Darmstadt
vs
Energie Cottbus
Garuda Lions Prediction: Energie Cottbus
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Darmstadt vs Energie Cottbus overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Darmstadt vs Energie Cottbus
| Probability | Darmstadt | Draw | Energie Cottbus |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.1% | 21.7% | 56.2% |
| Market | 42.3% | 24.1% | 33.6% |
| Final | 37.2% | 23.5% | 39.3% |
| Edge | -20.2% | -2.4% | +22.6% |
Why Energie Cottbus
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.24 vs 1.37.
- The market prices Energie Cottbus below the model: +22.6 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.92, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Darmstadt vs Energie Cottbus match preview
Darmstadt faces Energie Cottbus in a 2. Bundesliga matchup with kickoff scheduled for October 10, 2026. The model indicates a tight contest, with probabilities suggesting Darmstadt has a 38% chance of winning, while Energie Cottbus is slightly favored at 39%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2, occurring at a 9% probability. With an expectation of 70% for over 2.5 goals and 67% for both teams to score, this match could see multiple goals.
Recent form shows Darmstadt with a mixed record of L-W-L-L-W-L, while Energie Cottbus has struggled, recording D-W-D-L-L-L in their last six matches. Expected goals metrics indicate Darmstadt at 1.37 and Energie Cottbus at 2.24, highlighting the potential for a competitive encounter. The confidence grade for this prediction is C, reflecting a blend of model probabilities and market odds.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Darmstadt and Energie Cottbus expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.62
Darmstadt and Energie Cottbus attack and defence ratings
Darmstadt
Energie Cottbus
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern — team news & stats
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel — team news & stats
- 1. FC Magdeburg v Hannover 96 — match page
- VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden
- 1. FC Nürnberg vs Wolfsburg — team news & stats
- Hertha BSC v SpVgg Greuther Fürth — match page
- Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld
- St. Pauli v Karlsruher SC — match page
Before and after this match
Darmstadt vs Energie Cottbus markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Energie Cottbus | 39.3% | 2.54 | +22.6% | 2.92 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Darmstadt | 37.2% |
| Draw | 23.5% | |
| Energie Cottbus | 39.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 67.5% |
| No | 32.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 60.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Energie Cottbus win | 35.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 43.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.3% |
| 1-1 | 9.1% | |
| 1-3 | 6.9% |
Darmstadt vs Energie Cottbus stats
Darmstadt and Energie Cottbus recent form
| Darmstadt |
LWLLWL |
| Energie Cottbus |
DWDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Darmstadt and Energie Cottbus season so far
Darmstadt record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Energie Cottbus record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Darmstadt vs Energie Cottbus head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Darmstadt vs Energie Cottbus odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.3%, draw 24.1%, away 33.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.24 | 3.92 | 2.72 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.80 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.25 | 3.85 | 2.92 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.25 | 3.90 | 2.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.22 | 3.92 | 2.71 |
| Pinnacle | 2.25 | 4.07 | 2.88 |
| SBO | 2.18 | 3.42 | 2.51 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.70 | 2.75 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .