2. Bundesliga · Full time ·Matchday 6

Wolfsburg vs Darmstadt

5 – 1 Full time

14′Alexander Bernhardsson
29′Milan Smit
38′Raoul Petretta
40′Robert Glatzel
42′Muhammed Damar
51′Nicolas Verkooijen
61′Alexander Bernhardsson
66′Muhammed Damar
68′Raoul PetrettaWilliam Mikelbrencis
68′Lee Ho-JaeLance Duijvestijn
70′Saël Kumbedi Nseke
76′Vinicius de Souza CostaMaximilian Arnold
76′Yannick GerhardtBence Dárdai
79′Robert Glatzel
83′Saël Kumbedi NsekeKilian Fischer
84′Robert GlatzelAlessio Besio
84′Carlo SickingerMarco Richter
84′Milan SmitIbrahim El Kadiri
86′Muhammed DamarPharrell Hensel
90′Pharrell Hensel

Volkswagen Arena, WolfsburgReferee: Martin Petersen

Wolfsburg 62%
Draw 21%
Darmstadt 17%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

19 Shots 12
6 Shots on target 3
64 Possession % 36
8 Corners 5
19 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 6
2 Saves 1
527 Accurate passes 264

Wolfsburg vs Darmstadt overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Wolfsburg vs Darmstadt

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityWolfsburgDrawDarmstadt
Model59.7%22.3%18.0%
Market63.3%20.0%16.7%
Final62.4%20.6%17.0%
Edge-3.6%+2.3%+1.3%

Confidence: Low

Why Wolfsburg

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.12 vs 1.10.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Wolfsburg ↓ / Darmstadt → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 8% 10% 5% 2 9% 10% 5% 3 6% 7% 4+ 5% 6%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Wolfsburg and Darmstadt expected goals

Wolfsburg 2.12
Darmstadt 1.10

Total expected goals: 3.22

Wolfsburg and Darmstadt attack and defence ratings

Wolfsburg

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Darmstadt

Attack 0.77 -23%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Wolfsburg vs Darmstadt: result vs prediction

Wolfsburg 5 – 1 Darmstadt

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

2. Bundesliga

Before and after this match

Wolfsburg vs Darmstadt markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Wolfsburg 62.4% 1.60 -3.6% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.4% 1.60 — —
Both teams to score Yes 59.6% 1.68 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.0% 1.21 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 40.3% 2.48 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Wolfsburg62.4%
Draw20.6%
Darmstadt17.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.4%
Under 2.537.6%
Both teams to scoreYes59.6%
No40.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.0%
12 (either side)79.4%
X2 (draw or away)37.6%
Handicap -1Wolfsburg win37.6%
Push (exactly one goal)22.1%
Loss40.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-110.3%
2-19.9%
2-09.0%

Wolfsburg vs Darmstadt stats

Wolfsburg and Darmstadt recent form

newest first
Wolfsburg LDWDWD
Darmstadt WLLWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Wolfsburg and Darmstadt going into this match

league record before kick-off

Wolfsburg record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.

Darmstadt record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Wolfsburg vs Darmstadt head-to-head

Last 7 meetings

4Wolfsburg wins 2Draws 1Darmstadt wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2024-05-04WolfsburgDarmstadtBundesliga3-0
2023-12-16DarmstadtWolfsburgBundesliga0-1
2017-03-18WolfsburgDarmstadtBundesliga1-0
2016-10-22DarmstadtWolfsburgBundesliga3-1
2016-03-19WolfsburgDarmstadtBundesliga1-1
2015-10-24DarmstadtWolfsburgBundesliga0-1
2014-08-17DarmstadtWolfsburgDFB Pokal0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Wolfsburg vs Darmstadt odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 63.3%, draw 20.0%, away 16.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.48 4.65 5.57
Bet365 1.48 4.50 5.75
BetVictor 1.45 4.75 5.75
Betano 1.52 5.00 6.00
Betfair 1.47 4.60 5.50
Marathonbet 1.47 4.65 5.55
Pinnacle 1.50 5.00 5.93
SBO 1.43 4.50 5.42
William Hill 1.44 4.40 5.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.47 ▼ -0.01
X 4.65 ▲ +0.24
2 5.57 ▲ +0.45

14 snapshots recorded, from .