2. Bundesliga · 2026-10-11T11:30:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 7

Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld

0 – 1 Full time

23′			Michael Steinwender
39′			Joel Felix
63′			Christian Theodor Kjelder RasmussenBerkan Taz
64′			Isaiah YoungBenjamin boakye
64′			Leon JensenJannik Rochelt
72′			Benjamin boakye
78′			Benjamin boakye
81′			Mats Henry PannewigDaniel Hanslik
82′			Joel GrodowskiDavid Min
86′			Maximilian Wittekalessandro crimaldi
87′			Gerrit Holtmann
90′			Marius WorlLeon Schneider
90′			David Min

Vonovia Ruhrstadion, BochumReferee: Konrad Oldhafer

Bochum

42%

Draw

26%

Arminia Bielefeld

31%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

9	Shots	12
3	Shots on target	2
64	Possession %	36
6	Corners	4
9	Fouls	9
0	Offsides	2
1	Saves	3
456	Accurate passes	215

Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	Bochum	Draw	Arminia Bielefeld
Model	46.0%	25.3%	28.6%
Market	41.3%	26.3%	32.4%
Final	42.4%	26.1%	31.5%
Edge	+1.2%	-0.3%	-0.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Bochum

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.77 vs 1.36.
Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

95%

2+ goals

83%

3+ goals

60%

No goals

Bochum and Arminia Bielefeld expected goals

Bochum

1.77

Arminia Bielefeld

1.36

Total expected goals: 3.13

Bochum and Arminia Bielefeld attack and defence ratings

Bochum

Attack

0.87 -13%

Defence

0.88 -12%

Arminia Bielefeld

Attack

1.17 +17%

Defence

1.23 +23%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld: result vs prediction

Bochum 0 – 1 Arminia Bielefeld

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

2. Bundesliga

FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern — team news & stats · 2026-10-09
Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel — team news & stats · 2026-10-09
1. FC Magdeburg v Hannover 96 — match page · 2026-10-10
Darmstadt vs Energie Cottbus · 2026-10-10
VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden · 2026-10-10
1. FC Nürnberg vs Wolfsburg — team news & stats · 2026-10-10
Hertha BSC v SpVgg Greuther Fürth — match page · 2026-10-11
St. Pauli v Karlsruher SC — match page · 2026-10-11

Before and after this match

Bochum, previous: Hannover 96 v Bochum analysis
Bochum, next: 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Bochum prediction
Arminia Bielefeld, previous: Arminia Bielefeld vs FC Heidenheim: odds and pick
Arminia Bielefeld, next: Arminia Bielefeld v VfL Osnabrück analysis

Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Bochum	42.4%	2.36	+1.2%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	60.5%	1.65	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	62.7%	1.59	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	73.9%	1.35	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	54.0%	1.85	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	Bochum	42.4%
	Draw	26.1%
	Arminia Bielefeld	31.5%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	60.5%
	Under 2.5	39.5%
Both teams to score	Yes	62.7%
	No	37.3%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	68.5%
	12 (either side)	73.9%
	X2 (draw or away)	57.6%
Handicap -1	Bochum win	25.5%
	Push (exactly one goal)	20.6%
	Loss	54.0%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	11.6%
	2-1	9.3%
	1-2	7.2%

Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld stats

Bochum and Arminia Bielefeld recent form

newest first

Bochum	LDWLWW
Arminia Bielefeld	DLDLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bochum and Arminia Bielefeld going into this match

league record before kick-off

Bochum record

They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.3 at home.
30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Arminia Bielefeld record

They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Bochum wins 3Draws 4Arminia Bielefeld wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-05-02	Arminia Bielefeld	Bochum	2. Bundesliga	1-1
2025-12-06	Bochum	Arminia Bielefeld	2. Bundesliga	1-0
2023-08-12	Arminia Bielefeld	Bochum	DFB Pokal	2-2
2022-05-06	Bochum	Arminia Bielefeld	Bundesliga	2-1
2021-12-14	Arminia Bielefeld	Bochum	Bundesliga	2-0
2020-01-28	Arminia Bielefeld	Bochum	2. Bundesliga	2-0
2019-08-02	Bochum	Arminia Bielefeld	2. Bundesliga	3-3
2019-03-17	Arminia Bielefeld	Bochum	2. Bundesliga	3-1
2018-10-05	Bochum	Arminia Bielefeld	2. Bundesliga	1-0
2018-01-29	Bochum	Arminia Bielefeld	2. Bundesliga	0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.3%, draw 26.3%, away 32.4%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.28	3.58	2.84
Bet365	2.25	3.50	2.90
BetVictor	2.25	3.50	2.88
Betano	2.30	3.60	2.95
Betfair	2.30	3.60	2.80
Dafabet	2.35	3.55	2.90
Marathonbet	2.26	3.58	2.83
Pinnacle	2.36	3.56	3.05
SBO	2.24	3.10	2.62
William Hill	2.25	3.30	2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.27 ▲ +0.01

X 3.55 ▲ +0.04

2 2.89 ▲ +0.09

11 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-06T08:10:02Z.