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3. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 4

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Alemannia Aachen

0 – 3 Full time

3′Danilo Wiebe
4′Elias Decker
6′Lukas Scepanik
8′Mika Schroers
9′Emre GulLukas Fröde
11′Louis Köster
53′Jonas Scholz
70′Matti WagnerKacper Koscierski
70′Danilo WiebeJustin von der Hitz
72′Vinko SapinaJosef Ganda
80′Gideon Jung
80′Louis KösterGeorg Ermolaev
83′Frederik CarlsenSejdo Durakov
87′Gideon JungDylan Leonard
87′Mehdi Lounemeiko waschenbach

Audi Sportpark, IngolstadtReferee: F. Lechner

FC Ingolstadt 04 39%
Draw 25%
Alemannia Aachen 36%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

4 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 6
30 Possession % 70
1 Corners 7
11 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 1
3 Saves 2
112 Accurate passes 617

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Alemannia Aachen overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Alemannia Aachen

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC Ingolstadt 04DrawAlemannia Aachen
Model30.2%24.1%45.7%
Market41.6%25.5%32.9%
Final38.8%25.2%36.1%
Edge-11.4%-1.4%+12.8%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Ingolstadt ↓ / Alemannia Aach → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 6% 1 10% 9% 6% 2 7% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 86%
3+ goals 66%
No goals 4%

FC Ingolstadt 04 and Alemannia Aachen expected goals

FC Ingolstadt 04 1.52
Alemannia Aachen 1.89

Total expected goals: 3.41

FC Ingolstadt 04 and Alemannia Aachen attack and defence ratings

FC Ingolstadt 04

Attack 1.13 +13%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Alemannia Aachen

Attack 1.39 +39%
Defence 0.76 -24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Alemannia Aachen: result vs prediction

FC Ingolstadt 04 0 – 3 Alemannia Aachen

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

3. Liga

Before and after this match

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Alemannia Aachen markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Ingolstadt 04 38.8% 2.58 -11.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 66.2% 1.51 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.2% 1.49 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.8% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 69.8% 1.43 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Ingolstadt 0438.8%
Draw25.2%
Alemannia Aachen36.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.566.2%
Under 2.533.8%
Both teams to scoreYes67.2%
No32.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.9%
12 (either side)74.8%
X2 (draw or away)61.2%
Handicap -1FC Ingolstadt 04 win14.5%
Push (exactly one goal)15.7%
Loss69.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.4%
1-29.0%
2-17.2%

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Alemannia Aachen stats

FC Ingolstadt 04 and Alemannia Aachen recent form

newest first
FC Ingolstadt 04 WDDWWL
Alemannia Aachen LDWWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Alemannia Aachen head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

1FC Ingolstadt 04 wins 2Draws 3Alemannia Aachen wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-21FC Ingolstadt 04Alemannia Aachen3. Liga1-2
2025-10-18Alemannia AachenFC Ingolstadt 043. Liga0-1
2025-03-11FC Ingolstadt 04Alemannia Aachen3. Liga0-3
2024-10-05Alemannia AachenFC Ingolstadt 043. Liga1-1
2012-04-08FC Ingolstadt 04Alemannia Aachen2. Bundesliga3-3
2011-10-23Alemannia AachenFC Ingolstadt 042. Bundesliga3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Ingolstadt 04 vs Alemannia Aachen odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.8%, draw 25.4%, away 33.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.38 3.70 2.65
1xBet 2.18 3.54 2.79
Bet365 2.15 3.60 2.70
BetVictor 2.05 3.20 2.50
Betano 2.32 3.60 2.75
Betfair 2.20 3.60 2.60
Dafabet 2.31 3.70 2.75
Marathonbet 2.16 3.54 2.74
Pinnacle 2.27 3.80 2.89
SBO 2.24 3.28 2.51
Superbet 2.42 3.60 2.55
Unibet 2.38 3.60 2.55
William Hill 2.20 3.40 2.75

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.17 ▼ -0.38
X 3.54 ▼ -0.04
2 2.75 ▲ +0.39

11 snapshots recorded, from .