Karlsruher SC
vs
Darmstadt
Garuda Lions Prediction: Karlsruher SC
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Karlsruher SC vs Darmstadt overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Karlsruher SC vs Darmstadt
| Probability | Karlsruher SC | Draw | Darmstadt |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 40.4% | 26.2% | 33.5% |
| Market | 42.2% | 24.8% | 33.0% |
| Final | 41.7% | 25.1% | 33.1% |
| Edge | -1.8% | +1.4% | +0.4% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.27, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Karlsruher SC vs Darmstadt match preview
Karlsruher SC faces Darmstadt in a competitive 2. Bundesliga matchup. According to our model, Karlsruher SC has a 42% probability of winning, while Darmstadt stands at 33%. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Karlsruher SC, with a 9% chance of occurring. Both teams are expected to contribute to the scoreline, with a 62% likelihood of both teams scoring and a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match.
Recent form shows Karlsruher SC struggling with three consecutive losses followed by a draw and a win, while Darmstadt has shown some resilience with two wins in their last three matches. The expected goals for Karlsruher SC is 1.60, slightly higher than Darmstadt's 1.45, indicating a closely contested match. The confidence grade for this fixture is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Karlsruher SC and Darmstadt expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.06
Karlsruher SC and Darmstadt attack and defence ratings
Karlsruher SC
Darmstadt
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
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- Wolfsburg v FC Heidenheim — match page
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Eintracht Braunschweig
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern v Bochum — match page
- Hannover 96 vs St. Pauli — team news & stats
- Dynamo Dresden v 1. FC Magdeburg — match page
- Arminia Bielefeld vs VfL Osnabrück — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Karlsruher SC vs Darmstadt markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Karlsruher SC | 41.7% | 2.40 | -1.8% | 2.27 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.3% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.9% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.6% | 1.68 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Karlsruher SC | 41.7% |
| Draw | 25.1% | |
| Darmstadt | 33.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 58.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 41.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.3% |
| No | 37.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Karlsruher SC win | 20.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 59.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.8% | |
| 1-2 | 7.9% |
Karlsruher SC vs Darmstadt stats
Karlsruher SC and Darmstadt recent form
| Karlsruher SC |
LLLDLW |
| Darmstadt |
WLWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Karlsruher SC and Darmstadt season so far
Karlsruher SC record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
Darmstadt record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Karlsruher SC vs Darmstadt head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Karlsruher SC | Darmstadt | 2. Bundesliga | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-06 | Darmstadt | Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga | 3-2 |
| 2025-03-07 | Darmstadt | Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga | 3-0 |
| 2024-10-04 | Karlsruher SC | Darmstadt | 2. Bundesliga | 3-3 |
| 2023-07-22 | Karlsruher SC | Darmstadt | Friendlies Clubs | 0-0 |
| 2023-04-21 | Darmstadt | Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga | 2-1 |
| 2022-10-15 | Karlsruher SC | Darmstadt | 2. Bundesliga | 1-2 |
| 2022-01-15 | Darmstadt | Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga | 2-2 |
| 2021-07-30 | Karlsruher SC | Darmstadt | 2. Bundesliga | 3-0 |
| 2021-02-26 | Darmstadt | Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Karlsruher SC vs Darmstadt odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.2%, draw 24.8%, away 33.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.22 | 3.75 | 2.83 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.75 | 2.80 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.75 | 2.75 |
| Betano | 2.27 | 3.90 | 2.82 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 4.00 | 2.80 |
| Dafabet | 2.25 | 3.90 | 2.85 |
| Marathonbet | 2.20 | 3.75 | 2.82 |
| Pinnacle | 2.26 | 3.83 | 2.91 |
| SBO | 2.06 | 3.45 | 2.68 |
| William Hill | 2.20 | 3.60 | 2.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .