DFB Pokal · Full time ·Round of 64

Hallescher FC vs FC Schalke 04

2 – 5 Full time

Leuna Chemie Stadion, HalleReferee: M. Jollenbeck

Hallescher FC 9%
Draw 17%
FC Schalke 04 74%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Hallescher FC vs FC Schalke 04 overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hallescher FC vs FC Schalke 04

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHallescher FCDrawFC Schalke 04
Model6.1%15.5%78.3%
Market10.1%16.9%73.0%
Final9.1%16.5%74.4%
Edge-4.0%-1.3%+5.3%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Schalke 04

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.50 vs 0.60.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices FC Schalke 04 below the model: +5.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Hallescher FC ↓ / FC Schalke 04 → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 14% 12% 13% 1 7% 8% 7% 8% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 5%

Hallescher FC and FC Schalke 04 expected goals

Hallescher FC 0.60
FC Schalke 04 2.50

Total expected goals: 3.10

Hallescher FC and FC Schalke 04 attack and defence ratings

Hallescher FC

Attack 0.83 -17%
Defence 1.02 +2%

FC Schalke 04

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.74 -26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hallescher FC vs FC Schalke 04: result vs prediction

Hallescher FC 2 – 5 FC Schalke 04

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 64 fixtures

DFB Pokal

Before and after this match

Hallescher FC vs FC Schalke 04 markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Schalke 04 74.4% 1.34 +5.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.8% 1.67 — —
Both teams to score No 58.1% 1.72 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 90.9% 1.10 — —
Handicap -1 FC Schalke 04 win 56.6% 1.77 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Hallescher FC9.1%
Draw16.5%
FC Schalke 0474.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.8%
Under 2.540.2%
Both teams to scoreYes41.9%
No58.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)25.6%
12 (either side)83.5%
X2 (draw or away)90.9%
Handicap -1FC Schalke 04 win56.6%
Push (exactly one goal)21.5%
Loss21.9%
Correct score (top 3)0-214.1%
0-311.8%
0-110.6%

Hallescher FC vs FC Schalke 04 stats

Hallescher FC and FC Schalke 04 recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Hallescher FC vs FC Schalke 04 head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Hallescher FC vs FC Schalke 04 odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 10.1%, draw 16.9%, away 73.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 9.65 5.65 1.27
888Sport 9.00 5.50 1.25
Bet365 9.00 5.50 1.28
BetVictor 9.50 5.50 1.25
Betano 9.25 5.90 1.34
Betfair 10.00 5.00 1.20
Dafabet 9.20 6.00 1.30
Marathonbet 9.80 5.65 1.26
Pinnacle 9.17 6.01 1.27
SBO 7.14 4.94 1.25
Superbet 8.10 5.65 1.28
Unibet 7.50 5.25 1.34
William Hill 9.00 5.50 1.25

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 9.17 ▲ +1.17
X 5.50 ▲ +0.25
2 1.27 ▼ -0.06

4 snapshots recorded, from .