Garuda Lions
Today
2. Bundesliga · Full time ·Matchday 8

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Eintracht Braunschweig

2 – 0 Full time

32′Felix Klaus
45′Samuele Di BenedettoRobin Heusser
63′Felix Klaus
64′Fabio Di Michele SanchezNoah Katterbach
64′Aaron OpokuJovan Mijatovic
66′Shinta Karl AppelkampDennis Srbeny
73′Omar SillahJordan Siebatcheu
74′Gian-Luca ItterKrisztián Keresztes
74′Felix Klaus
79′Lukas FrenkertArlet Junior Zé
88′Ole PohlmannAaron Keller
88′Felix KlausFaton Ademi

Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, FürthReferee: Felix Weller

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 45%
Draw 25%
Eintracht Braunschweig 30%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

13 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 4
46 Possession % 54
6 Corners 9
8 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 0
3 Saves 1
305 Accurate passes 353

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Eintracht Braunschweig overview

Garuda Lions analysis: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Eintracht Braunschweig

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySpVgg Greuther FürthDrawEintracht Braunschweig
Model47.3%25.0%27.8%
Market44.2%24.9%31.0%
Final44.9%24.9%30.2%
Edge+3.1%+0.1%-3.2%

Confidence: Low

Why SpVgg Greuther Fürth

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.36.
  • The market prices SpVgg Greuther Fürth below the model: +3.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

SpVgg Greuther ↓ / Eintracht Brau → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 11% 7% 2 7% 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Eintracht Braunschweig expected goals

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.82
Eintracht Braunschweig 1.36

Total expected goals: 3.17

SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Eintracht Braunschweig attack and defence ratings

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Eintracht Braunschweig

Attack 0.99 -1%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Eintracht Braunschweig: result vs prediction

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2 – 0 Eintracht Braunschweig

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

2. Bundesliga

Before and after this match

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Eintracht Braunschweig markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 SpVgg Greuther Fürth 44.9% 2.23 +3.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.4% 1.63 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.2% 1.58 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.1% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 52.7% 1.90 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2SpVgg Greuther Fürth44.9%
Draw24.9%
Eintracht Braunschweig30.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.4%
Under 2.538.6%
Both teams to scoreYes63.2%
No36.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.8%
12 (either side)75.1%
X2 (draw or away)55.1%
Handicap -1SpVgg Greuther Fürth win26.6%
Push (exactly one goal)20.7%
Loss52.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.4%
2-19.4%
1-27.0%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Eintracht Braunschweig stats

SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Eintracht Braunschweig recent form

newest first
SpVgg Greuther Fürth LDDLWL
Eintracht Braunschweig WLDLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth and Eintracht Braunschweig going into this match

league record before kick-off

SpVgg Greuther Fürth record

  • They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

Eintracht Braunschweig record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.3 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Eintracht Braunschweig head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5SpVgg Greuther Fürth wins 3Draws 2Eintracht Braunschweig wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-24SpVgg Greuther FürthEintracht Braunschweig2. Bundesliga0-0
2025-08-09Eintracht BraunschweigSpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga3-2
2025-02-23SpVgg Greuther FürthEintracht Braunschweig2. Bundesliga3-0
2024-09-21Eintracht BraunschweigSpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga2-0
2024-05-04SpVgg Greuther FürthEintracht Braunschweig2. Bundesliga3-3
2023-12-02Eintracht BraunschweigSpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga0-1
2023-05-13SpVgg Greuther FürthEintracht Braunschweig2. Bundesliga2-2
2022-11-06Eintracht BraunschweigSpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga0-1
2021-04-20SpVgg Greuther FürthEintracht Braunschweig2. Bundesliga3-0
2020-12-19Eintracht BraunschweigSpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga0-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Eintracht Braunschweig odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 43.9%, draw 24.9%, away 31.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.13 3.74 3.00
Bet365 2.10 3.60 3.10
BetVictor 2.10 3.75 3.00
Betano 2.20 3.80 3.00
Betfair 2.15 3.80 2.90
Dafabet 2.20 3.75 3.05
Marathonbet 2.11 3.74 3.00
Pinnacle 2.12 4.01 3.19
SBO 2.15 3.22 2.66
William Hill 2.05 3.60 3.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.10 ▼ -0.02
X 3.74 ▲ +0.04
2 3.00 ▼ -0.01

13 snapshots recorded, from .