2. Bundesliga
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Hertha BSC
vs
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
2 – 1 Full time
| 60′ | Linus Jasper Gechter | ||
| 64′ | Jan Luca SchulerGustaf Nilsson | ||
| 64′ | Oluwaseun AdewumiFarid Alfa-Ruprecht | ||
| 65′ | Mads Valentin Pedersen | ||
| 66′ | Shinta Karl AppelkampFaton Ademi | ||
| 72′ | Julian Eitschberger | ||
| 75′ | Sacha BanseJordan Siebatcheu | ||
| 76′ | Mads Valentin PedersenDeyovaisio Zeefuik | ||
| 80′ | Paul Seguin | ||
| 81′ | Lukas ReichAaron Keller | ||
| 81′ | Omar SillahDennis Srbeny | ||
| 81′ | Ole PohlmannOlgherto Balliu | ||
| 87′ | Kevin SessaPascal Klemens | ||
| 87′ | Jón Dagur ÞórsteinssonSoufian gouram | ||
| 90′ | Jannis Heuer |
Hertha BSC
59%
Draw
21%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
19%
Match stats
| 19 | Shots | 17 |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 42 | Possession % | 58 |
| 5 | Corners | 12 |
| 10 | Fouls | 8 |
| 1 | Offsides | 4 |
| 4 | Saves | 8 |
| 261 | Accurate passes | 370 |
Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth
| Probability | Hertha BSC | Draw | SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.2% | 22.5% | 20.3% |
| Market | 60.3% | 20.8% | 18.9% |
| Final | 59.5% | 21.2% | 19.3% |
| Edge | -0.8% | +0.4% | +0.3% |
Why Hertha BSC
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.12 vs 1.21.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
95%
2+ goals
85%
3+ goals
65%
No goals
5%
Hertha BSC and SpVgg Greuther Fürth expected goals
Hertha BSC
2.12
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
1.21
Total expected goals: 3.33
Hertha BSC and SpVgg Greuther Fürth attack and defence ratings
Hertha BSC
Attack
1.30 +30%
Defence
0.96 -4%
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
Attack
0.95 -5%
Defence
0.99 -1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth: result vs prediction
Hertha BSC 2 – 1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern — team news & stats
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel — team news & stats
- 1. FC Magdeburg v Hannover 96 — match page
- Darmstadt vs Energie Cottbus
- VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden
- 1. FC Nürnberg vs Wolfsburg — team news & stats
- Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld
- St. Pauli v Karlsruher SC — match page
Before and after this match
Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hertha BSC | 59.5% | 1.68 | -0.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.7% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.7% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hertha BSC | 59.5% |
| Draw | 21.2% | |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 19.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.7% |
| No | 37.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hertha BSC win | 35.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 42.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 8.0% |
Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth stats
Hertha BSC and SpVgg Greuther Fürth recent form
| Hertha BSC |
WWWWDW |
| SpVgg Greuther Fürth |
DDLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hertha BSC and SpVgg Greuther Fürth going into this match
Hertha BSC record
- They have won 6 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.8 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 35% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
5Hertha BSC wins
1Draws
2SpVgg Greuther Fürth wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Hertha BSC | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-12 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | Hertha BSC | 2. Bundesliga | 3-3 |
| 2025-05-04 | Hertha BSC | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga | 1-0 |
| 2024-12-07 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | Hertha BSC | 2. Bundesliga | 2-1 |
| 2024-02-11 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | Hertha BSC | 2. Bundesliga | 1-2 |
| 2023-08-26 | Hertha BSC | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | 2. Bundesliga | 5-0 |
| 2022-02-12 | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | Hertha BSC | Bundesliga | 2-1 |
| 2021-09-17 | Hertha BSC | SpVgg Greuther Fürth | Bundesliga | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Hertha BSC vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.3%, draw 20.8%, away 18.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.58 | 4.50 | 4.68 |
| Bet365 | 1.53 | 4.33 | 5.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 4.50 | 5.00 |
| Betano | 1.60 | 4.65 | 5.50 |
| Betfair | 1.53 | 4.50 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.58 | 4.70 | 4.90 |
| Marathonbet | 1.56 | 4.50 | 4.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.58 | 4.70 | 5.22 |
| SBO | 1.48 | 4.09 | 4.46 |
| William Hill | 1.55 | 4.20 | 4.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.56 ▼ -0.01
X
4.50 ▲ +0.05
2
4.95 ▲ +0.20
11 snapshots recorded, from .