3. Liga
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
Waldhof Mannheim
vs
Rot-Weiß Essen
1 – 2 Full time
| 7′ | Janne sietan | ||
| 57′ | Vincent Thill | ||
| 59′ | Claudio Kammerknecht | ||
| 60′ | Julian UlbrichtGonçalo Gregório | ||
| 60′ | Noah Joel Sarenren BazeeLovis Frederik Bierschenk | ||
| 60′ | Maximilian ThalhammerDiego Michel | ||
| 63′ | Owono Darnell Keumo | ||
| 65′ | Jaka Cuber PotocnikMarek Janssen | ||
| 65′ | Marvin ObuzLucas Brumme | ||
| 70′ | Janne sietan | ||
| 70′ | Dickson AbiamaNick Bätzner | ||
| 72′ | Semir telalovic | ||
| 78′ | Noah PeschMichael Kostka | ||
| 78′ | Semir telalovicLuca Bazzoli | ||
| 78′ | Vincent ThillFrancisco Fumaça de Mascarenhas da Costa Pessoa | ||
| 78′ | Joey MullerNolan Xavier Muteba N'Tumba | ||
| 88′ | Marek Janssen |
Waldhof Mannheim
31%
Draw
26%
Rot-Weiß Essen
43%
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 50 | Possession % | 50 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
Waldhof Mannheim vs Rot-Weiß Essen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Waldhof Mannheim vs Rot-Weiß Essen
| Probability | Waldhof Mannheim | Draw | Rot-Weiß Essen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.3% | 24.9% | 47.8% |
| Market | 32.6% | 26.1% | 41.3% |
| Final | 31.3% | 25.8% | 42.9% |
| Edge | -5.3% | -1.2% | +6.5% |
Why Rot-Weiß Essen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 1.35.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Rot-Weiß Essen below the model: +6.5 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
84%
3+ goals
61%
No goals
5%
Waldhof Mannheim and Rot-Weiß Essen expected goals
Waldhof Mannheim
1.35
Rot-Weiß Essen
1.83
Total expected goals: 3.17
Waldhof Mannheim and Rot-Weiß Essen attack and defence ratings
Waldhof Mannheim
Attack
0.83 -17%
Defence
1.07 +7%
Rot-Weiß Essen
Attack
1.16 +16%
Defence
0.92 -8%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Waldhof Mannheim vs Rot-Weiß Essen: result vs prediction
Waldhof Mannheim 1 – 2 Rot-Weiß Essen
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- SSV Jahn Regensburg vs Fortuna Düsseldorf — team news & stats
- MSV Duisburg vs Havelse
- Würzburger Kickers v Alemannia Aachen — match page
- SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach vs Verl — team news & stats
- SV Meppen vs FC Viktoria Köln
- FC Ingolstadt 04 v Hoffenheim II — match page
- Preußen Münster vs FC Saarbrücken — team news & stats
- Hansa Rostock vs Stuttgart II
Before and after this match
Waldhof Mannheim vs Rot-Weiß Essen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 42.9% | 2.33 | +6.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.1% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Waldhof Mannheim | 31.3% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| Rot-Weiß Essen | 42.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.1% |
| No | 36.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 68.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rot-Weiß Essen win | 27.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 52.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.3% |
| 1-2 | 9.4% | |
| 0-2 | 7.0% |
Waldhof Mannheim vs Rot-Weiß Essen stats
Waldhof Mannheim and Rot-Weiß Essen recent form
| Waldhof Mannheim |
WLLLDW |
| Rot-Weiß Essen |
WWDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Waldhof Mannheim and Rot-Weiß Essen going into this match
Waldhof Mannheim record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Rot-Weiß Essen record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Waldhof Mannheim vs Rot-Weiß Essen head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
3Waldhof Mannheim wins
0Draws
5Rot-Weiß Essen wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Rot-Weiß Essen | Waldhof Mannheim | 3. Liga | 1-0 |
| 2025-09-27 | Waldhof Mannheim | Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga | 6-1 |
| 2025-03-09 | Rot-Weiß Essen | Waldhof Mannheim | 3. Liga | 1-0 |
| 2024-09-28 | Waldhof Mannheim | Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga | 1-0 |
| 2024-04-21 | Waldhof Mannheim | Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga | 0-2 |
| 2023-11-12 | Rot-Weiß Essen | Waldhof Mannheim | 3. Liga | 2-0 |
| 2023-04-16 | Rot-Weiß Essen | Waldhof Mannheim | 3. Liga | 0-3 |
| 2022-10-22 | Waldhof Mannheim | Rot-Weiß Essen | 3. Liga | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Waldhof Mannheim vs Rot-Weiß Essen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.6%, draw 26.1%, away 41.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.78 | 3.44 | 2.19 |
| Bet365 | 2.75 | 3.50 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.20 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 2.77 | 3.65 | 2.30 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.75 | 2.15 |
| Marathonbet | 2.72 | 3.44 | 2.17 |
| Pinnacle | 2.86 | 3.70 | 2.32 |
| SBO | 2.69 | 3.32 | 2.09 |
| William Hill | 2.75 | 3.30 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.75 ▲ +0.28
X
3.44 ▼ -0.23
2
2.17 ▼ -0.15
10 snapshots recorded, from .