1. FC Magdeburg
vs
Hannover 96
Garuda Lions Prediction: 1. FC Magdeburg
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: 1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96
| Probability | 1. FC Magdeburg | Draw | Hannover 96 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.4% | 23.7% | 26.9% |
| Market | 37.9% | 23.7% | 38.4% |
| Final | 40.8% | 23.7% | 35.5% |
| Edge | +11.5% | +0.0% | -11.5% |
Why 1. FC Magdeburg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.98 vs 1.43.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
- The market prices 1. FC Magdeburg below the model: +11.5 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.65, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96 match preview
1. FC Magdeburg faces Hannover 96 in a 2. Bundesliga clash with kickoff set for October 10, 2026. The model suggests a 40% probability of a Magdeburg victory, while Hannover has a 36% chance of winning, and a draw stands at 24%. The expected goals indicate that Magdeburg is projected to score 1.97, compared to Hannover's 1.42. Both teams are likely to find the net, with a 66% probability for both teams to score and for the match to see over 2.5 goals.
In terms of recent form, 1. FC Magdeburg has recorded a draw followed by three consecutive wins, while Hannover 96's recent performances include two wins, a draw, and two losses. Historically, Hannover has dominated their last two encounters, winning both matches against Magdeburg. The most likely scoreline suggested is 2-1 in favor of Magdeburg, with a confidence grade of C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1. FC Magdeburg and Hannover 96 expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.41
1. FC Magdeburg and Hannover 96 attack and defence ratings
1. FC Magdeburg
Hannover 96
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern — team news & stats
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel — team news & stats
- Darmstadt vs Energie Cottbus
- VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden
- 1. FC Nürnberg vs Wolfsburg — team news & stats
- Hertha BSC v SpVgg Greuther Fürth — match page
- Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld
- St. Pauli v Karlsruher SC — match page
Before and after this match
1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 40.8% | 2.45 | +11.5% | 2.65 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.0% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.3% | 1.51 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 40.8% |
| Draw | 23.7% | |
| Hannover 96 | 35.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 66.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.3% |
| No | 33.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 59.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | 1. FC Magdeburg win | 29.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 50.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-2 | 6.7% |
1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96 stats
1. FC Magdeburg and Hannover 96 recent form
| 1. FC Magdeburg |
DWLWWW |
| Hannover 96 |
WLDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
1. FC Magdeburg and Hannover 96 season so far
1. FC Magdeburg record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Hannover 96 record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96 head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-30 | 1. FC Magdeburg | Hannover 96 | 2. Bundesliga | 1-2 |
| 2025-08-23 | Hannover 96 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga | 3-1 |
| 2025-03-29 | Hannover 96 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga | 0-0 |
| 2025-01-10 | Hannover 96 | 1. FC Magdeburg | Friendlies Clubs | 0-3 |
| 2024-11-14 | Hannover 96 | 1. FC Magdeburg | Friendlies Clubs | 2-2 |
| 2024-10-27 | 1. FC Magdeburg | Hannover 96 | 2. Bundesliga | 0-3 |
| 2024-03-31 | 1. FC Magdeburg | Hannover 96 | 2. Bundesliga | 0-3 |
| 2023-10-20 | Hannover 96 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga | 2-1 |
| 2023-02-26 | Hannover 96 | 1. FC Magdeburg | 2. Bundesliga | 1-2 |
| 2022-08-19 | 1. FC Magdeburg | Hannover 96 | 2. Bundesliga | 0-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
1. FC Magdeburg vs Hannover 96 odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 37.9%, draw 23.7%, away 38.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.45 | 3.94 | 2.42 |
| Bet365 | 2.45 | 3.80 | 2.45 |
| BetVictor | 2.40 | 3.90 | 2.40 |
| Betano | 2.65 | 3.80 | 2.42 |
| Betfair | 2.40 | 4.00 | 2.40 |
| Dafabet | 2.50 | 3.95 | 2.49 |
| Marathonbet | 2.45 | 3.94 | 2.42 |
| Pinnacle | 2.52 | 4.09 | 2.52 |
| SBO | 2.29 | 3.52 | 2.33 |
| William Hill | 2.45 | 3.75 | 2.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .