2. Bundesliga
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
Karlsruher SC
vs
1. FC Nürnberg
0 – 1 Full time
| 21′ | Marcel Franke | ||
| 30′ | Mohamed Alì Zoma | ||
| 38′ | Deniz Ofli | ||
| 45′ | Louey Ben FarhatJason Ponente-Ramirez | ||
| 45′ | Lilian EgloffSandro Tremoulet | ||
| 67′ | Adam Markhiev | ||
| 70′ | Finn Ole BeckerRafael Lubach | ||
| 70′ | Julian JustvanWilliam Bøving | ||
| 71′ | Christoph KobaldHéliton | ||
| 71′ | Viktor BerghNoel Eichinger | ||
| 72′ | Noel Eichinger | ||
| 79′ | Fynn OttoKristian Mandic | ||
| 86′ | Danyal Hakan ZorSanteri Väänänen | ||
| 90′ | Piet ScobelSigurd Haugen | ||
| 90′ | Mohamed Alì ZomaRayan Ghrieb |
Karlsruher SC
29%
Draw
23%
1. FC Nürnberg
48%
Match stats
| 9 | Shots | 10 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 3 |
| 32 | Possession % | 68 |
| 3 | Corners | 4 |
| 16 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 2 | Saves | 3 |
| 207 | Accurate passes | 540 |
Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg
| Probability | Karlsruher SC | Draw | 1. FC Nürnberg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.9% | 20.4% | 60.7% |
| Market | 32.7% | 23.5% | 43.8% |
| Final | 29.2% | 22.7% | 48.0% |
| Edge | -13.8% | -3.1% | +16.9% |
Why 1. FC Nürnberg
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.39 vs 1.30.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices 1. FC Nürnberg below the model: +16.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
89%
3+ goals
71%
No goals
3%
Karlsruher SC and 1. FC Nürnberg expected goals
Karlsruher SC
1.30
1. FC Nürnberg
2.39
Total expected goals: 3.69
Karlsruher SC and 1. FC Nürnberg attack and defence ratings
Karlsruher SC
Attack
0.93 -7%
Defence
1.28 +28%
1. FC Nürnberg
Attack
1.39 +39%
Defence
0.84 -16%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg: result vs prediction
Karlsruher SC 0 – 1 1. FC Nürnberg
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Wolfsburg v Darmstadt — match page
- SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Magdeburg — team news & stats
- Holstein Kiel vs VfL Osnabrück
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern v Eintracht Braunschweig — match page
- Dynamo Dresden vs Hertha BSC
- Hannover 96 v Bochum — match page
- Arminia Bielefeld vs FC Heidenheim — team news & stats
- Energie Cottbus vs St. Pauli
Before and after this match
Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 1. FC Nürnberg | 48.0% | 2.08 | +16.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.2% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.9% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | 1. FC Nürnberg win | 40.0% | 2.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Karlsruher SC | 29.2% |
| Draw | 22.7% | |
| 1. FC Nürnberg | 48.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 71.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 28.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 66.9% |
| No | 33.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 70.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | 1. FC Nürnberg win | 40.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.7% | |
| Loss | 39.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.3% |
| 1-1 | 8.5% | |
| 1-3 | 7.4% |
Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg stats
Karlsruher SC and 1. FC Nürnberg recent form
| Karlsruher SC |
LDLWDW |
| 1. FC Nürnberg |
WDWDWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Karlsruher SC and 1. FC Nürnberg going into this match
Karlsruher SC record
- They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
1. FC Nürnberg record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 3.0 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
7Karlsruher SC wins
1Draws
21. FC Nürnberg wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-13 | 1. FC Nürnberg | Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga | 5-1 |
| 2025-09-13 | Karlsruher SC | 1. FC Nürnberg | 2. Bundesliga | 2-1 |
| 2025-01-19 | 1. FC Nürnberg | Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-03 | Karlsruher SC | 1. FC Nürnberg | 2. Bundesliga | 3-2 |
| 2024-04-28 | 1. FC Nürnberg | Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga | 0-1 |
| 2024-01-13 | Karlsruher SC | 1. FC Nürnberg | Friendlies Clubs | 3-1 |
| 2023-11-26 | Karlsruher SC | 1. FC Nürnberg | 2. Bundesliga | 4-1 |
| 2023-04-08 | 1. FC Nürnberg | Karlsruher SC | 2. Bundesliga | 1-1 |
| 2022-10-02 | Karlsruher SC | 1. FC Nürnberg | 2. Bundesliga | 3-0 |
| 2022-02-12 | Karlsruher SC | 1. FC Nürnberg | 2. Bundesliga | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 32.7%, draw 23.5%, away 43.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.90 | 3.78 | 2.17 |
| Bet365 | 2.80 | 4.00 | 2.15 |
| BetVictor | 2.80 | 4.00 | 2.15 |
| Betano | 2.90 | 4.05 | 2.18 |
| Betfair | 2.80 | 4.10 | 2.10 |
| Marathonbet | 2.89 | 3.78 | 2.15 |
| Pinnacle | 3.01 | 4.03 | 2.21 |
| SBO | 2.50 | 3.40 | 2.20 |
| William Hill | 2.88 | 3.70 | 2.10 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.88 ▲ +0.23
X
4.00 ▲ +0.25
2
2.15 ▼ -0.20
13 snapshots recorded, from .