2. Bundesliga · Full time ·Matchday 8

Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC

0 – 0 Full time

34′Deyovaisio Zeefuik
38′Sebastian Schonlau
50′Sebastian SchonlauDavid Zec
64′Guillermo BalziGyan de Regt
64′Till WieseIkem Ugoh
68′David Zec
69′Sebastian GronningJan Luca Schuler
69′Julian EitschbergerMads Valentin Pedersen
76′Jón Dagur ÞórsteinssonFarid Alfa-Ruprecht
82′Jonas Torrissen TherkelsenGiorgi Kvilitaia
82′Adrian KapralikMark Richter Montserrat
89′Oluwaseun AdewumiSoufian gouram
90′Paul Seguin

Holstein-Stadion, KielReferee: Jarno Wienefeld

Holstein Kiel 35%
Draw 25%
Hertha BSC 40%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

6 Shots 15
3 Shots on target 7
43 Possession % 57
1 Corners 6
18 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 2
6 Saves 3
269 Accurate passes 363

Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHolstein KielDrawHertha BSC
Model30.9%28.2%40.9%
Market35.7%24.4%39.9%
Final34.5%25.3%40.2%
Edge-1.2%+0.9%+0.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Hertha BSC

  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Holstein Kiel ↓ / Hertha BSC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 9% 7% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Holstein Kiel and Hertha BSC expected goals

Holstein Kiel 1.24
Hertha BSC 1.45

Total expected goals: 2.69

Holstein Kiel and Hertha BSC attack and defence ratings

Holstein Kiel

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Hertha BSC

Attack 1.26 +26%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC: result vs prediction

Holstein Kiel 0 – 0 Hertha BSC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

2. Bundesliga

Before and after this match

Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Hertha BSC 40.2% 2.49 +0.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.3% 1.99 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.5% 1.80 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.7% 1.34 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 59.1% 1.69 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Holstein Kiel34.5%
Draw25.3%
Hertha BSC40.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.3%
Under 2.549.7%
Both teams to scoreYes55.5%
No44.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)59.8%
12 (either side)74.7%
X2 (draw or away)65.5%
Handicap -1Hertha BSC win20.3%
Push (exactly one goal)20.6%
Loss59.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.4%
1-28.9%
0-18.7%

Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC stats

Holstein Kiel and Hertha BSC recent form

newest first
Holstein Kiel LDLDLW
Hertha BSC WWWWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Holstein Kiel and Hertha BSC going into this match

league record before kick-off

Holstein Kiel record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

Hertha BSC record

  • They have won 7 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
  • 32% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1Holstein Kiel wins 1Draws 2Hertha BSC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-25Hertha BSCHolstein Kiel2. Bundesliga0-1
2025-11-29Holstein KielHertha BSC2. Bundesliga0-1
2024-03-01Hertha BSCHolstein Kiel2. Bundesliga2-2
2023-09-24Holstein KielHertha BSC2. Bundesliga2-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Holstein Kiel vs Hertha BSC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.5%, draw 24.3%, away 40.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.62 3.82 2.32
Bet365 2.55 3.80 2.35
BetVictor 2.55 3.90 2.38
Betano 2.92 4.00 2.18
Betfair 2.88 3.80 2.15
Dafabet 2.90 3.90 2.24
Marathonbet 2.62 3.82 2.32
Pinnacle 2.62 4.01 2.49
SBO 2.70 3.52 2.20
William Hill 2.60 3.70 2.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.61 ▼ -0.09
X 3.82 ▼ -0.06
2 2.33 ▲ +0.08

10 snapshots recorded, from .