2. Bundesliga · 2026-10-10T11:00:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 7

VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden

1 – 1 Full time

38′			Niklas Hauptmann
45′			Robin Meißner
45′			Fridolin WagnerLeon Maximilian Flach
61′			Patrick KammerbauerKonrad Faber
61′			Jonathan GómezIsmail Badjie
61′			Bernd RiesselmannDaniel-Kofi Kyereh
68′			Nicolai Rapp
69′			Vincent VermeijChristoph Daferner
72′			Jonas Sterner
75′			Robin Fabinski
81′			Patrice Čović
82′			Simon Straudi
82′			Niklas HauptmannJakob Lemmer
82′			Bjarke JacobsenLuca Raimund
84′			Konrad Faber
87′			Robin Fabinski
87′			Patrice ČovićKennedy Okpala
87′			Ben BobzienAhmet Muhamedbegovic
87′			Simon StraudiAlexander Rossipal
90′			Leon Maximilian Flach
90′			Adrian Beck

Stadion an der Bremer Brücke, OsnabruckReferee: Florian Exner

VfL Osnabrück

38%

Draw

25%

Dynamo Dresden

38%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

13	Shots	9
5	Shots on target	2
44	Possession %	56
4	Corners	10
7	Fouls	11
2	Offsides	1
1	Saves	4
395	Accurate passes	519

VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden overview

Garuda Lions analysis: VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	VfL Osnabrück	Draw	Dynamo Dresden
Model	42.9%	22.9%	34.1%
Market	35.9%	25.2%	38.9%
Final	37.7%	24.6%	37.7%
Edge	+1.8%	-0.6%	-1.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

97%

2+ goals

90%

3+ goals

72%

No goals

VfL Osnabrück and Dynamo Dresden expected goals

VfL Osnabrück

1.99

Dynamo Dresden

1.77

Total expected goals: 3.76

VfL Osnabrück and Dynamo Dresden attack and defence ratings

VfL Osnabrück

Attack

1.08 +8%

Defence

1.18 +18%

Dynamo Dresden

Attack

1.13 +13%

Defence

1.13 +13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden: result vs prediction

VfL Osnabrück 1 – 1 Dynamo Dresden

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

2. Bundesliga

FC Heidenheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern — team news & stats · 2026-10-09
Eintracht Braunschweig vs Holstein Kiel — team news & stats · 2026-10-09
1. FC Magdeburg v Hannover 96 — match page · 2026-10-10
Darmstadt vs Energie Cottbus · 2026-10-10
1. FC Nürnberg vs Wolfsburg — team news & stats · 2026-10-10
Hertha BSC v SpVgg Greuther Fürth — match page · 2026-10-11
Bochum vs Arminia Bielefeld · 2026-10-11
St. Pauli v Karlsruher SC — match page · 2026-10-11

Before and after this match

VfL Osnabrück, previous: Holstein Kiel v VfL Osnabrück analysis
VfL Osnabrück, next: Arminia Bielefeld v VfL Osnabrück analysis
Dynamo Dresden, previous: Dynamo Dresden – Hertha BSC, 2026-09-19
Dynamo Dresden, next: Dynamo Dresden – 1. FC Magdeburg, 2026-10-18

VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	Dynamo Dresden	37.7%	2.65	-1.2%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	72.5%	1.38	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	72.5%	1.38	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	75.4%	1.33	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	65.9%	1.52	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	VfL Osnabrück	37.7%
	Draw	24.6%
	Dynamo Dresden	37.7%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	72.5%
	Under 2.5	27.5%
Both teams to score	Yes	72.5%
	No	27.5%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	62.3%
	12 (either side)	75.4%
	X2 (draw or away)	62.3%
Handicap -1	Dynamo Dresden win	17.8%
	Push (exactly one goal)	16.3%
	Loss	65.9%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	9.0%
	2-1	8.2%
	1-2	7.2%

VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden stats

VfL Osnabrück and Dynamo Dresden recent form

newest first

VfL Osnabrück	DLWLWL
Dynamo Dresden	LDLLWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

VfL Osnabrück and Dynamo Dresden going into this match

league record before kick-off

VfL Osnabrück record

They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.

Dynamo Dresden record

They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 1.0 at home.

VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2VfL Osnabrück wins 2Draws 6Dynamo Dresden wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2025-04-12	Dynamo Dresden	VfL Osnabrück	3. Liga	0-1
2024-11-09	VfL Osnabrück	Dynamo Dresden	3. Liga	0-3
2023-04-02	VfL Osnabrück	Dynamo Dresden	3. Liga	0-1
2022-10-09	Dynamo Dresden	VfL Osnabrück	3. Liga	3-2
2020-06-28	Dynamo Dresden	VfL Osnabrück	2. Bundesliga	2-2
2019-12-15	VfL Osnabrück	Dynamo Dresden	2. Bundesliga	3-0
2016-03-02	VfL Osnabrück	Dynamo Dresden	3. Liga	0-3
2015-09-19	Dynamo Dresden	VfL Osnabrück	3. Liga	2-1
2014-12-20	Dynamo Dresden	VfL Osnabrück	3. Liga	2-1
2014-08-06	VfL Osnabrück	Dynamo Dresden	3. Liga	2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

VfL Osnabrück vs Dynamo Dresden odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 35.9%, draw 25.2%, away 38.9%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
1xBet	2.59	3.72	2.38
Bet365	2.60	3.60	2.40
BetVictor	2.60	3.70	2.40
Betano	2.67	3.70	2.47
Betfair	2.63	3.80	2.30
Dafabet	2.65	3.75	2.45
Marathonbet	2.59	3.72	2.38
Pinnacle	2.66	3.91	2.49
SBO	2.46	3.31	2.27
William Hill	2.50	3.50	2.40

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.60 ▲ +0.01

X 3.71 —

2 2.40 ▲ +0.02

13 snapshots recorded, from 2026-10-04T08:10:02Z.