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2. Bundesliga · Full time ·Matchday 4

Hannover 96 vs Karlsruher SC

2 – 2 Full time

5′Stefán Teitur Thórdarson
14′Mustapha BunduHusseyn Chakroun
26′Lars Gindorf
28′Shio Fukuda
34′Noel Eichinger
38′Marcel Hartel
45′Bastian Allgeier
45′Waniss Taibi
61′Stefán Teitur ThórdarsonFranz Roggow
61′Marcel HartelBenedikt Pichler
64′Christoph Kobald
64′Noel EichingerLilian Egloff
65′Boris Tomiak
75′Louey Ben FarhatJason Ponente-Ramirez
76′Deniz OfliViktor Bergh
76′Kevin WiethaupTim Civeja
76′Waniss TaibiBenjamin Källman
76′Virgil GhițăIme Okon
85′Rafael Pinto Pedrosa
87′Rafael Pinto Pedrosapaul scholl

Heinz-von-Heiden-Arena, HannoverReferee: Tom Bauer, Germany

Hannover 96 64%
Draw 20%
Karlsruher SC 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 20
7 Shots on target 7
52 Possession % 48
1 Corners 5
12 Fouls 12
5 Offsides 1
5 Saves 3
392 Accurate passes 353

Hannover 96 vs Karlsruher SC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hannover 96 vs Karlsruher SC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHannover 96DrawKarlsruher SC
Model69.1%16.9%14.0%
Market62.1%20.7%17.2%
Final63.8%19.7%16.4%
Edge+7.1%-3.8%-3.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Hannover 96

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.83 vs 1.27.
  • The market prices Hannover 96 below the model: +7.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Hannover 96 ↓ / Karlsruher SC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 2 7% 8% 3 6% 8% 4+ 9% 11% 7%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 78%
No goals 2%

Hannover 96 and Karlsruher SC expected goals

Hannover 96 2.83
Karlsruher SC 1.27

Total expected goals: 4.10

Hannover 96 and Karlsruher SC attack and defence ratings

Hannover 96

Attack 1.41 +41%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Karlsruher SC

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 1.22 +22%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hannover 96 vs Karlsruher SC: result vs prediction

Hannover 96 2 – 2 Karlsruher SC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

2. Bundesliga

Before and after this match

Hannover 96 vs Karlsruher SC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Hannover 96 63.8% 1.57 +7.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 77.6% 1.29 — —
Both teams to score Yes 68.3% 1.46 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.6% 1.20 — —
Handicap -1 Hannover 96 win 49.7% 2.01 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Hannover 9663.8%
Draw19.7%
Karlsruher SC16.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.577.6%
Under 2.522.4%
Both teams to scoreYes68.3%
No31.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.6%
12 (either side)80.3%
X2 (draw or away)36.2%
Handicap -1Hannover 96 win49.7%
Push (exactly one goal)19.4%
Loss30.9%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.4%
3-17.9%
2-06.6%

Hannover 96 vs Karlsruher SC stats

Hannover 96 and Karlsruher SC recent form

newest first
Hannover 96 WWLLDD
Karlsruher SC LWDWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Hannover 96 vs Karlsruher SC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

6Hannover 96 wins 1Draws 3Karlsruher SC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-25Karlsruher SCHannover 962. Bundesliga1-3
2025-11-28Hannover 96Karlsruher SC2. Bundesliga3-0
2025-04-04Karlsruher SCHannover 962. Bundesliga1-0
2024-11-02Hannover 96Karlsruher SC2. Bundesliga2-1
2024-05-12Karlsruher SCHannover 962. Bundesliga1-2
2023-12-08Hannover 96Karlsruher SC2. Bundesliga2-2
2023-05-06Karlsruher SCHannover 962. Bundesliga2-1
2022-10-30Hannover 96Karlsruher SC2. Bundesliga1-0
2022-04-29Hannover 96Karlsruher SC2. Bundesliga2-0
2021-11-27Karlsruher SCHannover 962. Bundesliga4-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hannover 96 vs Karlsruher SC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 62.1%, draw 20.7%, away 17.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.62 4.10 4.80
1xBet 1.50 4.45 5.66
Bet365 1.50 4.50 5.25
BetVictor 1.45 4.75 5.50
Betano 1.55 4.85 5.70
Betfair 1.50 4.50 5.50
Dafabet 1.52 4.80 5.40
Marathonbet 1.50 4.45 5.55
Pinnacle 1.54 4.63 5.82
SBO 1.54 3.87 4.16
Superbet 1.64 4.30 4.75
Unibet 1.46 4.60 5.40
William Hill 1.50 4.20 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.50 ▼ -0.08
X 4.50 ▲ +0.40
2 5.40 ▲ +0.30

8 snapshots recorded, from .