FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern Prediction — 9 Oct 2026

FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	FC Heidenheim	Draw	1. FC Kaiserslautern
Model	38.5%	28.4%	33.1%
Market	50.7%	24.5%	24.8%
Final	47.6%	25.5%	26.9%
Edge	-12.2%	+3.9%	+8.3%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

92%

2+ goals

76%

3+ goals

50%

No goals

8%

FC Heidenheim and 1. FC Kaiserslautern expected goals

FC Heidenheim

1.39

1. FC Kaiserslautern

1.27

Total expected goals: 2.66

FC Heidenheim and 1. FC Kaiserslautern attack and defence ratings

FC Heidenheim

Attack

1.32 +32%

Defence

1.27 +27%

1. FC Kaiserslautern

Attack

0.75 -25%

Defence

0.64 -36%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern: result vs prediction

FC Heidenheim 0 – 0 1. FC Kaiserslautern

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

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Before and after this match

FC Heidenheim, previous: Arminia Bielefeld vs FC Heidenheim: odds and pick
1. FC Kaiserslautern, previous: 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Eintracht Braunschweig: odds and pick
1. FC Kaiserslautern, next: Hannover 96 vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern: odds and pick

FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	FC Heidenheim	47.6%	2.10	-12.2%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Under 2.5	50.3%	1.99	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	55.3%	1.81	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	74.5%	1.34	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	61.5%	1.62	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	FC Heidenheim	47.6%
	Draw	25.5%
	1. FC Kaiserslautern	26.9%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	49.7%
	Under 2.5	50.3%
Both teams to score	Yes	55.3%
	No	44.7%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	73.1%
	12 (either side)	74.5%
	X2 (draw or away)	52.4%
Handicap -1	FC Heidenheim win	18.5%
	Push (exactly one goal)	20.0%
	Loss	61.5%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	13.6%
	2-1	8.6%
	1-0	8.5%

FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern stats

FC Heidenheim and 1. FC Kaiserslautern recent form

newest first

FC Heidenheim	DWWWLL
1. FC Kaiserslautern	WLWWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Heidenheim and 1. FC Kaiserslautern going into this match

league record before kick-off

FC Heidenheim record

They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
They average 3.3 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

1. FC Kaiserslautern record

They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3FC Heidenheim wins 5Draws 21. FC Kaiserslautern wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2023-04-01	1. FC Kaiserslautern	FC Heidenheim	2. Bundesliga	2-2
2022-09-18	FC Heidenheim	1. FC Kaiserslautern	2. Bundesliga	2-2
2018-05-06	1. FC Kaiserslautern	FC Heidenheim	2. Bundesliga	1-0
2017-12-01	FC Heidenheim	1. FC Kaiserslautern	2. Bundesliga	3-2
2017-03-12	1. FC Kaiserslautern	FC Heidenheim	2. Bundesliga	1-1
2016-09-24	FC Heidenheim	1. FC Kaiserslautern	2. Bundesliga	3-0
2016-02-20	1. FC Kaiserslautern	FC Heidenheim	2. Bundesliga	2-2
2015-08-28	FC Heidenheim	1. FC Kaiserslautern	2. Bundesliga	3-1
2015-04-04	1. FC Kaiserslautern	FC Heidenheim	2. Bundesliga	4-0
2014-10-17	FC Heidenheim	1. FC Kaiserslautern	2. Bundesliga	1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 50.7%, draw 24.5%, away 24.8%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	1.83	3.92	3.72
Bet365	1.85	3.80	3.60
BetVictor	1.83	3.90	3.70
Betano	1.95	3.90	3.95
Betfair	1.83	3.60	4.00
Dafabet	1.90	3.80	3.80
Marathonbet	1.82	4.00	3.62
Pinnacle	1.88	3.76	4.19
SBO	1.86	3.52	3.49
William Hill	1.80	3.60	3.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.84 ▼ -0.01

X 3.80 ▲ +0.05

2 3.76 ▲ +0.06

8 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-06T08:10:02Z.