2. Bundesliga · 2026-09-11T16:30:00Z UTC Full time ·Matchday 5

1. FC Nürnberg vs Hannover 96

2 – 1 Full time

5′			Julian Justvan
8′			Lars Gindorf
23′			Finn Ole Becker
32′			Piet Scobel
55′			Benedikt PichlerHusseyn Chakroun
63′			Finn Ole BeckerWilliam Bøving
65′			Mohamed Alì Zoma
71′			Lars GindorfEmir Sahiti
71′			Stefán Teitur ThórdarsonBenjamin Källman
72′			Julian JustvanRafael Lubach
72′			Piet ScobelSigurd Haugen
74′			Kolja OudenneHayate Matsuda
75′			Boris TomiakIme Okon
76′			Maurice Neubauer
90′			Mohamed Alì ZomaTobias Heß
90′			Tim janisch

Max-Morlock-Stadion, NurembergReferee: Florian Lechner, Germany

1. FC Nürnberg

43%

Draw

24%

Hannover 96

33%

Confidence: Low · blended with market odds

Match stats

27	Shots	9
8	Shots on target	2
54	Possession %	46
7	Corners	2
10	Fouls	12
0	Offsides	3
1	Saves	6
424	Accurate passes	351

1. FC Nürnberg vs Hannover 96 overview

Garuda Lions analysis: 1. FC Nürnberg vs Hannover 96

model vs market on the 1X2

Probability	1. FC Nürnberg	Draw	Hannover 96
Model	50.5%	22.0%	27.4%
Market	40.7%	24.3%	35.0%
Final	43.2%	23.7%	33.1%
Edge	+9.8%	-2.3%	-7.5%

Confidence: Low

Why 1. FC Nürnberg

Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.20 vs 1.61.
Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
The market prices 1. FC Nürnberg below the model: +9.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals

97%

2+ goals

90%

3+ goals

73%

No goals

1. FC Nürnberg and Hannover 96 expected goals

1. FC Nürnberg

2.20

Hannover 96

1.61

Total expected goals: 3.80

1. FC Nürnberg and Hannover 96 attack and defence ratings

1. FC Nürnberg

Attack

1.38 +38%

Defence

0.85 -15%

Hannover 96

Attack

1.40 +40%

Defence

0.96 -4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

1. FC Nürnberg vs Hannover 96: result vs prediction

1. FC Nürnberg 2 – 1 Hannover 96

Market	Outcome
1X2 pick	✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick	✓ Correct
BTTS pick	✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

2. Bundesliga

Darmstadt vs Arminia Bielefeld — team news & stats · 2026-09-11
Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth · 2026-09-12
1. FC Magdeburg v 1. FC Kaiserslautern — match page · 2026-09-12
Eintracht Braunschweig vs Dynamo Dresden — team news & stats · 2026-09-12
St. Pauli vs Wolfsburg · 2026-09-12
FC Heidenheim v Holstein Kiel — match page · 2026-09-13
Karlsruher SC vs Energie Cottbus — team news & stats · 2026-09-13
VfL Osnabrück vs Hertha BSC · 2026-09-13

Before and after this match

1. FC Nürnberg, previous: Holstein Kiel – 1. FC Nürnberg, 2026-09-05
1. FC Nürnberg, next: Karlsruher SC vs 1. FC Nürnberg prediction
Hannover 96, previous: Hannover 96 v Karlsruher SC analysis
Hannover 96, next: Hannover 96 v Bochum analysis

1. FC Nürnberg vs Hannover 96 markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market

Market	Model pick	Probability	Fair odds	Edge	Best price
1X2	1. FC Nürnberg	43.2%	2.32	+9.8%	—
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	73.2%	1.37	—	—
Both teams to score	Yes	71.8%	1.39	—	—
Double chance	12 (either side)	76.3%	1.31	—	—
Handicap -1	Loss	49.5%	2.02	—	—

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid

Market	Selection	Probability
1X2	1. FC Nürnberg	43.2%
	Draw	23.7%
	Hannover 96	33.1%
Over/Under 2.5	Over 2.5	73.2%
	Under 2.5	26.8%
Both teams to score	Yes	71.8%
	No	28.2%
Double chance	1X (home or draw)	66.9%
	12 (either side)	76.3%
	X2 (draw or away)	56.8%
Handicap -1	1. FC Nürnberg win	30.9%
	Push (exactly one goal)	19.6%
	Loss	49.5%
Correct score (top 3)	1-1	8.7%
	2-1	8.6%
	2-2	6.9%

1. FC Nürnberg vs Hannover 96 stats

1. FC Nürnberg and Hannover 96 recent form

newest first

1. FC Nürnberg	DWDWWD
Hannover 96	DWWLLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

1. FC Nürnberg vs Hannover 96 head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

21. FC Nürnberg wins 4Draws 4Hannover 96 wins

Date	Home	Away	Competition	Score
2026-05-17	Hannover 96	1. FC Nürnberg	2. Bundesliga	3-3
2025-12-21	1. FC Nürnberg	Hannover 96	2. Bundesliga	2-1
2025-03-01	1. FC Nürnberg	Hannover 96	2. Bundesliga	1-2
2024-09-29	Hannover 96	1. FC Nürnberg	2. Bundesliga	2-0
2024-01-26	Hannover 96	1. FC Nürnberg	2. Bundesliga	3-0
2023-08-06	1. FC Nürnberg	Hannover 96	2. Bundesliga	2-2
2023-04-29	Hannover 96	1. FC Nürnberg	2. Bundesliga	3-0
2022-10-22	1. FC Nürnberg	Hannover 96	2. Bundesliga	0-0
2022-03-13	Hannover 96	1. FC Nürnberg	2. Bundesliga	0-3
2021-10-02	1. FC Nürnberg	Hannover 96	2. Bundesliga	0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

1. FC Nürnberg vs Hannover 96 odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 38.3%, draw 25.1%, away 36.5%.

Bookmaker	1	X	2
10Bet	2.60	3.75	2.40
1xBet	2.29	3.84	2.67
888Sport	2.50	3.50	2.45
Bet365	2.38	3.70	2.70
BetVictor	2.25	4.00	2.63
Betano	2.62	3.70	2.52
Betfair	2.60	3.90	2.38
Dafabet	2.65	3.70	2.48
Marathonbet	2.29	3.84	2.67
Pinnacle	2.33	4.06	2.79
SBO	2.37	3.37	2.32
Superbet	2.55	3.65	2.60
Unibet	2.55	3.75	2.45
William Hill	2.30	3.60	2.62

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.29 ▼ -0.08

X 3.84 ▲ +0.24

2 2.67 ▲ +0.17

14 snapshots recorded, from 2026-09-05T08:10:01Z.