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2. Bundesliga · Full time ·Matchday 5

Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth

1 – 1 Full time

16′Philipp Hofmann
28′Mats Henry Pannewig
30′Gerrit HoltmannJarne Steuckers
57′Krisztián KeresztesHendry. Blank
58′Sacha BanseDennis Srbeny
63′Christian Theodor Kjelder Rasmussenalessandro crimaldi
63′Sean KlaiberYigit Karademir
65′Jordan SiebatcheuOmar Sillah
71′Omar Sillah
78′Tom MeyerDaniel Hanslik
78′Maximilian WittekLasse Isbruch
81′Faton AdemiDoni Arifi
81′Lukas ReichJannik Dehm
82′Mats Henry Pannewig

Vonovia Ruhrstadion, BochumReferee: Felix Bickel, Germany

Bochum 49%
Draw 26%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 18
5 Shots on target 6
46 Possession % 54
3 Corners 7
7 Fouls 7
5 Offsides 2
4 Saves 3
379 Accurate passes 385

Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBochumDrawSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Model49.1%26.8%24.1%
Market48.9%25.2%25.9%
Final48.9%25.6%25.5%
Edge+0.2%+1.6%-1.8%

Confidence: Low

Why Bochum

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.65 vs 1.09.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bochum ↓ / SpVgg Greuther → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 9% 13% 2 9% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 77%
3+ goals 52%
No goals 8%

Bochum and SpVgg Greuther Fürth expected goals

Bochum 1.65
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.09

Total expected goals: 2.74

Bochum and SpVgg Greuther Fürth attack and defence ratings

Bochum

Attack 0.92 -8%
Defence 0.84 -16%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: result vs prediction

Bochum 1 – 1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

2. Bundesliga

Before and after this match

Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bochum 48.9% 2.04 +0.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 51.6% 1.94 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.9% 1.82 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 74.5% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 50.9% 1.96 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bochum48.9%
Draw25.6%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth25.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.551.6%
Under 2.548.4%
Both teams to scoreYes54.9%
No45.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)74.5%
12 (either side)74.4%
X2 (draw or away)51.1%
Handicap -1Bochum win26.7%
Push (exactly one goal)22.4%
Loss50.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.8%
2-19.6%
1-09.5%

Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth stats

Bochum and SpVgg Greuther Fürth recent form

newest first
Bochum WLWWLW
SpVgg Greuther Fürth LWLLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7Bochum wins 1Draws 2SpVgg Greuther Fürth wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-23SpVgg Greuther FürthBochumDFB Pokal1-2
2026-04-26BochumSpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga2-1
2025-11-29SpVgg Greuther FürthBochum2. Bundesliga0-3
2022-03-05BochumSpVgg Greuther FürthBundesliga2-1
2021-10-16SpVgg Greuther FürthBochumBundesliga0-1
2021-03-06SpVgg Greuther FürthBochum2. Bundesliga1-2
2020-11-07BochumSpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga0-2
2020-06-21BochumSpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga2-2
2019-12-07SpVgg Greuther FürthBochum2. Bundesliga3-1
2019-04-14BochumSpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.9%, draw 25.2%, away 25.9%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.92 3.70 3.61
Bet365 1.90 3.70 3.60
BetVictor 1.87 3.70 3.50
Betano 1.98 3.85 3.90
Betfair 1.90 3.90 3.60
Marathonbet 1.90 3.70 3.62
Pinnacle 1.95 3.85 3.73
SBO 1.93 3.35 3.21
William Hill 1.91 3.60 3.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.91 ▼ -0.04
X 3.70 ▼ -0.05
2 3.60 ▲ +0.24

14 snapshots recorded, from .