2. Bundesliga
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
Dynamo Dresden
vs
Hertha BSC
1 – 2 Full time
| 10′ | Patrice Čović | ||
| 29′ | Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson | ||
| 32′ | Robert Wagner | ||
| 37′ | Mads Valentin Pedersen | ||
| 39′ | Ahmet Muhamedbegovic | ||
| 43′ | Josip Brekalo | ||
| 45′ | Sebastian GronningGustaf Nilsson | ||
| 66′ | Vincent VermeijChristoph Daferner | ||
| 66′ | Niklas HauptmannTobias Raschl | ||
| 74′ | Julian EitschbergerDeyovaisio Zeefuik | ||
| 74′ | Oluwaseun AdewumiFarid Alfa-Ruprecht | ||
| 74′ | Patrice ČovićJakob Lemmer | ||
| 74′ | Nicolai RappFriedrich Müller | ||
| 74′ | Simon StraudiJonas Sterner | ||
| 80′ | Jón Dagur Þórsteinsson | ||
| 86′ | Jón Dagur ÞórsteinssonSoufian gouram | ||
| 90′ | Kevin SessaPascal Klemens |
Dynamo Dresden
38%
Draw
24%
Hertha BSC
38%
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 26 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 9 |
| 49 | Possession % | 51 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 11 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 6 | Saves | 1 |
| 354 | Accurate passes | 390 |
Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC
| Probability | Dynamo Dresden | Draw | Hertha BSC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.0% | 22.6% | 35.5% |
| Market | 36.6% | 24.4% | 39.1% |
| Final | 37.9% | 23.9% | 38.2% |
| Edge | +5.4% | -1.8% | -3.6% |
Why Hertha BSC
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
91%
3+ goals
74%
No goals
3%
Dynamo Dresden and Hertha BSC expected goals
Dynamo Dresden
2.02
Hertha BSC
1.85
Total expected goals: 3.87
Dynamo Dresden and Hertha BSC attack and defence ratings
Dynamo Dresden
Attack
1.24 +24%
Defence
1.08 +8%
Hertha BSC
Attack
1.29 +29%
Defence
0.99 -1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC: result vs prediction
Dynamo Dresden 1 – 2 Hertha BSC
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Wolfsburg v Darmstadt — match page
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg — team news & stats
- Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern v Eintracht Braunschweig — match page
- Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg — team news & stats
- Hannover 96 v Bochum — match page
- Arminia Bielefeld vs FC Heidenheim — team news & stats
- Energie Cottbus vs St. Pauli
Before and after this match
Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hertha BSC | 38.2% | 2.62 | -3.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dynamo Dresden | 37.9% |
| Draw | 23.9% | |
| Hertha BSC | 38.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 74.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 25.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 73.9% |
| No | 26.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hertha BSC win | 19.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.5% | |
| Loss | 64.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 8.6% |
| 2-1 | 7.9% | |
| 2-2 | 7.3% |
Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC stats
Dynamo Dresden and Hertha BSC recent form
| Dynamo Dresden |
DLLWWL |
| Hertha BSC |
WWWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Dynamo Dresden and Hertha BSC going into this match
Dynamo Dresden record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Hertha BSC record
- They have won 5 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
1Dynamo Dresden wins
1Draws
3Hertha BSC wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Dynamo Dresden | Hertha BSC | 2. Bundesliga | 0-1 |
| 2025-11-01 | Hertha BSC | Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga | 2-0 |
| 2019-10-30 | Hertha BSC | Dynamo Dresden | DFB Pokal | 5-5 |
| 2013-03-02 | Dynamo Dresden | Hertha BSC | 2. Bundesliga | 1-0 |
| 2012-09-26 | Hertha BSC | Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.5%, draw 24.5%, away 39.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.54 | 3.84 | 2.38 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.70 | 2.38 |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| Betano | 2.60 | 3.90 | 2.47 |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 3.80 | 2.38 |
| Marathonbet | 2.54 | 3.84 | 2.38 |
| Pinnacle | 2.60 | 4.00 | 2.51 |
| SBO | 2.52 | 3.41 | 2.18 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.70 | 2.38 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.54 ▲ +0.50
X
3.82 ▼ -0.03
2
2.38 ▼ -0.62
14 snapshots recorded, from .