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2. Bundesliga · Full time ·Matchday 4

Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Magdeburg

2 – 1 Full time

10′Josip Brekalo
12′Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson
31′Falko Michel
45′Garcia MacNulty
45′Soufian gouramOluwaseun Adewumi
47′Oluwaseun Adewumi
50′Tobias Müller
51′Paul Seguin
62′Paul Seguin
64′Sebastian GronningPascal Klemens
73′Tobias Müller
74′Jón Dagur ÞórsteinssonJan Luca Schuler
75′Luka HyryläinenTorben Müsel
83′Herbert BockhornPierre Nadjombe
84′Emmanuel IyohaFelipe Chávez
86′Mads Valentin PedersenMarton Dardai
89′Moritz-Broni KwartengRoko Simic

Olympiastadion, BerlinReferee: Florian Exner, Germany

Hertha BSC 46%
Draw 24%
1. FC Magdeburg 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

12 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 5
35 Possession % 65
5 Corners 7
17 Fouls 10
3 Offsides 2
4 Saves 2
182 Accurate passes 428

Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Magdeburg overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Magdeburg

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHertha BSCDraw1. FC Magdeburg
Model37.0%24.3%38.6%
Market48.9%24.3%26.8%
Final45.9%24.3%29.8%
Edge-11.8%+0.0%+11.8%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Hertha BSC ↓ / 1. FC Magdebur → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 10% 8% 2 8% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 67%
No goals 4%

Hertha BSC and 1. FC Magdeburg expected goals

Hertha BSC 1.71
1. FC Magdeburg 1.74

Total expected goals: 3.45

Hertha BSC and 1. FC Magdeburg attack and defence ratings

Hertha BSC

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 1.03 +3%

1. FC Magdeburg

Attack 1.25 +25%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Magdeburg: result vs prediction

Hertha BSC 2 – 1 1. FC Magdeburg

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

2. Bundesliga

Before and after this match

Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Magdeburg markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Hertha BSC 45.9% 2.18 -11.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.0% 1.49 — —
Both teams to score Yes 68.5% 1.46 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.7% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.0% 1.59 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Hertha BSC45.9%
Draw24.3%
1. FC Magdeburg29.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.0%
Under 2.533.0%
Both teams to scoreYes68.5%
No31.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.2%
12 (either side)75.7%
X2 (draw or away)54.1%
Handicap -1Hertha BSC win19.4%
Push (exactly one goal)17.7%
Loss63.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.4%
1-28.2%
2-18.1%

Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Magdeburg stats

Hertha BSC and 1. FC Magdeburg recent form

newest first
Hertha BSC WDWWLW
1. FC Magdeburg WWWLLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Magdeburg head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

2Hertha BSC wins 1Draws 31. FC Magdeburg wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-031. FC MagdeburgHertha BSC2. Bundesliga1-0
2025-12-07Hertha BSC1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga0-2
2025-04-25Hertha BSC1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga1-1
2024-11-291. FC MagdeburgHertha BSC2. Bundesliga1-3
2024-02-16Hertha BSC1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga3-2
2023-09-021. FC MagdeburgHertha BSC2. Bundesliga6-4

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Hertha BSC vs 1. FC Magdeburg odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.6%, draw 24.6%, away 26.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.90 3.80 3.60
1xBet 1.93 3.84 3.47
Bet365 1.85 3.75 3.60
Betano 1.95 3.80 3.70
Betfair 1.91 3.90 3.40
Dafabet 1.99 3.80 3.50
Marathonbet 1.91 3.84 3.48
Pinnacle 1.95 4.09 3.62
SBO 1.92 3.37 3.02
Superbet 2.00 3.80 3.50
Unibet 1.98 3.85 3.30
William Hill 1.85 3.75 3.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.91 ▼ -0.01
X 3.84 ▲ +0.04
2 3.48 ▼ -0.05

5 snapshots recorded, from .