Garuda Lions
Today
3. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 4

Hansa Rostock vs SV Wehen

1 – 1 Full time

42′Florian Bohnert
49′Leon Dajaku
53′Lukas Wallner
62′Jonas DirknerMarco Schuster
64′Tarik GözüsirinMax Brandt
64′Robin KalemNiklas May
71′Roberto MassimoSimon Stehle
74′Florian-Horst Carstens
74′Florian BohnertPeter Kiedl
75′Andreas VoglsammerOuassim Karada
76′Fabian Greilinger
78′Gino FechnerRaul Paula
78′Fabian GreilingerAyoub Chaikhoun
83′Simon Stehle
87′Maximilian KraussBernie Lennemann
87′David KopaczBenno Dietze
90′Simon Stehle
90′Moritz flotho
90′Peter Kiedl

Ostseestadion, RostockReferee: J. Besong

Hansa Rostock 60%
Draw 21%
SV Wehen 19%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 14
5 Shots on target 5
54 Possession % 46
12 Corners 3
15 Fouls 8
1 Offsides 1
4 Saves 3
357 Accurate passes 301

Hansa Rostock vs SV Wehen overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hansa Rostock vs SV Wehen

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHansa RostockDrawSV Wehen
Model75.5%13.8%10.7%
Market54.8%24.0%21.1%
Final60.0%21.5%18.5%
Edge+20.6%-10.2%-10.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Hansa Rostock

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.27 vs 1.28.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Hansa Rostock below the model: +20.6 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Hansa Rostock ↓ / SV Wehen → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 2 3 8% 4+ 12% 15% 9%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 99%
2+ goals 95%
3+ goals 83%
No goals 1%

Hansa Rostock and SV Wehen expected goals

Hansa Rostock 3.27
SV Wehen 1.28

Total expected goals: 4.55

Hansa Rostock and SV Wehen attack and defence ratings

Hansa Rostock

Attack 1.45 +45%
Defence 1.31 +31%

SV Wehen

Attack 0.67 -33%
Defence 1.28 +28%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hansa Rostock vs SV Wehen: result vs prediction

Hansa Rostock 1 – 1 SV Wehen

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

3. Liga

Before and after this match

Hansa Rostock vs SV Wehen markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Hansa Rostock 60.0% 1.67 +20.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 83.2% 1.20 — —
Both teams to score Yes 69.9% 1.43 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 81.5% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Hansa Rostock win 58.0% 1.72 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Hansa Rostock60.0%
Draw21.5%
SV Wehen18.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.583.2%
Under 2.516.8%
Both teams to scoreYes69.9%
No30.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)81.5%
12 (either side)78.5%
X2 (draw or away)40.0%
Handicap -1Hansa Rostock win58.0%
Push (exactly one goal)17.5%
Loss24.5%
Correct score (top 3)3-17.9%
2-17.2%
4-16.5%

Hansa Rostock vs SV Wehen stats

Hansa Rostock and SV Wehen recent form

newest first
Hansa Rostock WLDWWW
SV Wehen DLLLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Hansa Rostock vs SV Wehen head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Hansa Rostock wins 1Draws 5SV Wehen wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-20SV WehenHansa Rostock3. Liga0-1
2025-10-18Hansa RostockSV Wehen3. Liga3-0
2025-01-25Hansa RostockSV Wehen3. Liga1-4
2024-08-10SV WehenHansa Rostock3. Liga1-0
2024-04-05Hansa RostockSV Wehen2. Bundesliga3-1
2023-10-29SV WehenHansa Rostock2. Bundesliga1-0
2021-04-21Hansa RostockSV Wehen3. Liga1-1
2020-12-06SV WehenHansa Rostock3. Liga2-1
2019-02-03SV WehenHansa Rostock3. Liga2-0
2018-08-08Hansa RostockSV Wehen3. Liga3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hansa Rostock vs SV Wehen odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 55.1%, draw 23.5%, away 21.4%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.70 4.00 4.20
1xBet 1.65 3.84 4.31
Bet365 1.65 3.70 4.33
BetVictor 1.57 3.40 3.70
Betano 1.72 3.95 4.30
Betfair 1.67 4.00 4.20
Dafabet 1.70 3.95 4.40
Marathonbet 1.63 3.84 4.25
Pinnacle 1.70 4.17 4.38
SBO 1.63 3.58 3.87
Unibet 1.54 4.20 5.00
William Hill 1.70 3.70 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.65 ▼ -0.15
X 3.77 ▲ +0.02
2 4.28 ▲ +0.54

12 snapshots recorded, from .