DFB Pokal · Full time ·Round of 64

FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Darmstadt

1 – 2 Full time

Ernst Abbe Sportfeld, JenaReferee: W. Haslberger

FC Carl Zeiss Jena 18%
Draw 22%
Darmstadt 60%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Darmstadt overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Darmstadt

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC Carl Zeiss JenaDrawDarmstadt
Model18.0%24.6%57.3%
Market17.6%21.2%61.1%
Final17.7%22.1%60.2%
Edge+0.4%+3.4%-3.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Darmstadt

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 1.00.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Carl Zeiss ↓ / Darmstadt → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 10% 10% 6% 1 12% 10% 6% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 93%
2+ goals 78%
3+ goals 54%
No goals 7%

FC Carl Zeiss Jena and Darmstadt expected goals

FC Carl Zeiss Jena 1.00
Darmstadt 1.83

Total expected goals: 2.83

FC Carl Zeiss Jena and Darmstadt attack and defence ratings

FC Carl Zeiss Jena

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Darmstadt

Attack 0.75 -25%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Darmstadt: result vs prediction

FC Carl Zeiss Jena 1 – 2 Darmstadt

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 64 fixtures

DFB Pokal

Before and after this match

FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Darmstadt markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Darmstadt 60.2% 1.66 -3.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 53.2% 1.88 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.9% 1.89 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 82.3% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 44.3% 2.26 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Carl Zeiss Jena17.7%
Draw22.1%
Darmstadt60.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.553.2%
Under 2.546.8%
Both teams to scoreYes52.9%
No47.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)39.8%
12 (either side)77.9%
X2 (draw or away)82.3%
Handicap -1Darmstadt win32.6%
Push (exactly one goal)23.1%
Loss44.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.8%
0-210.4%
0-110.1%

FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Darmstadt stats

FC Carl Zeiss Jena and Darmstadt recent form

newest first
FC Carl Zeiss Jena no matches on record
Darmstadt LDLDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Darmstadt head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

FC Carl Zeiss Jena vs Darmstadt odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 17.7%, draw 21.4%, away 61.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 4.80 4.30 1.54
1xBet 5.38 4.40 1.53
888Sport 5.00 4.00 1.53
Bet365 5.50 4.33 1.53
BetVictor 5.25 4.20 1.50
Betano 5.30 4.30 1.55
Betfair 5.50 4.75 1.47
Dafabet 5.40 4.70 1.56
Marathonbet 5.50 4.40 1.51
Pinnacle 5.45 4.57 1.53
SBO 4.67 3.98 1.47
Superbet 5.10 4.40 1.53
Unibet 5.25 4.40 1.55
William Hill 5.00 4.00 1.53

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 5.30 ▲ +0.08
X 4.40 ▲ +0.04
2 1.53 —

3 snapshots recorded, from .