VfL Osnabrück
vs
Dynamo Dresden
Garuda Lions Prediction: Dynamo Dresden
1 – 2 Predicted score · 7% model probability
VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden overview
Garuda Lions analysis: VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden
| Probability | VfL Osnabrück | Draw | Dynamo Dresden |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.9% | 23.0% | 34.2% |
| Market | 35.9% | 25.1% | 39.0% |
| Final | 37.7% | 24.6% | 37.8% |
| Edge | +6.9% | -2.1% | -4.8% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.48, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden match preview
VfL Osnabrück faces Dynamo Dresden in an intriguing 2. Bundesliga matchup. The model indicates a balanced contest, with both teams holding a 38% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 25%. The expected goals suggest a competitive game, with VfL Osnabrück projected to score 1.99 and Dynamo Dresden 1.77.
Recent form shows VfL Osnabrück with mixed results, recording a draw, two losses, and two wins in their last five matches. In contrast, Dynamo Dresden has experienced a similar trend, with one win, two losses, and two draws in their recent outings. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring is high at 72%, indicating a potentially open and entertaining match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
VfL Osnabrück and Dynamo Dresden expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.76
VfL Osnabrück and Dynamo Dresden attack and defence ratings
VfL Osnabrück
Dynamo Dresden
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern — team news & stats
- Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel — team news & stats
- 1. FC Magdeburg v Hannover 96 — match page
- Darmstadt vs Energie Cottbus
- 1. FC Nürnberg vs Wolfsburg — team news & stats
- Hertha BSC v SpVgg Greuther Fürth — match page
- Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld
- St. Pauli v Karlsruher SC — match page
Before and after this match
VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Dynamo Dresden | 37.8% | 2.65 | -4.8% | 2.48 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.3% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.4% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 65.9% | 1.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | VfL Osnabrück | 37.7% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Dynamo Dresden | 37.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 72.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 27.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 72.4% |
| No | 27.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Dynamo Dresden win | 17.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 16.3% | |
| Loss | 65.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.1% |
| 2-1 | 8.2% | |
| 1-2 | 7.3% |
VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden stats
VfL Osnabrück and Dynamo Dresden recent form
| VfL Osnabrück |
DLWLWL |
| Dynamo Dresden |
LDLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
VfL Osnabrück and Dynamo Dresden season so far
VfL Osnabrück record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
Dynamo Dresden record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.
VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-04-12 | Dynamo Dresden | VfL Osnabrück | 3. Liga | 0-1 |
| 2024-11-09 | VfL Osnabrück | Dynamo Dresden | 3. Liga | 0-3 |
| 2023-04-02 | VfL Osnabrück | Dynamo Dresden | 3. Liga | 0-1 |
| 2022-10-09 | Dynamo Dresden | VfL Osnabrück | 3. Liga | 3-2 |
| 2020-06-28 | Dynamo Dresden | VfL Osnabrück | 2. Bundesliga | 2-2 |
| 2019-12-15 | VfL Osnabrück | Dynamo Dresden | 2. Bundesliga | 3-0 |
| 2016-03-02 | VfL Osnabrück | Dynamo Dresden | 3. Liga | 0-3 |
| 2015-09-19 | Dynamo Dresden | VfL Osnabrück | 3. Liga | 2-1 |
| 2014-12-20 | Dynamo Dresden | VfL Osnabrück | 3. Liga | 2-1 |
| 2014-08-06 | VfL Osnabrück | Dynamo Dresden | 3. Liga | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.9%, draw 25.1%, away 39.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.59 | 3.72 | 2.38 |
| Bet365 | 2.55 | 3.60 | 2.40 |
| BetVictor | 2.55 | 3.60 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 2.67 | 3.70 | 2.47 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.80 | 2.30 |
| Dafabet | 2.65 | 3.75 | 2.45 |
| Marathonbet | 2.59 | 3.72 | 2.38 |
| Pinnacle | 2.67 | 3.85 | 2.48 |
| SBO | 2.46 | 3.31 | 2.27 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 3.50 | 2.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .