Augsburg
vs
FC Schalke 04
3 – 0 Full time
Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04
| Probability | Augsburg | Draw | FC Schalke 04 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.8% | 26.5% | 41.6% |
| Market | 43.5% | 25.1% | 31.3% |
| Final | 40.6% | 25.5% | 33.9% |
| Edge | -11.7% | +1.4% | +10.3% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Augsburg and FC Schalke 04 expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.52
Augsburg and FC Schalke 04 attack and defence ratings
Augsburg
FC Schalke 04
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04: result vs prediction
Augsburg 3 – 0 FC Schalke 04
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
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- RasenBallsport Leipzig v Borussia M.Gladbach — match page
- Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt — team news & stats
- FC Cologne vs Hoffenheim
- SV Elversberg v Bayer Leverkusen — match page
- Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV — team news & stats
- Freiburg vs Werder Bremen
Before and after this match
Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Augsburg | 40.6% | 2.46 | -11.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.3% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.9% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Augsburg | 40.6% |
| Draw | 25.5% | |
| FC Schalke 04 | 33.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.9% |
| No | 32.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Augsburg win | 16.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.9% | |
| Loss | 67.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 1-2 | 8.8% | |
| 2-1 | 7.6% |
Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 stats
Augsburg and FC Schalke 04 recent form
| Augsburg |
WLWWDW |
| FC Schalke 04 |
WWLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 43.5%, draw 25.3%, away 31.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.16 | 3.65 | 3.00 |
| 1xBet | 2.25 | 3.80 | 3.25 |
| 888Sport | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.75 | 3.00 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| Betano | 2.22 | 3.65 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.90 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.21 | 3.75 | 3.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.21 | 3.74 | 3.20 |
| Pinnacle | 2.19 | 3.80 | 3.18 |
| SBO | 2.12 | 3.26 | 2.83 |
| Unibet | 2.08 | 3.80 | 3.05 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.50 | 3.00 |
| pinnacle | 2.18 | 3.72 | 3.09 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
19 snapshots recorded, from .