Waldhof Mannheim
vs
FC Ingolstadt 04
Garuda Lions Prediction: Waldhof Mannheim
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04
| Probability | Waldhof Mannheim | Draw | FC Ingolstadt 04 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.0% | 27.0% | 30.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 43.0% | 27.0% | 30.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04 match preview
Waldhof Mannheim faces FC Ingolstadt 04 in a 3. Liga clash on October 14, 2026. According to our model, Waldhof Mannheim has a 43% probability of winning, while FC Ingolstadt 04 stands at 30%, with a 27% chance of a draw. The expected goals for Waldhof Mannheim is 1.58, compared to FC Ingolstadt's 1.29. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Waldhof Mannheim, occurring at a rate of 9%.
Recent form shows Waldhof Mannheim with a record of W-L-W-L-L-L, while FC Ingolstadt 04 has L-L-W-L-W-D. In their last two head-to-head encounters, Waldhof Mannheim has not secured a win, recording 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss against FC Ingolstadt 04. Our model indicates a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% likelihood that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Waldhof Mannheim and FC Ingolstadt 04 expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.86
Waldhof Mannheim and FC Ingolstadt 04 attack and defence ratings
Waldhof Mannheim
FC Ingolstadt 04
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Havelse v Würzburger Kickers — match page
- Preußen Münster vs Fortuna Düsseldorf — team news & stats
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Before and after this match
Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Waldhof Mannheim | 43.0% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Waldhof Mannheim | 43.0% |
| Draw | 27.0% | |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 | 30.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.6% |
| No | 41.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 70.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Waldhof Mannheim win | 22.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.6% | |
| Loss | 57.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 2-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-0 | 7.8% |
Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04 stats
Waldhof Mannheim and FC Ingolstadt 04 recent form
| Waldhof Mannheim |
WLWLLL |
| FC Ingolstadt 04 |
LLWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Waldhof Mannheim and FC Ingolstadt 04 season so far
Waldhof Mannheim record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.2 at home.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Ingolstadt 04 record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Waldhof Mannheim vs FC Ingolstadt 04 head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | FC Ingolstadt 04 | Waldhof Mannheim | 3. Liga | 5-1 |
| 2025-12-20 | Waldhof Mannheim | FC Ingolstadt 04 | 3. Liga | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.