanuricFrederik Carlsen
67′Lukas FrödeVinko Sapina
70′Julian UlbrichtGonçalo Gregório
70′Lovis Frederik BierschenkNoah Joel Sarenren Bazee
70′Lukas KlünterJid Okeke
77′Max PlathYannick Deichmann
83′Josef Ganda
88′Obed Chidindu Ugondu
90′Vinko Sapina

Carl-Benz-Stadion, MannheimReferee: Timon Oliver Schulz

Waldhof Mannheim 50%
Draw 24%
FC Ingolstadt 04 27%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

3 Shots 15
1 Shots on target 6
43 Possession % 57
3 Corners 7

Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04 overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWaldhof MannheimDrawFC Ingolstadt 04
Model56.7%21.8%21.5%
Market47.5%24.2%28.3%
Final49.8%23.6%26.6%
Edge+2.3%-0.6%-1.7%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Waldhof Mannheim

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.22 vs 1.33.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Waldhof Mannheim below our published probability: +2.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Waldhof Mannhe ↓ / FC Ingolstadt → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 9% 6% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 5% 7% 4+ 5% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 69%
No goals 4%

Waldhof Mannheim and FC Ingolstadt 04 expected goals

Waldhof Mannheim 2.22
FC Ingolstadt 04 1.33

Total expected goals: 3.56

Waldhof Mannheim and FC Ingolstadt 04 attack and defence ratings

Waldhof Mannheim

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 0.96 -4%

FC Ingolstadt 04

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 1.19 +19%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04: result vs prediction

Waldhof Mannheim 0 – 3 FC Ingolstadt 04

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

3. Liga

Before and after this match

Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04 markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Waldhof Mannheim 49.8% 2.01 +2.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 68.9% 1.45 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.5% 1.50 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.4% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 43.3% 2.31 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Waldhof Mannheim49.8%
Draw23.6%
FC Ingolstadt 0426.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.568.9%
Under 2.531.1%
Both teams to scoreYes66.5%
No33.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.4%
12 (either side)76.4%
X2 (draw or away)50.2%
Handicap -1Waldhof Mannheim win35.9%
Push (exactly one goal)20.9%
Loss43.3%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.4%
1-19.3%
2-07.1%

Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04 stats

Waldhof Mannheim and FC Ingolstadt 04 recent form

newest first
Waldhof Mannheim WWLWLL
FC Ingolstadt 04 LLLWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Waldhof Mannheim and FC Ingolstadt 04 going into this match

league record before kick-off

Waldhof Mannheim record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They average 2.8 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
  • 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Ingolstadt 04 record

  • They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.

Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04 head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Waldhof Mannheim wins 4Draws 4FC Ingolstadt 04 wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-16FC Ingolstadt 04Waldhof Mannheim3. Liga5-1
2025-12-20Waldhof MannheimFC Ingolstadt 043. Liga2-2
2025-01-19Waldhof MannheimFC Ingolstadt 043. Liga0-0
2024-08-04FC Ingolstadt 04Waldhof Mannheim3. Liga2-1
2024-05-05FC Ingolstadt 04Waldhof Mannheim3. Liga1-1
2023-12-02Waldhof MannheimFC Ingolstadt 043. Liga1-1
2023-03-15Waldhof MannheimFC Ingolstadt 043. Liga3-2
2022-09-10FC Ingolstadt 04Waldhof Mannheim3. Liga1-0
2021-03-20FC Ingolstadt 04Waldhof Mannheim3. Liga1-0
2020-11-14Waldhof MannheimFC Ingolstadt 043. Liga4-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04 odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 47.4%, draw 24.5%, away 28.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.91 3.70 3.20
Bet365 1.90 3.60 3.25
BetVictor 1.80 3.30 2.90
Betano 2.00 3.85 3.25
Betfair 1.91 3.80 3.10
Dafabet 1.99 3.80 3.30
Marathonbet 1.89 3.70 3.14
Pinnacle 1.94 4.04 3.46
SBO 1.96 3.46 3.04
William Hill 1.91 3.60 3.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.94 ▼ -0.20
X 3.80 ▲ +0.10
2 3.25 ▲ +0.35

9 snapshots recorded, from .