Garuda Lions
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2. Bundesliga · Full time ·Matchday 8

1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Bochum

2 – 0 Full time

31′Miloš Luković
53′Karol Mets
55′Gerrit HoltmannJarne Steuckers
63′Ibrahim KanateErencan Yardimci
63′Miloš LukovićThierry Fidjeu Tazemeta
69′Tom Meyer
70′Jan Elvedi
72′Koji MiyoshiBerkan Taz
72′Mats Henry PannewigCharlie Patino
74′Sean Klaiber
75′Semih Sahin
76′Naatan SkyttäFabian Kunze
76′Jan ElvediSimon Asta
83′Christian Theodor Kjelder RasmussenDaniel Hanslik
86′Mario SauerMarlon Ritter

Fritz-Walter-Stadion, KaiserslauternReferee: Wolfgang Haslberger

1. FC Kaiserslautern 43%
Draw 29%
Bochum 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

16 Shots 8
3 Shots on target 2
46 Possession % 54
6 Corners 4
8 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 1
2 Saves 1
274 Accurate passes 363

1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Bochum overview

Garuda Lions analysis: 1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Bochum

model vs market on the 1X2
Probability1. FC KaiserslauternDrawBochum
Model42.7%37.2%20.1%
Market43.0%26.5%30.5%
Final42.9%29.2%27.9%
Edge-0.3%+10.7%-10.4%

Confidence: Low

Why 1. FC Kaiserslautern

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.98 vs 0.58.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

1. FC Kaisersl ↓ / Bochum → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 22% 1 19% 13% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 78%
2+ goals 47%
3+ goals 21%
No goals 22%

1. FC Kaiserslautern and Bochum expected goals

1. FC Kaiserslautern 0.98
Bochum 0.58

Total expected goals: 1.56

1. FC Kaiserslautern and Bochum attack and defence ratings

1. FC Kaiserslautern

Attack 0.70 -30%
Defence 0.56 -44%

Bochum

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Bochum: result vs prediction

1. FC Kaiserslautern 2 – 0 Bochum

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

2. Bundesliga

Before and after this match

1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Bochum markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 1. FC Kaiserslautern 42.9% 2.33 -0.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 79.5% 1.26 — —
Both teams to score No 71.4% 1.40 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 72.1% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.3% 1.74 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X21. FC Kaiserslautern42.9%
Draw29.2%
Bochum27.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.520.5%
Under 2.579.5%
Both teams to scoreYes28.6%
No71.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.1%
12 (either side)70.8%
X2 (draw or away)57.1%
Handicap -11. FC Kaiserslautern win16.9%
Push (exactly one goal)25.8%
Loss57.3%
Correct score (top 3)0-022.3%
1-019.4%
1-113.1%

1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Bochum stats

1. FC Kaiserslautern and Bochum recent form

newest first
1. FC Kaiserslautern DWLWWW
Bochum LLDWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

1. FC Kaiserslautern and Bochum going into this match

league record before kick-off

1. FC Kaiserslautern record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 7 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
  • 43% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bochum record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.2 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Bochum head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

41. FC Kaiserslautern wins 2Draws 4Bochum wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-07Bochum1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga3-2
2025-10-041. FC KaiserslauternBochum2. Bundesliga3-2
2018-04-13Bochum1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga3-2
2017-11-031. FC KaiserslauternBochum2. Bundesliga0-0
2017-04-05Bochum1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga0-0
2016-10-241. FC KaiserslauternBochum2. Bundesliga3-0
2016-03-141. FC KaiserslauternBochum2. Bundesliga0-2
2015-10-27Bochum1. FC KaiserslauternDFB Pokal1-0
2015-09-25Bochum1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga1-2
2015-04-24Bochum1. FC Kaiserslautern2. Bundesliga0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

1. FC Kaiserslautern vs Bochum odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.1%, draw 26.2%, away 30.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.17 3.50 3.09
Bet365 2.15 3.50 3.00
BetVictor 2.15 3.60 3.00
Betano 2.22 3.65 3.05
Betfair 2.15 3.75 2.90
Dafabet 2.23 3.60 3.05
Marathonbet 2.15 3.50 3.08
Pinnacle 2.26 3.60 3.20
SBO 2.06 3.21 2.83
William Hill 2.20 3.30 2.90

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.16 ▼ -0.18
X 3.50 ▼ -0.10
2 3.04 ▲ +0.27

13 snapshots recorded, from .