2. Bundesliga · Full time ·Matchday 3

Darmstadt vs Hannover 96

0 – 1 Full time

Merck-Stadion am Bollenfalltor, DarmstadtReferee: Timo Gerach, Germany

Darmstadt 29%
Draw 24%
Hannover 96 47%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Darmstadt vs Hannover 96 overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Darmstadt vs Hannover 96

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityDarmstadtDrawHannover 96
Model24.4%22.5%53.0%
Market30.2%24.6%45.2%
Final28.7%24.1%47.2%
Edge-5.7%-2.1%+7.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Hannover 96

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.12 vs 1.40.
  • The market prices Hannover 96 below the model: +7.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Darmstadt ↓ / Hannover 96 → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 7% 1 10% 9% 7% 6% 2 6% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

Darmstadt and Hannover 96 expected goals

Darmstadt 1.40
Hannover 96 2.12

Total expected goals: 3.52

Darmstadt and Hannover 96 attack and defence ratings

Darmstadt

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Hannover 96

Attack 1.47 +47%
Defence 0.98 -2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Darmstadt vs Hannover 96: result vs prediction

Darmstadt 0 – 1 Hannover 96

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

2. Bundesliga

Before and after this match

Darmstadt vs Hannover 96 markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Hannover 96 47.2% 2.12 +7.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 68.9% 1.45 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.7% 1.48 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.9% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.8% 2.14 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Darmstadt28.7%
Draw24.1%
Hannover 9647.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.568.9%
Under 2.531.1%
Both teams to scoreYes67.7%
No32.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)52.8%
12 (either side)75.9%
X2 (draw or away)71.3%
Handicap -1Hannover 96 win32.6%
Push (exactly one goal)20.6%
Loss46.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.5%
1-29.3%
1-36.6%

Darmstadt vs Hannover 96 stats

Darmstadt and Hannover 96 recent form

newest first
Darmstadt WLDLDL
Hannover 96 WLLDDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Darmstadt vs Hannover 96 head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Darmstadt wins 0Draws 1Hannover 96 wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-11DarmstadtHannover 962. Bundesliga0-2
2025-11-08Hannover 96Darmstadt2. Bundesliga2-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Darmstadt vs Hannover 96 odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 30.2%, draw 24.6%, away 45.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.10 3.75 2.10
1xBet 3.10 3.82 2.07
Bet365 3.10 3.60 2.05
BetVictor 3.00 3.70 2.05
Betano 3.15 3.80 2.15
Betfair 3.00 3.80 2.05
Dafabet 3.10 3.80 2.15
Marathonbet 3.10 3.82 2.05
Pinnacle 3.16 3.99 2.07
SBO 2.71 3.26 2.11
Unibet 3.05 3.85 2.10
William Hill 3.00 3.60 2.05

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.10 ▲ +0.04
X 3.80 ▲ +0.02
2 2.07 ▼ -0.01

12 snapshots recorded, from .