Fortuna Düsseldorf
vs
FC Saarbrücken
1 – 3 Full time
| 10′ | Jordi Paulina | ||
| 13′ | Kai Brünker | ||
| 43′ | Mladen cvjetinovic | ||
| 50′ | Kelsey Owusu | ||
| 58′ | Gokdeniz GurpuzAlexander Staff | ||
| 63′ | Jomaine ConsbruchFabian Schleusener | ||
| 73′ | Jordi PaulinaPhilipp Förster | ||
| 73′ | Jorrit HendrixMiguel Fernandes Goncalves | ||
| 73′ | Kelsey OwusuSeung-joon Lee | ||
| 81′ | Andreas MüllerLukas Bornschein | ||
| 81′ | Erik WekesserSascha Risch | ||
| 82′ | Florian PickMaurice Multhaup | ||
| 82′ | Kai BrünkerKaan Caliskaner | ||
| 88′ | Lukas Bornschein | ||
| 90′ | Alexander Staff | ||
| 90′ | Alexander Staff |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 7 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 8 | Corners | 6 |
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Saarbrücken overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Saarbrücken
| Probability | Fortuna Düsseldorf | Draw | FC Saarbrücken |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.2% | 25.8% | 39.0% |
| Market | 44.0% | 25.4% | 30.6% |
| Final | 41.8% | 25.5% | 32.7% |
| Edge | -8.8% | +0.4% | +8.4% |
Why Fortuna Düsseldorf
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fortuna Düsseldorf and FC Saarbrücken expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.15
Fortuna Düsseldorf and FC Saarbrücken attack and defence ratings
Fortuna Düsseldorf
FC Saarbrücken
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Saarbrücken: result vs prediction
Fortuna Düsseldorf 1 – 3 FC Saarbrücken
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Fortuna Köln v Stuttgart II — match page
- SSV Jahn Regensburg v SV Wehen — match page
- FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Rot-Weiß Essen — team news & stats
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Preußen Münster — team news & stats
- Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock — team news & stats
- Würzburger Kickers v Waldhof Mannheim — match page
- Hoffenheim II vs Verl
- MSV Duisburg vs FC Viktoria Köln
Before and after this match
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Saarbrücken markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 41.8% | 2.39 | -8.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fortuna Düsseldorf | 41.8% |
| Draw | 25.5% | |
| FC Saarbrücken | 32.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.8% |
| No | 36.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 67.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fortuna Düsseldorf win | 17.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 17.8% | |
| Loss | 64.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 1-2 | 8.6% | |
| 2-1 | 8.1% |
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Saarbrücken stats
Fortuna Düsseldorf and FC Saarbrücken recent form
| Fortuna Düsseldorf |
WDLWWD |
| FC Saarbrücken |
LDWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fortuna Düsseldorf and FC Saarbrücken going into this match
Fortuna Düsseldorf record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
FC Saarbrücken record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Saarbrücken head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2020-03-03 | FC Saarbrücken | Fortuna Düsseldorf | DFB Pokal | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs FC Saarbrücken odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 44.2%, draw 25.4%, away 30.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.02 | 3.56 | 3.02 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 1.93 | 3.20 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.18 | 3.65 | 3.00 |
| Betfair | 2.00 | 3.70 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.14 | 3.70 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.00 | 3.56 | 2.96 |
| Pinnacle | 2.11 | 3.90 | 3.06 |
| SBO | 2.09 | 3.26 | 2.73 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .