DFB Pokal · Full time ·Round of 64

Energie Cottbus vs Augsburg

0 – 2 Full time

LEAG Energie Stadion, CottbusReferee: R. Braun

Energie Cottbus 19%
Draw 21%
Augsburg 60%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Energie Cottbus vs Augsburg overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Energie Cottbus vs Augsburg

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEnergie CottbusDrawAugsburg
Model17.4%21.6%61.0%
Market19.5%21.4%59.1%
Final19.0%21.4%59.6%
Edge-2.1%+0.2%+1.9%

Confidence: Medium

Why Augsburg

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.19 vs 1.11.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Energie Cottbu ↓ / Augsburg → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 9% 6% 6% 1 10% 10% 7% 7% 2 5% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 85%
3+ goals 64%
No goals 5%

Energie Cottbus and Augsburg expected goals

Energie Cottbus 1.11
Augsburg 2.19

Total expected goals: 3.30

Energie Cottbus and Augsburg attack and defence ratings

Energie Cottbus

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 0.82 -18%

Augsburg

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Energie Cottbus vs Augsburg: result vs prediction

Energie Cottbus 0 – 2 Augsburg

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 64 fixtures

DFB Pokal

Before and after this match

Energie Cottbus vs Augsburg markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Augsburg 59.6% 1.68 +1.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 64.1% 1.56 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.4% 1.65 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 81.0% 1.23 — —
Handicap -1 Augsburg win 39.1% 2.55 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Energie Cottbus19.0%
Draw21.4%
Augsburg59.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.564.1%
Under 2.535.9%
Both teams to scoreYes60.4%
No39.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)40.4%
12 (either side)78.6%
X2 (draw or away)81.0%
Handicap -1Augsburg win39.1%
Push (exactly one goal)21.9%
Loss39.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.9%
1-29.8%
0-28.9%

Energie Cottbus vs Augsburg stats

Energie Cottbus and Augsburg recent form

newest first
Energie Cottbus LWWWLW
Augsburg LWWDWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Energie Cottbus vs Augsburg head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Energie Cottbus vs Augsburg odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 19.5%, draw 21.4%, away 59.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 4.50 4.30 1.58
1xBet 4.68 4.45 1.59
888Sport 4.60 4.20 1.57
Bet365 5.25 4.20 1.57
BetVictor 4.80 4.20 1.53
Betano 5.10 4.55 1.65
Betfair 5.50 4.50 1.53
Dafabet 5.00 4.50 1.61
Marathonbet 4.75 4.45 1.57
Pinnacle 4.79 4.60 1.59
SBO 4.27 3.89 1.53
Superbet 4.75 4.30 1.58
Unibet 5.10 4.40 1.58
William Hill 4.60 4.20 1.57

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.