Garuda Lions
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3. Liga · Full time ·Matchday 3

SV Wehen vs Rot-Weiß Essen

0 – 0 Full time

BRITA-Arena, WiesbadenReferee: L. Exuzidis

SV Wehen 29%
Draw 24%
Rot-Weiß Essen 47%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

SV Wehen vs Rot-Weiß Essen overview

Garuda Lions analysis: SV Wehen vs Rot-Weiß Essen

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySV WehenDrawRot-Weiß Essen
Model21.9%22.1%56.0%
Market31.7%24.7%43.5%
Final29.3%24.1%46.6%
Edge-9.8%-2.6%+12.4%

Confidence: Low

Why Rot-Weiß Essen

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.18 vs 1.33.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Rot-Weiß Essen below the model: +12.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

SV Wehen ↓ / Rot-Weiß Essen → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 7% 5% 1 10% 9% 7% 6% 2 6% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

SV Wehen and Rot-Weiß Essen expected goals

SV Wehen 1.33
Rot-Weiß Essen 2.18

Total expected goals: 3.51

SV Wehen and Rot-Weiß Essen attack and defence ratings

SV Wehen

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 1.43 +43%

Rot-Weiß Essen

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 1.05 +5%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

SV Wehen vs Rot-Weiß Essen: result vs prediction

SV Wehen 0 – 0 Rot-Weiß Essen

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

3. Liga

Before and after this match

SV Wehen vs Rot-Weiß Essen markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Rot-Weiß Essen 46.6% 2.14 +12.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 68.0% 1.47 — —
Both teams to score Yes 66.0% 1.51 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.9% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 44.1% 2.27 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2SV Wehen29.3%
Draw24.1%
Rot-Weiß Essen46.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.568.0%
Under 2.532.0%
Both teams to scoreYes66.0%
No34.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)53.4%
12 (either side)75.9%
X2 (draw or away)70.7%
Handicap -1Rot-Weiß Essen win35.0%
Push (exactly one goal)21.0%
Loss44.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.5%
1-29.5%
0-27.1%

SV Wehen vs Rot-Weiß Essen stats

SV Wehen and Rot-Weiß Essen recent form

newest first
SV Wehen LLLWLL
Rot-Weiß Essen WWLLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

SV Wehen vs Rot-Weiß Essen head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

3SV Wehen wins 1Draws 2Rot-Weiß Essen wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-01Rot-Weiß EssenSV Wehen3. Liga1-1
2025-08-22SV WehenRot-Weiß Essen3. Liga3-4
2025-02-15SV WehenRot-Weiß Essen3. Liga1-3
2024-09-14Rot-Weiß EssenSV Wehen3. Liga0-3
2023-03-25Rot-Weiß EssenSV Wehen3. Liga1-3
2022-10-02SV WehenRot-Weiß Essen3. Liga3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

SV Wehen vs Rot-Weiß Essen odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 31.7%, draw 24.7%, away 43.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 2.88 3.80 2.20
1xBet 2.87 3.70 2.08
Bet365 2.90 3.50 2.10
Betano 2.90 3.70 2.20
Betfair 2.80 3.80 2.10
Dafabet 2.95 3.70 2.14
Marathonbet 2.82 3.70 2.06
Pinnacle 2.91 3.97 2.12
SBO 2.72 3.34 2.08
Superbet 2.95 3.65 2.15
William Hill 2.80 3.60 2.05

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.88 ▼ -0.07
X 3.70 ▼ -0.10
2 2.10 ▲ +0.07

14 snapshots recorded, from .