VfL Osnabrück
vs
Bayern Munich
1 – 4 Full time
| 5′ | R. Meissner | ||
| 18′ | H. Kane | ||
| 24′ | T. Bischof | ||
| 62′ | I. BadjieK. Faber | ||
| 62′ | B. JacobsenL. Raimund | ||
| 62′ | N. BrownA. Davies | ||
| 62′ | I. SaibariL. Karl | ||
| 73′ | M. Olise | ||
| 74′ | R. MeissnerD. Kyereh | ||
| 74′ | L. MunstL. Opitz | ||
| 80′ | T. BischofA. Pavlovic | ||
| 86′ | H. Kane | ||
| 87′ | H. KaneK. Laimer | ||
| 87′ | M. OliseB. Sapoko Ndiaye | ||
| 89′ | F. WagnerB. Riesselmann |
Match stats
| 5 | Shots | 22 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 9 |
| 33 | Possession % | 67 |
| 0 | Corners | 8 |
| 6 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Offsides | 3 |
| 5 | Saves | 1 |
| 296 | Accurate passes | 711 |
VfL Osnabrück vs Bayern Munich overview
Garuda Lions analysis: VfL Osnabrück vs Bayern Munich
| Probability | VfL Osnabrück | Draw | Bayern Munich |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 6.5% | 11.9% | 81.6% |
| Market | 2.3% | 5.0% | 92.7% |
| Final | 3.4% | 6.7% | 89.9% |
| Edge | +4.2% | +6.9% | -11.1% |
Why Bayern Munich
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.25 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
VfL Osnabrück and Bayern Munich expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.16
VfL Osnabrück and Bayern Munich attack and defence ratings
VfL Osnabrück
Bayern Munich
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
VfL Osnabrück vs Bayern Munich: result vs prediction
VfL Osnabrück 1 – 4 Bayern Munich
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
- Preußen Münster v Karlsruher SC — match page
- Waldhof Mannheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern — team news & stats
- SC St. Tönis vs Eintracht Frankfurt
- Hansa Rostock v VfB Stuttgart — match page
- SV Wehen vs Bayer Leverkusen — team news & stats
- Energie Cottbus vs Augsburg
- MSV Duisburg v SV Elversberg — match page
- Erzgebirge Aue vs Hoffenheim — team news & stats
Before and after this match
VfL Osnabrück vs Bayern Munich markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bayern Munich | 89.9% | 1.11 | -11.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 96.6% | 1.03 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Bayern Munich win | 64.7% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | VfL Osnabrück | 3.4% |
| Draw | 6.7% | |
| Bayern Munich | 89.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 78.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 21.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.1% |
| No | 41.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 10.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 93.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 96.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bayern Munich win | 64.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.9% | |
| Loss | 18.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-3 | 8.9% |
| 0-2 | 8.2% | |
| 1-3 | 8.1% |
VfL Osnabrück vs Bayern Munich stats
VfL Osnabrück and Bayern Munich recent form
| VfL Osnabrück |
WLLWDW |
| Bayern Munich |
WWWWDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
VfL Osnabrück vs Bayern Munich head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
VfL Osnabrück vs Bayern Munich odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 2.3%, draw 5.0%, away 92.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 40.00 | 12.00 | 1.02 |
| 1xBet | 50.00 | 19.00 | 1.03 |
| Bet365 | 41.00 | 19.00 | 1.02 |
| BetVictor | 34.00 | 11.50 | 1.02 |
| Betano | 24.00 | 22.00 | 1.04 |
| Betfair | 56.00 | 21.00 | 1.02 |
| Dafabet | 40.00 | 23.00 | 1.03 |
| Marathonbet | 51.00 | 23.00 | 1.03 |
| Pinnacle | 25.29 | 16.23 | 1.02 |
| SBO | 25.00 | 8.87 | 1.01 |
| Superbet | 45.00 | 22.00 | 1.02 |
| Unibet | 46.00 | 19.00 | 1.02 |
| William Hill | 51.00 | 19.00 | 1.03 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
19 snapshots recorded, from .