3. Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Rot-Weiß Essen
vs
Hansa Rostock
1 – 1 Full time
| 6′ | Lucas Brumme | ||
| 24′ | Leon Dajaku | ||
| 30′ | Niklas Kolle | ||
| 45′ | Leon DajakuDavid Kopacz | ||
| 54′ | Maximilian Krauss | ||
| 62′ | Ahmet Gurleyen | ||
| 62′ | Peter KiedlAndreas Voglsammer | ||
| 65′ | Noah PeschDickson Abiama | ||
| 65′ | Marvin ObuzNick Bätzner | ||
| 74′ | Lucas BrummeAiman Dardari | ||
| 74′ | Marek JanssenJaka Cuber Potocnik | ||
| 76′ | Benno DietzeMilosz Brzozowski | ||
| 84′ | Janne sietanRuben Seyram Reisig | ||
| 89′ | Semir telalovic | ||
| 90′ | Florian Bohnert | ||
| 90′ | Milosz Brzozowski | ||
| 90′ | Franci Clarck Bouebari Kitsamoutse | ||
| 90′ | Maximilian KraussLukas Wallner |
Rot-Weiß Essen
48%
Draw
23%
Hansa Rostock
29%
Match stats
| 22 | Shots | 8 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 65 | Possession % | 35 |
| 7 | Corners | 3 |
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Hansa Rostock overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rot-Weiß Essen vs Hansa Rostock
| Probability | Rot-Weiß Essen | Draw | Hansa Rostock |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 60.3% | 18.3% | 21.4% |
| Market | 43.6% | 25.2% | 31.2% |
| Final | 47.8% | 23.5% | 28.7% |
| Edge | +16.7% | -7.0% | -9.7% |
Why Rot-Weiß Essen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.81 vs 1.70.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Rot-Weiß Essen below the model: +16.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
98%
2+ goals
94%
3+ goals
83%
No goals
2%
Rot-Weiß Essen and Hansa Rostock expected goals
Rot-Weiß Essen
2.81
Hansa Rostock
1.70
Total expected goals: 4.51
Rot-Weiß Essen and Hansa Rostock attack and defence ratings
Rot-Weiß Essen
Attack
1.15 +15%
Defence
0.90 -10%
Hansa Rostock
Attack
1.28 +28%
Defence
1.39 +39%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Hansa Rostock: result vs prediction
Rot-Weiß Essen 1 – 1 Hansa Rostock
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Verl vs Würzburger Kickers
- FC Viktoria Köln v FC Ingolstadt 04 — match page
- Alemannia Aachen vs Fortuna Düsseldorf — team news & stats
- Hoffenheim II v SV Meppen — match page
- Stuttgart II vs SSV Jahn Regensburg — team news & stats
- FC Saarbrücken vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- Waldhof Mannheim vs Preußen Münster — team news & stats
- SV Wehen vs MSV Duisburg
Before and after this match
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Hansa Rostock markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 47.8% | 2.09 | +16.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Rot-Weiß Essen win | 41.5% | 2.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 47.8% |
| Draw | 23.5% | |
| Hansa Rostock | 28.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 17.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 77.4% |
| No | 22.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 52.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rot-Weiß Essen win | 41.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.8% | |
| Loss | 39.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.4% |
| 3-1 | 6.9% | |
| 2-2 | 6.3% |
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Hansa Rostock stats
Rot-Weiß Essen and Hansa Rostock recent form
| Rot-Weiß Essen |
WWWDWW |
| Hansa Rostock |
WLDWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rot-Weiß Essen and Hansa Rostock going into this match
Rot-Weiß Essen record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Hansa Rostock record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Hansa Rostock head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
2Rot-Weiß Essen wins
0Draws
2Hansa Rostock wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Hansa Rostock | Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga | 3-2 |
| 2025-09-20 | Rot-Weiß Essen | Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga | 3-0 |
| 2025-04-06 | Rot-Weiß Essen | Hansa Rostock | 3. Liga | 2-1 |
| 2024-10-26 | Hansa Rostock | Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Hansa Rostock odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.6%, draw 25.2%, away 31.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.06 | 3.56 | 2.94 |
| Bet365 | 2.05 | 3.50 | 2.88 |
| BetVictor | 1.95 | 3.25 | 2.63 |
| Betano | 2.20 | 3.65 | 2.92 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.75 | 2.80 |
| Marathonbet | 2.04 | 3.56 | 2.88 |
| Pinnacle | 2.14 | 3.86 | 3.07 |
| SBO | 2.20 | 3.29 | 2.70 |
| William Hill | 2.10 | 3.40 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.06 ▼ -0.12
X
3.56 ▼ -0.20
2
2.88 ▲ +0.25
10 snapshots recorded, from .