VfL Osnabrück
vs
Hertha BSC
1 – 3 Full time
| 10′ | Josip Brekalo | ||
| 37′ | Linus Jasper Gechter | ||
| 50′ | Adrian Beck | ||
| 50′ | Josip Brekalo | ||
| 55′ | Robin Fabinski | ||
| 68′ | Leonhard Luis MunstDaniel-Kofi Kyereh | ||
| 68′ | Sebastian GronningGustaf Nilsson | ||
| 70′ | Kevin Sessa | ||
| 77′ | Mads Valentin PedersenDeyovaisio Zeefuik | ||
| 77′ | Patrick KammerbauerKonrad Faber | ||
| 77′ | Oluwaseun AdewumiFarid Alfa-Ruprecht | ||
| 77′ | Fridolin WagnerBernd Riesselmann | ||
| 82′ | Jonathan Gómez | ||
| 87′ | Jón Dagur ÞórsteinssonSoufian gouram | ||
| 87′ | Pascal KlemensSelim Telib | ||
| 90′ | Jannik MüllerTheo Janotta | ||
| 90′ | Jonathan GómezLuca Raimund | ||
| 90′ | Farid Alfa-Ruprecht |
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 22 |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Shots on target | 7 |
| 43 | Possession % | 57 |
| 4 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 0 | Offsides | 3 |
| 4 | Saves | 6 |
| 277 | Accurate passes | 413 |
VfL Osnabrück vs Hertha BSC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: VfL Osnabrück vs Hertha BSC
| Probability | VfL Osnabrück | Draw | Hertha BSC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.1% | 22.8% | 35.0% |
| Market | 29.5% | 25.2% | 45.4% |
| Final | 32.6% | 24.6% | 42.8% |
| Edge | +12.7% | -2.3% | -10.4% |
Why Hertha BSC
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
VfL Osnabrück and Hertha BSC expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.80
VfL Osnabrück and Hertha BSC attack and defence ratings
VfL Osnabrück
Hertha BSC
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
VfL Osnabrück vs Hertha BSC: result vs prediction
VfL Osnabrück 1 – 3 Hertha BSC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- 1. FC Nürnberg v Hannover 96 — match page
- Darmstadt vs Arminia Bielefeld — team news & stats
- Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
- 1. FC Magdeburg v 1. FC Kaiserslautern — match page
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs Dynamo Dresden — team news & stats
- St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg
- FC Heidenheim v Holstein Kiel — match page
- Karlsruher SC vs Energie Cottbus — team news & stats
Before and after this match
VfL Osnabrück vs Hertha BSC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hertha BSC | 42.8% | 2.34 | -10.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.1% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.0% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | VfL Osnabrück | 32.6% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Hertha BSC | 42.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.0% |
| No | 27.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hertha BSC win | 18.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.5% | |
| Loss | 65.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.9% |
| 2-1 | 8.0% | |
| 1-2 | 7.3% |
VfL Osnabrück vs Hertha BSC stats
VfL Osnabrück and Hertha BSC recent form
| VfL Osnabrück |
WLWLLW |
| Hertha BSC |
WWDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
VfL Osnabrück vs Hertha BSC head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-05-19 | VfL Osnabrück | Hertha BSC | 2. Bundesliga | 2-1 |
| 2023-12-16 | Hertha BSC | VfL Osnabrück | 2. Bundesliga | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
VfL Osnabrück vs Hertha BSC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 29.6%, draw 25.1%, away 45.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.10 | 3.70 | 2.10 |
| 1xBet | 3.16 | 3.74 | 2.07 |
| Bet365 | 3.25 | 3.60 | 2.05 |
| BetVictor | 3.10 | 3.80 | 2.05 |
| Betano | 3.20 | 3.70 | 2.12 |
| Betfair | 3.10 | 3.70 | 2.05 |
| Dafabet | 3.10 | 3.65 | 2.12 |
| Marathonbet | 3.16 | 3.74 | 2.05 |
| Pinnacle | 3.24 | 3.96 | 2.11 |
| SBO | 2.86 | 3.30 | 2.01 |
| Unibet | 3.40 | 3.60 | 2.02 |
| William Hill | 3.10 | 3.60 | 2.05 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
13 snapshots recorded, from .