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3. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 4

Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Viktoria Köln

1 – 0 Full time

27′Tony Menzel
44′Max Geschwill
45′Kilian JakobPascal Fallmann
45′Niklas Horst CastelleNoah Maboulou
63′Jaka Cuber Potocnik
63′Marvin ObuzDickson Abiama
63′Noah PeschLucas Brumme
68′Yannick Aime TonyeMarco Pledl
75′Tony MenzelNick Bätzner
75′Jaka Cuber PotocnikMarek Janssen
80′Meiko Sponsel
81′David OttoJakob Sachse
81′Taylan DumanAlexander Prokopenko
85′Jannik Hofmann
90′Semir telalovicLuca Bazzoli

Stadion an der Hafenstrasse, EssenReferee: S. Schreiner

Rot-Weiß Essen 48%
Draw 23%
FC Viktoria Köln 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

10 Shots 4
1 Shots on target 2
52 Possession % 48
5 Corners 6
15 Fouls 15
0 Offsides 1
2 Saves 0
186 Accurate passes 526

Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Viktoria Köln overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Viktoria Köln

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRot-Weiß EssenDrawFC Viktoria Köln
Model41.9%25.6%32.5%
Market50.3%22.8%26.9%
Final48.2%23.5%28.3%
Edge-8.4%+2.9%+5.5%

Confidence: Low

Why Rot-Weiß Essen

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Rot-Weiß Essen ↓ / FC Viktoria Kö → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 12% 8% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Rot-Weiß Essen and FC Viktoria Köln expected goals

Rot-Weiß Essen 1.67
FC Viktoria Köln 1.47

Total expected goals: 3.14

Rot-Weiß Essen and FC Viktoria Köln attack and defence ratings

Rot-Weiß Essen

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 0.95 -5%

FC Viktoria Köln

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Viktoria Köln: result vs prediction

Rot-Weiß Essen 1 – 0 FC Viktoria Köln

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

3. Liga

Before and after this match

Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Viktoria Köln markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Rot-Weiß Essen 48.2% 2.08 -8.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.8% 1.64 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.6% 1.57 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.5% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.5% 1.71 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Rot-Weiß Essen48.2%
Draw23.5%
FC Viktoria Köln28.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.8%
Under 2.539.2%
Both teams to scoreYes63.6%
No36.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.7%
12 (either side)76.5%
X2 (draw or away)51.8%
Handicap -1Rot-Weiß Essen win22.0%
Push (exactly one goal)19.5%
Loss58.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.7%
2-18.9%
1-27.8%

Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Viktoria Köln stats

Rot-Weiß Essen and FC Viktoria Köln recent form

newest first
Rot-Weiß Essen DWWLLW
FC Viktoria Köln WDWLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Viktoria Köln head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

4Rot-Weiß Essen wins 1Draws 3FC Viktoria Köln wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-22FC Viktoria KölnRot-Weiß Essen3. Liga1-2
2025-10-18Rot-Weiß EssenFC Viktoria Köln3. Liga1-0
2025-03-12FC Viktoria KölnRot-Weiß Essen3. Liga1-0
2024-10-05Rot-Weiß EssenFC Viktoria Köln3. Liga2-1
2024-01-23Rot-Weiß EssenFC Viktoria Köln3. Liga3-1
2023-08-23FC Viktoria KölnRot-Weiß Essen3. Liga0-0
2023-02-13FC Viktoria KölnRot-Weiß Essen3. Liga1-0
2022-08-09Rot-Weiß EssenFC Viktoria Köln3. Liga1-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Rot-Weiß Essen vs FC Viktoria Köln odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.6%, draw 23.1%, away 26.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.83 3.95 3.65
1xBet 1.80 4.05 3.38
Bet365 1.80 3.60 3.50
BetVictor 1.70 3.40 3.13
Betano 1.83 3.95 3.70
Betfair 1.75 4.00 3.60
Dafabet 1.81 4.00 3.75
Marathonbet 1.78 4.05 3.34
Pinnacle 1.88 4.39 3.42
SBO 1.74 3.55 3.41
Unibet 1.74 3.80 3.95
William Hill 1.80 3.90 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.80 ▼ -0.07
X 3.97 ▼ -0.08
2 3.36 ▲ +0.10

11 snapshots recorded, from .