2. Bundesliga · 2026-09-05T18:30:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 4

Dynamo Dresden vs Bochum

1 – 2 Full time

2′			Enis Çokaj
3′			K. Miyoshi
20′			Koji Miyoshi
21′			E. CokajT. Meyer
25′			K. Miyoshi
32′			Gerrit Holtmann
35′			Tom Meyer
36′			Oliver Olsen
40′			Maximilian Wittek
41′			B. Bobzien
45′			Alexander Rossipal
46′			J. LemmerK. Okpala
46′			O. OlsenS. Klaiber
62′			N. RappT. Raschl
62′			G. HoltmannJ. Steuckers
73′			A. RossipalB. Ezeh
73′			V. VermeijK. Inanoglu
78′			Jarne Steuckers
82′			C. RasmussenD. Hanslik
89′			N. HauptmannN. Froling

Rudolf-Harbig-Stadion, DresdenReferee: Harm Osmers, Germany

Dynamo Dresden

46%

Draw

26%

Bochum

28%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

15	Shots	15
4	Shots on target	6
49	Possession %	51
8	Corners	4
10	Fouls	15
5	Offsides	2
4	Saves	4
373	Accurate passes	384

Dynamo Dresden vs Bochum overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Dynamo Dresden vs Bochum

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Dynamo Dresden	Draw	Bochum
Model	52.7%	24.4%	22.9%
Market	43.5%	26.9%	29.6%
Final	45.8%	26.2%	28.0%
Edge	+9.2%	-2.5%	-6.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Dynamo Dresden

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 1.20.
The market prices Dynamo Dresden below the model: +9.2 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

95%

2+ goals

83%

3+ goals

60%

No goals

Dynamo Dresden and Bochum expected goals

Dynamo Dresden

1.90

Bochum

1.20

Total expected goals: 3.11

Dynamo Dresden and Bochum attack and defence ratings

Dynamo Dresden

Attack

1.33 +33%

Defence

1.03 +3%

Bochum

Attack

0.87 -13%

Defence

0.86 -14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Dynamo Dresden vs Bochum: result vs prediction

Dynamo Dresden 1 – 2 Bochum

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 4 fixtures

2. Bundesliga

Hannover 96 v Karlsruher SC — match page · 2026-09-04
Arminia Bielefeld vs St. Pauli — team news & stats · 2026-09-04
Wolfsburg vs Energie Cottbus · 2026-09-05
Holstein Kiel v 1. FC Nürnberg — match page · 2026-09-05
1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Darmstadt — team news & stats · 2026-09-05
Hertha BSC v 1. FC Magdeburg — match page · 2026-09-06
SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs FC Heidenheim — team news & stats · 2026-09-06
VfL Osnabrück vs Eintracht Braunschweig · 2026-09-06

Before and after this match

Dynamo Dresden, previous: FC Heidenheim vs Dynamo Dresden: odds and pick
Dynamo Dresden, next: Eintracht Braunschweig vs Dynamo Dresden: odds and pick
Bochum, previous: Bochum – VfL Osnabrück, 2026-08-28
Bochum, next: Bochum – SpVgg Greuther Fürth, 2026-09-12

Dynamo Dresden vs Bochum markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Dynamo Dresden	45.8%	2.18	+9.2%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	60.0%	1.67	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	60.6%	1.65	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	73.8%	1.36	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	47.3%	2.11	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Dynamo Dresden	45.8%
	Draw	26.2%
	Bochum	28.0%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	60.0%
	Under 2.5	40.0%
Both teams to score	Yes	60.6%
	No	39.4%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	72.0%
	12 (either side)	73.8%
	X2 (draw or away)	54.2%
Handicap -1	Dynamo Dresden win	30.9%
	Push (exactly one goal)	21.8%
	Loss	47.3%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	11.3%
	2-1	9.8%
	2-0	8.1%

Dynamo Dresden vs Bochum stats

Dynamo Dresden and Bochum recent form

newest first

Dynamo Dresden	LWWLWL
Bochum	LWWLWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Dynamo Dresden vs Bochum head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Dynamo Dresden wins 3Draws 3Bochum wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-04-18	Dynamo Dresden	Bochum	2. Bundesliga	2-0
2025-11-21	Bochum	Dynamo Dresden	2. Bundesliga	1-2
2020-02-22	Dynamo Dresden	Bochum	2. Bundesliga	1-2
2019-09-15	Bochum	Dynamo Dresden	2. Bundesliga	2-2
2019-03-03	Dynamo Dresden	Bochum	2. Bundesliga	2-2
2018-09-25	Bochum	Dynamo Dresden	2. Bundesliga	0-1
2018-02-04	Dynamo Dresden	Bochum	2. Bundesliga	2-0
2017-08-27	Bochum	Dynamo Dresden	2. Bundesliga	3-2
2017-04-28	Bochum	Dynamo Dresden	2. Bundesliga	4-2
2016-11-26	Dynamo Dresden	Bochum	2. Bundesliga	2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Dynamo Dresden vs Bochum odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 44.0%, draw 26.3%, away 29.7%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	2.10	3.65	3.10
1xBet	2.15	3.48	3.18
Bet365	2.10	3.40	3.10
BetVictor	2.15	3.50	3.13
Betano	2.15	3.65	3.20
Betfair	2.10	3.80	3.10
Dafabet	2.16	3.65	3.20
Marathonbet	2.13	3.48	3.18
Pinnacle	2.20	3.65	3.27
SBO	2.06	3.17	2.85
Superbet	2.17	3.60	3.20
Unibet	2.02	3.65	3.40
William Hill	2.15	3.30	3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 ▲ +0.05

X 3.48 ▼ -0.10

2 3.16 ▼ -0.04

10 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-01T08:10:01Z.