Rot-Weiß Essen
vs
Würzburger Kickers
6 – 2 Full time
| 12′ | Nathan De Medina | ||
| 24′ | Marek Janssen | ||
| 29′ | Semir telalovic | ||
| 32′ | Michael Kostka | ||
| 44′ | Noah Pesch | ||
| 44′ | David AbrangaoFranck evina | ||
| 45′ | Marek Janssen | ||
| 60′ | L. Omore | ||
| 60′ | Aiman DardariRuben Seyram Reisig | ||
| 60′ | Marek JanssenNick Bätzner | ||
| 61′ | Tim·KrausXaver Kiefersauer | ||
| 61′ | Thomas KastanarasJermain Nischalke | ||
| 61′ | Philipp Ochsivan franjic | ||
| 64′ | Franck evina | ||
| 64′ | Janne sietan | ||
| 65′ | Jakob Golz | ||
| 69′ | Noah PeschLucas Brumme | ||
| 76′ | Louis BreunigDominik Meisel | ||
| 78′ | Nick Bätzner | ||
| 86′ | Nick Bätzner | ||
| 88′ | Semir telalovicJaka Cuber Potocnik | ||
| 88′ | Marvin ObuzDickson Abiama | ||
| 90′ | Dominik Meisel | ||
| 90′ | Lucas Brumme |
Match stats
| 27 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 62 | Possession % | 38 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Würzburger Kickers overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Rot-Weiß Essen vs Würzburger Kickers
| Probability | Rot-Weiß Essen | Draw | Würzburger Kickers |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 47.0% | 26.3% | 26.7% |
| Market | 55.1% | 23.9% | 21.0% |
| Final | 53.1% | 24.5% | 22.4% |
| Edge | -8.1% | +2.4% | +5.7% |
Why Rot-Weiß Essen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.68 vs 1.22.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Rot-Weiß Essen and Würzburger Kickers expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.90
Rot-Weiß Essen and Würzburger Kickers attack and defence ratings
Rot-Weiß Essen
Würzburger Kickers
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Würzburger Kickers: result vs prediction
Rot-Weiß Essen 6 – 2 Würzburger Kickers
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- FC Viktoria Köln v Hansa Rostock — match page
- Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg — team news & stats
- FC Saarbrücken v FC Ingolstadt 04 — match page
- Verl vs SV Meppen — team news & stats
- Havelse vs SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach
- Alemannia Aachen v SSV Jahn Regensburg — match page
- Stuttgart II vs Preußen Münster — team news & stats
- SV Wehen vs Waldhof Mannheim
Before and after this match
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Würzburger Kickers markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 53.1% | 1.88 | -8.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.4% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rot-Weiß Essen | 53.1% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| Würzburger Kickers | 22.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.4% |
| No | 41.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rot-Weiß Essen win | 25.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 53.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | |
| 1-0 | 8.1% |
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Würzburger Kickers stats
Rot-Weiß Essen and Würzburger Kickers recent form
| Rot-Weiß Essen |
WDWWLL |
| Würzburger Kickers |
LLLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Würzburger Kickers head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Rot-Weiß Essen vs Würzburger Kickers odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.1%, draw 23.9%, away 21.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.62 | 3.84 | 4.51 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.70 | 4.33 |
| BetVictor | 1.55 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.80 | 4.55 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.60 | 3.84 | 4.45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.66 | 4.16 | 4.61 |
| SBO | 1.58 | 3.58 | 4.21 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.70 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .