Wolfsburg
vs
Energie Cottbus
4 – 4 Full time
| 4′ | Robert Glatzel | ||
| 6′ | King Samuel Manu | ||
| 25′ | Vinicius de Souza Costa | ||
| 34′ | Robert Glatzel | ||
| 45′ | Luca Erlein | ||
| 45′ | Justin ButlerMoritz Hannemann | ||
| 45′ | fousseny doumbiaChristian Kinsombi | ||
| 45′ | Lucas CopadoDmytro Bogdanov | ||
| 49′ | King Samuel Manu | ||
| 52′ | Robert GlatzelKento Shiogai | ||
| 53′ | Maximilian ArnoldMuhammed Damar | ||
| 62′ | Elvis Rexhbecaj | ||
| 67′ | Tolcay Cigerci | ||
| 68′ | Leonardo BittencourtDominik Pelivan | ||
| 70′ | Mathys Angély | ||
| 78′ | Vinicius de Souza CostaMattias Svanberg | ||
| 78′ | Fabian ReeseAlessio Besio | ||
| 79′ | Mattias Svanberg | ||
| 82′ | Lukas MichelbrinkJannis Boziaris | ||
| 84′ | Tolcay Cigerci | ||
| 86′ | Elvis RexhbecajYannick Gerhardt | ||
| 88′ | Mathys Angély | ||
| 90′ | Dmytro Bogdanov | ||
| 90′ | Dmytro Bogdanov | ||
| 90′ | Moritz Hannemann |
Match stats
| 21 | Shots | 21 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 9 |
| 51 | Possession % | 49 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 0 | Offsides | 4 |
| 5 | Saves | 3 |
| 328 | Accurate passes | 305 |
Wolfsburg vs Energie Cottbus overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Wolfsburg vs Energie Cottbus
| Probability | Wolfsburg | Draw | Energie Cottbus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.8% | 23.1% | 26.1% |
| Market | 71.5% | 17.7% | 10.8% |
| Final | 66.3% | 19.1% | 14.6% |
| Edge | -20.8% | +5.4% | +15.4% |
Why Wolfsburg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.06 vs 1.45.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Wolfsburg and Energie Cottbus expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.51
Wolfsburg and Energie Cottbus attack and defence ratings
Wolfsburg
Energie Cottbus
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Wolfsburg vs Energie Cottbus: result vs prediction
Wolfsburg 4 – 4 Energie Cottbus
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
- Hannover 96 v Karlsruher SC — match page
- Arminia Bielefeld vs St. Pauli — team news & stats
- Holstein Kiel v 1. FC Nürnberg — match page
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Darmstadt — team news & stats
- Dynamo Dresden vs Bochum
- Hertha BSC v 1. FC Magdeburg — match page
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs FC Heidenheim — team news & stats
- VfL Osnabrück vs Eintracht Braunschweig
Before and after this match
Wolfsburg vs Energie Cottbus markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wolfsburg | 66.3% | 1.51 | -20.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.6% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.4% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.2% | 2.03 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Wolfsburg | 66.3% |
| Draw | 19.1% | |
| Energie Cottbus | 14.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 32.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.6% |
| No | 32.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 33.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Wolfsburg win | 30.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 49.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.2% | |
| 2-2 | 6.7% |
Wolfsburg vs Energie Cottbus stats
Wolfsburg and Energie Cottbus recent form
| Wolfsburg |
WDWDWL |
| Energie Cottbus |
LLLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Wolfsburg vs Energie Cottbus head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Wolfsburg vs Energie Cottbus odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 72.0%, draw 17.3%, away 10.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.30 | 5.25 | 9.20 |
| 1xBet | 1.31 | 5.25 | 8.80 |
| Bet365 | 1.28 | 5.25 | 8.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.29 | 5.50 | 8.50 |
| Betano | 1.31 | 5.60 | 9.25 |
| Betfair | 1.29 | 5.50 | 9.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.30 | 6.00 | 8.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.30 | 5.25 | 8.90 |
| Pinnacle | 1.32 | 5.47 | 9.62 |
| SBO | 1.30 | 4.76 | 5.99 |
| Superbet | 1.30 | 5.90 | 8.40 |
| Unibet | 1.33 | 5.40 | 8.00 |
| William Hill | 1.30 | 5.00 | 8.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .