Bayern Munich
vs
VfB Stuttgart
5 – 1 Full time
Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart
| Probability | Bayern Munich | Draw | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.2% | 18.2% | 17.6% |
| Market | 75.4% | 14.1% | 10.5% |
| Final | 72.6% | 15.1% | 12.3% |
| Edge | -11.2% | +4.1% | +7.1% |
Why Bayern Munich
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.26 vs 1.58.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bayern Munich and VfB Stuttgart expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.84
Bayern Munich and VfB Stuttgart attack and defence ratings
Bayern Munich
VfB Stuttgart
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart: result vs prediction
Bayern Munich 5 – 1 VfB Stuttgart
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 1 fixtures
- Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07
- RasenBallsport Leipzig v Borussia M.Gladbach — match page
- Union Berlin vs Eintracht Frankfurt — team news & stats
- FC Cologne vs Hoffenheim
- SV Elversberg v Bayer Leverkusen — match page
- Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV — team news & stats
- Freiburg vs Werder Bremen
- Augsburg v FC Schalke 04 — match page
Before and after this match
Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bayern Munich | 72.6% | 1.38 | -11.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Bayern Munich win | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bayern Munich | 72.6% |
| Draw | 15.1% | |
| VfB Stuttgart | 12.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 82.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 17.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 76.2% |
| No | 23.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 27.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bayern Munich win | 45.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.2% | |
| Loss | 35.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 7.5% |
| 3-1 | 7.3% | |
| 1-1 | 6.1% |
Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart stats
Bayern Munich and VfB Stuttgart recent form
| Bayern Munich |
WWWDDL |
| VfB Stuttgart |
WLDWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-23 | Bayern Munich | VfB Stuttgart | DFB Pokal | 3-0 |
| 2026-04-19 | Bayern Munich | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | 4-2 |
| 2025-12-06 | VfB Stuttgart | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga | 0-5 |
| 2025-08-16 | VfB Stuttgart | Bayern Munich | Super Cup | 1-2 |
| 2025-02-28 | VfB Stuttgart | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga | 1-3 |
| 2024-10-19 | Bayern Munich | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | 4-0 |
| 2024-05-04 | VfB Stuttgart | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga | 3-1 |
| 2023-12-17 | Bayern Munich | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | 3-0 |
| 2023-03-04 | VfB Stuttgart | Bayern Munich | Bundesliga | 1-2 |
| 2022-09-10 | Bayern Munich | VfB Stuttgart | Bundesliga | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bayern Munich vs VfB Stuttgart odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 75.3%, draw 14.3%, away 10.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.25 | 6.50 | 8.90 |
| 1xBet | 1.29 | 6.95 | 10.40 |
| 888Sport | 1.25 | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 6.50 | 10.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.20 | 6.50 | 9.00 |
| Betano | 1.27 | 6.60 | 9.00 |
| Betfair | 1.25 | 7.00 | 9.50 |
| Dafabet | 1.26 | 7.20 | 9.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.27 | 6.85 | 10.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.25 | 7.01 | 9.85 |
| SBO | 1.23 | 5.90 | 7.14 |
| Superbet | 1.26 | 7.10 | 9.00 |
| Unibet | 1.23 | 6.75 | 9.00 |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| onexbet | 1.34 | 6.30 | 8.95 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
21 snapshots recorded, from .