2. Bundesliga · Full time ·Matchday 3

Bochum vs VfL Osnabrück

0 – 1 Full time

Vonovia Ruhrstadion, BochumReferee: Felix Wagner, Germany

Bochum 53%
Draw 24%
VfL Osnabrück 23%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Bochum vs VfL Osnabrück overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bochum vs VfL Osnabrück

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBochumDrawVfL Osnabrück
Model41.6%25.7%32.7%
Market57.0%23.5%19.5%
Final53.2%24.1%22.8%
Edge-15.4%+2.2%+13.2%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bochum ↓ / VfL Osnabrück → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 12% 8% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Bochum and VfL Osnabrück expected goals

Bochum 1.67
VfL Osnabrück 1.47

Total expected goals: 3.14

Bochum and VfL Osnabrück attack and defence ratings

Bochum

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 0.89 -11%

VfL Osnabrück

Attack 1.26 +26%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bochum vs VfL Osnabrück: result vs prediction

Bochum 0 – 1 VfL Osnabrück

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

2. Bundesliga

Before and after this match

Bochum vs VfL Osnabrück markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bochum 53.2% 1.88 -15.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 60.8% 1.65 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.6% 1.57 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 77.2% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.4% 1.71 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bochum53.2%
Draw24.1%
VfL Osnabrück22.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.560.8%
Under 2.539.2%
Both teams to scoreYes63.6%
No36.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)77.2%
12 (either side)75.9%
X2 (draw or away)46.8%
Handicap -1Bochum win22.1%
Push (exactly one goal)19.5%
Loss58.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.7%
2-18.9%
1-27.8%

Bochum vs VfL Osnabrück stats

Bochum and VfL Osnabrück recent form

newest first
Bochum WWLWDD
VfL Osnabrück LLWDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bochum vs VfL Osnabrück head-to-head

Last 5 meetings

2Bochum wins 2Draws 1VfL Osnabrück wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-11-15BochumVfL OsnabrückFriendlies Clubs1-4
2021-02-06VfL OsnabrückBochum2. Bundesliga1-2
2020-10-02BochumVfL Osnabrück2. Bundesliga0-0
2020-06-13VfL OsnabrückBochum2. Bundesliga0-2
2019-11-22BochumVfL Osnabrück2. Bundesliga1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bochum vs VfL Osnabrück odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 57.0%, draw 23.5%, away 19.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.65 3.90 4.80
1xBet 1.63 4.05 4.83
Bet365 1.67 3.80 5.00
BetVictor 1.62 3.80 4.75
Betano 1.67 4.00 4.90
Betfair 1.62 4.00 5.00
Dafabet 1.67 4.10 4.90
Marathonbet 1.61 4.05 4.90
Pinnacle 1.66 4.11 4.89
SBO 1.60 3.56 4.19
Superbet 1.67 4.10 4.75
Unibet 1.65 4.00 4.75
William Hill 1.62 3.80 4.60

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.65 ▲ +0.05
X 4.00 ▼ -0.16
2 4.83 ▼ -0.14

13 snapshots recorded, from .