DFB Pokal
·
Full time
·Round of 64
SV Wehen
vs
Bayer Leverkusen
0 – 4 Full time
SV Wehen
5%
Draw
10%
Bayer Leverkusen
85%
SV Wehen vs Bayer Leverkusen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: SV Wehen vs Bayer Leverkusen
| Probability | SV Wehen | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 4.3% | 8.5% | 87.3% |
| Market | 4.9% | 10.4% | 84.6% |
| Final | 4.8% | 9.9% | 85.3% |
| Edge | -0.7% | -2.0% | +2.6% |
Why Bayer Leverkusen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.82 vs 0.90.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Bayer Leverkusen below the model: +2.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
99%
2+ goals
95%
3+ goals
85%
No goals
1%
SV Wehen and Bayer Leverkusen expected goals
SV Wehen
0.90
Bayer Leverkusen
3.82
Total expected goals: 4.73
SV Wehen and Bayer Leverkusen attack and defence ratings
SV Wehen
Attack
0.79 -21%
Defence
1.30 +30%
Bayer Leverkusen
Attack
1.29 +29%
Defence
1.17 +17%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
SV Wehen vs Bayer Leverkusen: result vs prediction
SV Wehen 0 – 4 Bayer Leverkusen
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
- Preußen Münster v Karlsruher SC — match page
- Waldhof Mannheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern — team news & stats
- SC St. Tönis vs Eintracht Frankfurt
- Hansa Rostock v VfB Stuttgart — match page
- Energie Cottbus vs Augsburg
- MSV Duisburg v SV Elversberg — match page
- Erzgebirge Aue vs Hoffenheim — team news & stats
- FC Viktoria Köln vs 1. FC Nürnberg
Before and after this match
SV Wehen vs Bayer Leverkusen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bayer Leverkusen | 85.3% | 1.17 | +2.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 85.0% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.5% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 95.2% | 1.05 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Bayer Leverkusen win | 73.8% | 1.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SV Wehen | 4.8% |
| Draw | 9.9% | |
| Bayer Leverkusen | 85.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 85.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 15.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.5% |
| No | 41.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 14.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 90.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 95.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bayer Leverkusen win | 73.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13.5% | |
| Loss | 12.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-3 | 8.3% |
| 0-4 | 7.9% | |
| 1-3 | 7.5% |
SV Wehen vs Bayer Leverkusen stats
SV Wehen and Bayer Leverkusen recent form
| SV Wehen |
LLWLLD |
| Bayer Leverkusen |
DLWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
SV Wehen vs Bayer Leverkusen head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
SV Wehen vs Bayer Leverkusen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 4.9%, draw 10.4%, away 84.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 14.00 | 7.50 | 1.13 |
| 1xBet | 20.00 | 9.50 | 1.09 |
| 888Sport | 19.00 | 8.50 | 1.11 |
| Bet365 | 19.00 | 9.00 | 1.11 |
| BetVictor | 17.00 | 9.00 | 1.08 |
| Betano | 21.00 | 10.00 | 1.14 |
| Betfair | 19.00 | 9.50 | 1.11 |
| Dafabet | 19.00 | 10.00 | 1.13 |
| Marathonbet | 20.00 | 9.50 | 1.09 |
| Pinnacle | 17.60 | 9.98 | 1.11 |
| SBO | 12.04 | 7.53 | 1.12 |
| Superbet | 15.00 | 9.00 | 1.11 |
| Unibet | 16.00 | 8.50 | 1.15 |
| William Hill | 19.00 | 8.50 | 1.11 |