Garuda Lions
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2. Bundesliga · Full time ·Matchday 6

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg

1 – 1 Full time

5′Emmanuel Iyoha
20′Omar Sillah
33′Jannis Heuer
57′Luka Hyryläinen
66′Luka HyryläinenFelipe Chávez
66′Alexander NollenbergerRichmond Tachie
66′Shinta Karl AppelkampDennis Srbeny
66′Sacha BanseFaton Ademi
74′Paul Will
76′Ole PohlmannAaron Keller
79′Dennis Srbeny
81′Hendry. BlankKrisztián Keresztes
83′Herbert BockhornPierre Nadjombe
83′Moritz-Broni KwartengMagnus Elias Walther Baars
89′Mateusz ZukowskiRoko Simic

Sportpark Ronhof Thomas Sommer, FürthReferee: Ballweg, Cristian

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 31%
Draw 26%
1. FC Magdeburg 44%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 6
44 Possession % 56
3 Corners 5
9 Fouls 9
0 Offsides 3
5 Saves 3
340 Accurate passes 465

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg overview

Garuda Lions analysis: SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySpVgg Greuther FürthDraw1. FC Magdeburg
Model26.0%25.4%48.6%
Market32.0%25.8%42.2%
Final30.5%25.7%43.8%
Edge-6.0%-0.4%+6.4%

Confidence: Low

Why 1. FC Magdeburg

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 1.26.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices 1. FC Magdeburg below the model: +6.4 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

SpVgg Greuther ↓ / 1. FC Magdebur → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 1 12% 10% 2 7% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 59%
No goals 6%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1. FC Magdeburg expected goals

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1.26
1. FC Magdeburg 1.79

Total expected goals: 3.05

SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1. FC Magdeburg attack and defence ratings

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 1.02 +2%

1. FC Magdeburg

Attack 1.30 +30%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg: result vs prediction

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 1 – 1 1. FC Magdeburg

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

2. Bundesliga

Before and after this match

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 1. FC Magdeburg 43.8% 2.28 +6.4% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 58.7% 1.70 — —
Both teams to score Yes 60.8% 1.65 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.3% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.4% 1.95 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2SpVgg Greuther Fürth30.5%
Draw25.7%
1. FC Magdeburg43.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.558.7%
Under 2.541.3%
Both teams to scoreYes60.8%
No39.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)56.2%
12 (either side)74.3%
X2 (draw or away)69.5%
Handicap -11. FC Magdeburg win27.3%
Push (exactly one goal)21.3%
Loss51.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.8%
1-29.5%
0-27.6%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg stats

SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1. FC Magdeburg recent form

newest first
SpVgg Greuther Fürth DLWLLD
1. FC Magdeburg WLWWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1. FC Magdeburg going into this match

league record before kick-off

SpVgg Greuther Fürth record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).

1. FC Magdeburg record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3SpVgg Greuther Fürth wins 4Draws 31. FC Magdeburg wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-06SpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga4-5
2025-08-311. FC MagdeburgSpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga4-5
2025-03-08SpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga1-1
2024-10-061. FC MagdeburgSpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga2-2
2024-05-101. FC MagdeburgSpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga0-0
2023-12-09SpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga1-1
2023-03-18SpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga3-0
2022-09-111. FC MagdeburgSpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga2-1
2019-04-271. FC MagdeburgSpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga2-1
2018-11-23SpVgg Greuther Fürth1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga3-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 32.0%, draw 25.8%, away 42.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.93 3.60 2.22
Bet365 2.90 3.60 2.20
BetVictor 2.80 3.80 2.20
Betano 3.00 3.70 2.25
Betfair 2.88 3.75 2.20
Marathonbet 2.92 3.60 2.20
Pinnacle 3.01 3.84 2.27
SBO 2.72 3.49 2.20
William Hill 2.80 3.50 2.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.90 ▲ +0.50
X 3.60 ▼ -0.20
2 2.20 ▼ -0.20

14 snapshots recorded, from .