Bochum
vs
Arminia Bielefeld
Garuda Lions Prediction: Bochum
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld
| Probability | Bochum | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.8% | 25.4% | 28.9% |
| Market | 41.2% | 26.3% | 32.5% |
| Final | 42.4% | 26.1% | 31.6% |
| Edge | +4.5% | -0.9% | -3.6% |
Why Bochum
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.77 vs 1.37.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Bochum below the model: +4.5 percentage points of edge.
Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld match preview
Bochum faces Arminia Bielefeld in a 2. Bundesliga match, with Bochum holding a 46% probability of winning compared to Bielefeld's 29%. The expected goals for Bochum stand at 1.76, while Bielefeld is projected to score 1.37. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Bochum, with a 9% chance of occurring. Additionally, there is a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 63% likelihood that both teams will score.
In terms of recent form, Bochum has recorded two wins in their last five matches, while Arminia Bielefeld has managed only one win in their last six. The head-to-head record shows Bochum with one win and one draw against Bielefeld in their last two encounters, indicating a slight advantage for Bochum heading into this fixture.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bochum and Arminia Bielefeld expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.13
Bochum and Arminia Bielefeld attack and defence ratings
Bochum
Arminia Bielefeld
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern — team news & stats
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel — team news & stats
- 1. FC Magdeburg v Hannover 96 — match page
- Darmstadt vs Energie Cottbus
- VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden
- 1. FC Nürnberg vs Wolfsburg — team news & stats
- Hertha BSC v SpVgg Greuther Fürth — match page
- St. Pauli v Karlsruher SC — match page
Before and after this match
Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bochum | 42.4% | 2.36 | +4.5% | 2.30 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.5% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 73.9% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bochum | 42.4% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Arminia Bielefeld | 31.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.8% |
| No | 37.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bochum win | 25.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.5% | |
| Loss | 54.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-2 | 7.2% |
Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld stats
Bochum and Arminia Bielefeld recent form
| Bochum |
LDWLWW |
| Arminia Bielefeld |
DLDLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bochum and Arminia Bielefeld season so far
Bochum record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
Arminia Bielefeld record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Arminia Bielefeld | Bochum | 2. Bundesliga | 1-1 |
| 2025-12-06 | Bochum | Arminia Bielefeld | 2. Bundesliga | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.2%, draw 26.3%, away 32.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.28 | 3.58 | 2.84 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.90 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.50 | 2.88 |
| Betano | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.95 |
| Betfair | 2.30 | 3.60 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.29 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Marathonbet | 2.26 | 3.58 | 2.83 |
| Pinnacle | 2.28 | 3.54 | 3.05 |
| SBO | 2.08 | 3.22 | 2.78 |
| William Hill | 2.25 | 3.30 | 2.88 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
8 snapshots recorded, from .